…and is poised to have a good night.

(Courtesy: Exhibitor Relations)
Kris was on the scene at the Independent Spirit Awards today, and will, I’m sure, have some first-hand commentary to add later. For now, let me lead the cheers for “Black Swan,” which finally had its moment in the sun this awards season.
Two years after its sort-of-sibling “The Wrestler” nabbed the top prize, the surprise crossover hit took four awards, including Best Feature and Best Director for Darren Aronofsky — the third Spirit win of his career, though his first for directing.
The only other multiple winner of the ceremony was fellow Best Picture Oscar nominee “Winter’s Bone,” which took a well-deserved brace of supporting trophies for John Hawkes and Dale Dickey — the film’s only reward for a field-leading haul of seven nominations. “Exit Through the Gift Shop,” meanwhile, was a popular victor in the Best Documentary category.
Here’s an easy one for serious Oscar trivia geeks: what’s unusual about Hal Mohr’s 1935 Best Cinematography win for “A Midsummer Night’s Dream?” I offer no prize, but pat yourself on the back if you knew that Mohr was the first and only person to win an Oscar on write-in votes — or in other words, that he won despite not being nominated.
Mohr’s victory was the result of a groundswell of industry support for his work on the Best Picture nominee after he surprisingly failed to secure a nomination; the year before, Bette Davis was the beneficiary of a more famous, but less successful, write-in campaign for her acclaimed, un-nominated work in “Of Human Bondage.”
As it turned out, she received fewer votes than two of the three actresses who beat her to the nomination, but the legend stuck — and Davis got a blatant make-up Oscar a year later.
If you’re feeling smothered by the whole Oscar rigmarole and can’t wait to start talking about some fresh movies, this trailer couldn’t have landed at a more welcome time. Of course, “fresh” is a relative term — it’s nearly six months since I was wowed by Kelly Reichardt’s studied, painterly Oregon Trail western (reviewed here) at the Venice Film Festival, which ultimately took the #2 spot in my Best of 2010 list. For those who don’t get to beat the festival track, however, the film hits screens in April.
I thought I’d bring this around one more time this weekend. We talked to 37 of this year’s Oscar nominees this season. A few more have been added since we first posted this last month:
Ethan Coen (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Adapted Screenplay, “True Grit”)
Joel Coen (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Adapted Screenplay, “True Grit”)
Tom Hooper (Best Director, “The King’s Speech”)
Jeff Bridges (Best Actor, “True Grit”)
Colin Firth (Best Actor, “The King’s Speech”)
James Franco (Best Actor, “127 Hours”)
Michelle Williams (Best Actress, “Blue Valentine”)
Geoffrey Rush (Best Supporting Actor, “The King’s Speech”)
Jeremy Renner (Best Supporting Actor, “The Town”)
Amy Adams (Best Supporting Actress, “The Fighter”)
Every year, when I finally get around to everything, I like to toss up my arbitrary ranking of the year’s Oscar-nominated feature films (and invite you to do the same).
There were 41 films nominated this year. One of them I didn’t see and won’t until some time this year, I imagine. But here’s the top 10. The rest after the jump. Feel free to rank what you’ve seen in the comments section if you like.
1. “Exit Through the Gift Shop”
2. “Another Year”
3. “Black Swan”
4. “The Social Network”
5. “Toy Story 3”
6. “The Way Back”
7. “Blue Valentine”
8. “True Grit”
9. “Inception”
10. “The King’s Speech”
If you haven’t joined our Oscar pool at Picktainment.com, you can do so by going here. Sign up for an account if you’re new and then go back to this link and start making your picks.
I’ve completed the weighting of the categories. I had to settle on something because the poll stopped working randomly on that last suggestion thread, so I just went with a 1-4 point scale based on perceived difficulty to predict…
As you know, Banksy has been all over town making his presence known in the lead-up to the Oscars. All These Wonderful Things documentary know-it-all A.J. Schnack happened by one of the artist’s latest pieces 10 minutes before it was tagged and 20 minutes before the owner of the building started the inevitable removal procedure with an endgame that fully proves Banksy’s point in “Exit Through the Gift Shop.” Here’s a photo:

(Check out Schnack’s recently posted analysis of the doc feature fields for both the Oscars and the Spirits here.)
[Photo: A.J. Schnack]
With a little over 48 hours until the big night, I find myself in an uncommon state of disarray — my crammed Oscar weekend “To Do” list includes viewing all 15 short nominees in order to make an informed dart-throw of a prediction (stickler that I am, I held out for a theatrical screening), preparing copious supplies of food and alcohol for my second annual hotel-suite Oscar party (sorry, the guest list is full) and somehow finding time to write a final predictions piece.
Before I can check off that last task, however, I actually have to settle on some final predictions — and despite the presence of solid frontrunners in most key categories, this year is giving me more trouble than most. For a race that, only a couple of weeks ago, seemed smothered in blanket affection for a single film, other possibilities have opened up that unusually equalize the possibilities of both a titanic sweep and a widely splintered share-a-thon.
How do you solve a problem like Best Foreign Language Film? I’m not sure you can, but in the Academy’s case, it’s certainly not for lack of trying.
The voting process in this eternally dissatisfying ghetto category is now such a Frankenstein’s monster of stages, rules, committees, sub-committees, longlists, shortlists and more committees that it’s a wonder they manage to wind up picking a single film at the end of it all — and rather less of a wonder that said film usually carries the stale whiff of a compromise choice.
This year’s race, thoroughly mapped out by Kris in this week’s Oscar Guide, looks headed for a typically imperfect outcome — opinions on the five films that make up the category may vary, but few would argue that the overall slate represents the key stories of world cinema in 2010. The trouble set in early, with several of the year’s biggest crossover critical hits ruled out at the submissions stage.
A few choice quotes from this New York Times profile remembering Ronni Chasen in this, what would have been the busiest week of the year for her.
She was very smart…She would always get there early so her noncelebrity client would get on camera, before all the stars would arrive.
There is not a day I have not thought of her; she was such an intrinsic part of this time.
She was very, very, very devoted to her clients…She just really needed you to know that Hans Zimmer walked on water.
Some of you may have been following Movieline’s Oscar Index. It has been a nice way to visually track the Oscar race all season, and now, they’ve put all of them together with the following time lapse video, showing all of Oscar’s ups and downs along the way: