9/19 Thoughts: I’m in total wait and see mode on “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close.” And I also find myself wondering if “The Ides of March” will really have the passion necessary to slide in. Ditto “Moneyball,” love it though I do.

Good bets:
1. “War Horse” (Touchstone Pictures)
2. “The Artist” (The Weinstein Company)

Other possibilities:
3. “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
4. “The Descendants” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
5. “The Ides of March” (Columbia Pictures)
6. “The Help” (Walt Disney Pictures)
7. “Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy” (Focus Features)


8. “Midnight in Paris” (Sony Pictures Classics)
9. “The Tree of Life” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
10. “Moneyball” (Columbia Pictures)

Dark horses:
11. “J. Edgar” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
12. “We Bought a Zoo” (20th Century Fox)
13. “The Iron Lady” (The Weinstein Company)
14. “Young Adult” (Paramount Pictures)
15. “Warrior” (Lionsgate)
16. “Hugo” (Paramount Pictures)
17. “The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn” (Paramount Pictures)
18. “Like Crazy” (Paramount Pictures)
19. “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
20. “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo” (Columbia Pictures)

The rest of the field:
“Albert Nobbs” (Roadside Attractions/Liddell Entertainment)
“Anonymous” (Columbia Pictures)
“Beginners” (Focus Features)
“A Better Life” (Summit Entertainment)
“Carnage” (Sony Pictures Classics)
“Crazy Stupid Love” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
“Contagion” (Warner Bros. Pictures)
“Coriolanus” (The Weinstein Company)
“A Dangerous Method” (Sony Pictures Classics)
“Drive” (FilmDistrict)
“The Eye of the Storm” (no current US distribution)
“50/50” (Summit Entertainment)
“The Flowers of War” (no current US distribution)
“Jane Eyre” (Focus Features)
“Killer Joe” (no current US distribution)
“The Lady” (Cohen Media Group)
“Larry Crowne” (Universal Pictures)
“Martha Marcy May Marlene” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
“Melancholia” (Magnolia Pictures)
“My Week with Marilyn” (The Weinstein Company)
“One Day” (Focus Features)
“Peace, Love & Misunderstanding” (no current US distribution)
“Rampart” (Millennium Films)
“Rango” (Paramount Pictures)
“The Rum Diary” (FilmDistrict)
“Salmon Fishing in the Yemen” (no current US distribution)
“Shame” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)
“The Skin I Live In” (Sony Pictures Classics)
“Super 8” (Paramount Pictures)
“Take This Waltz” (no current US distribution)
“360” (no current US distribution)
“W.E.” (The Weinstein Company)
“Water for Elephants” (20th Century Fox)
“We Need to Talk About Kevin” (Oscilloscope Pictures)
“Win Win” (Fox Searchlight Pictures)