OSCAR PREDICTION CHARTS — June 29, 2009

NUTSHELL: Beyond general housekeeping, there isn’t much to discuss on the tech category front this time around. The decision to open the Best Picture category up to 10 nominees doesn’t really move the needle here much. “Green Zone” is looking more and more like a 2010 release, so the film has dropped on a number of charts for that reason. “Chéri” opened to disappointing reviews, but the art direction and costume design categories have proven critic-proof time and again. All eyes, as usual, are on “Avatar” and we’ll be paying close attention to the critical and popular opinions of “Public Enemies,” which could still prove formidable in a number of these races.

Column: “The more the merrier?”

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ART DIRECTION
1 “Bright Star”
Janet Patterson; Charlotte Watts
2 “Public Enemies”
Nathan Crowley, Rosemary Branderburg
3 “Nine”
John Myhre; Gordon Sim
4 “The Wolf Man”
Rick Heinrichs; John Bush
5 “Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince”
Stuart Craig; Stephanie McMillan
6 “Sherlock Holmes”
Sarah Greenwood; Katie Spencer
7 “Amelia”
Stephanie Carroll; Gordon Sim
8 “Avatar”
Rick Carter, Robert Stromberg
NEW
9 “Where the Wild Things Are”
K.K. Barrett; Simon McCutcheon
NEW
10 “The Tempest”
Mark Friedberg; Alyssa Winter

CINEMATOGRAPHY
1 “Nine”
Dion Beebe
2 “Bright Star”
Greig Fraser
3 “Avatar”
Mauro Fiore
NEW
4 “The Hurt Locker”
Barry Ackroyd
up
5 “Broken Embraces”
Rodrigo Prieto
down
6 “Public Enemies”
Dante Spinotti
down
7 “Amelia”
Stuart Dryburgh
down
8 “The Road”
Javier Aguirresarobe
NEW
9 “Invictus”
Tom Stern
up
10 “Green Zone”
Barry Ackroyd
down

COSTUME DESIGN
1 “Bright Star”
Janet Patterson
2 “Nine”
unknown
up
3 “Public Enemies”
Colleen Atwood
up
4 “The Wolf Man”
Milena Canonero
up
5 “Chéri”
Consolata Boyle
down
6 “Amelia”
Kasia Walicka-Maimone
7 “The Tempest”
Sandy Powell
8 “Shanghai”
Julie Weiss
9 “Sherlock Holmes”
Ann Roth
10 “Where the Wild Things Are”
Casey Storm

FILM EDITING
1 “Nine”
unknown
2 “Bright Star”
Alexandre de Franceschi
3 “Avatar”
John Refoua, Stephen E. Rivkin
up
4 “Invictus”
Joel Cox, Gary Roach
up
5 “Amelia”
Allison C. Johnson
up
6 “Public Enemies”
Jeffrey Ford, Paul Rubell
up
7 “Star Trek”
Maryann Brandon, Mary Jo Markey
up
8 “The Lovely Bones”
Jabez Olssen
up
9 “Shutter Island”
Thelma Schoonmaker
down
10 “Green Zone”
Christopher Rouse
down

MAKEUP
1 “The Wolf Man”
2 “Star Trek”
3 “Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince”
4 “Bright Star”
5 “The Tempest” up
6 “Watchmen” up
7 “The Road” up
8 “Drag Me to Hell” up
9 “Chéri” down
10 “Amelia” down

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
1 “Avatar”
James Horner
up
2 “Amelia”
unknown
up
3 “Broken Embraces”
Alberto Iglesias
up
4 “Chéri”
Alexandre Desplat
down
5 “Up”
Michael Giacchino
6 “Bright Star”
Mark Bradshaw
7 “The Road”
Nick Cave, Warren Ellis
up
8 “The Tempest”
Elliot Goldenthal
up
9 “The Lovely Bones”
Brian Eno
up
10 “The Wolf Man”
Danny Elfman
NEW

SOUND EDITING
1 “Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen”
2 “Star Trek”
3 “Avatar”
4 “Up”
5 “Public Enemies”
6 “The Hurt Locker” up
7 “2012” up
8 “Terminator Salvation”
9 “G.I. Joe: Rise of Cobra”
10 “Green Zone” down

SOUND MIXING
1 “Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen”
2 “Nine”
3 “Star Trek”
4 “Avatar”
5 “Public Enemies”
6 “Up”
7 “The Hurt Locker” up
8 “2012”
9 “Green Zone” down
10 “Amelia” NEW

VISUAL EFFECTS
1 “Avatar”
2 “Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen”
3 “Star Trek”
4 “2012”
5 “Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian”
6 “Terminator Salvation”
7 “Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince”
8 “The Wolf Man”
9 “Watchmen”
10 “Land of the Lost”