OSCAR PREDICTION CHARTS — January 19, 2009 (FINAL PREDICTIONS)

NUTSHELL: Even with the guild announcements of the last few weeks, I have to confess to a little confusion in a number of these categories. There are always discrepancies between AMPAS branches and the guilds, but in some cases, the call seems almost too easy, which of course breeds suspicion. I’m expecting the five favored Best Picture candidates to do relatively well throughout, but what about films such as “Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull” or “Australia,” stinkers that could find respect nonetheless for their craft accomplishments? The holes are difficult to fill, but much like the main categories, I took the safe bet when it was available.

Column: “Enough foreplay”

Sort charts by: Main Categories/Technical Categories

ART DIRECTION
1 “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Donald Graham Burt; Victor J. Zolfo
2 “Changeling”
James J. Murakami; Gary Fettis
3 “Milk”
Bill Groom; Barbara Munch
4 “Revolutionary Road”
Kristi Zea; Debra Schutt
5 “Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull”
Guy Dyas; Larry Dias, Alyssa Winter
6 “Frost/Nixon”
Michael Corenblith; Susan Benjamin
7 “Doubt”
David Gropman; Ellen Christiansen
8 “Hellboy II: The Golden Army”
Stephen Scott; Elli Griff
9 “Australia”
Catherine Martin
10 “The Fall”
Ged Clarke; Riccardo Pugliese, Cynthia Sleiter

CINEMATOGRAPHY
1 “The Dark Knight”
Wally Pfister
2 “Slumdog Millionaire”
Anthony Dod Mantle
3 “Revolutionary Road”
Roger Deakins
4 “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Claudio Miranda
up
5 “Defiance”
Eduardo Serra
down
6 “The Reader”
Roger Deakins, Chris Menges
7 “Milk”
Harris Savides
8 “Australia”
Mandy Walker
9 “Changeling”
Tom Stern
10 “Doubt”
Roger Deakins
NEW

COSTUME DESIGN
1 “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Jacqueline West
2 “The Duchess”
Michael O’Connor
3 “Revolutionary Road”
Albert Wolsky
4 “Changeling”
Deborah Hopper
up
5 “The Other Boleyn Girl”
Sandy Powell
down
6 “Australia”
Catherine Martin
up
7 “The Reader”
Ann Roth
NEW
8 “The Dark Knight”
Lindy Hemming
NEW
9 “The Fall”
Eiko Ishioka
down
10 “Defiance”
Jenny Beaven
down

FILM EDITING
1 “Slumdog Millionaire”
Chris Dickens
2 “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall
3 “The Dark Knight”
Lee Smith
4 “Frost/Nixon”
Daniel P. Hanley, Mike Hill
5 “Milk”
Elliot Graham
6 “Defiance”
Steven Rosenblum
7 “Mamma Mia!”
Leslie Walker
NEW
8 “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”
Alisa Lepselter
NEW
9 “Revolutionary Road”
Tariq Anwar
down
10 “Iron Man”
Dan Lebental
down

MAKEUP
1 “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
2 “Synecdoche, New York”
3 “Tropic Thunder”
4 “The Dark Knight” up
5 “Hellboy II: The Golden Army” down
6 “The Reader”
7 “The Wrestler”

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
1 “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Alexandre Desplat
2 “WALL-E”
Thomas Newman
3 “Revolutionary Road”
Thomas Newman
4 “Slumdog Millionaire”
A.R. Rahman
5 “Defiance”
James Newton Howard
6 “Milk”
Danny Eflman
9 “The Dark Knight”
James Newton Howard, Hans Zimmer
9 “The Reader”
Nico Muhly
10 “Frost/Nixon”
Hans Zimmer

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
1 “Down to Earth” from “WALL-E”
Peter Gabriel
2 “The Wrestler” from “The Wrestler”
Bruce Springsteen
3 “I Thought I Lost You” from “Bolt”
Miley Cyrus
4 “Jaiho” from “Slumdog Millionaire”
AR Rahmen
5 “Gran Torino” from “Gran Torino”
Clint Eastwood, Jamie Callum
6 “I Want It All” from “High School Musical 3: Senior Year”
Cast of “High School Musical 3: Senior Year”
7 “Rock Me Sexy Jesus” from “Hamlet 2”
Phoebe Strole
8 “Once in a Lifetime” from “Cadillac Records”
Beyoncé
9 “Another Way to Die” from “Quantum of Solace”
Alicia Keys, Jack White
10 “Little Person” from “Synecdoche, New York”
Jon Brion

SOUND EDITING
1 “Wall-E”
2 “The Dark Knight”
3 “Iron Man”
4 “Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull” up
5 “Quantum of Solace” up
6 “Slumdog Millionaire” NEW
7 “Defiance” down
8 “Valkyrie” down
9 “Body of Lies” down
10 “Hancock” down

SOUND MIXING
1 “Wall-E”
2 “The Dark Knight”
3 “Iron Man”
4 “Slumdog Millionaire”
5 “Quantum of Solace” up
6 “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
7 “Defiance” down
8 “Cloverfield” up
9 “Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull” NEW
10 “Body of Lies” down

VISUAL EFFECTS
1 “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
2 “Iron Man”
3 “Hellboy II: The Golden Army” up
4 “The Dark Knight” down
5 “Journey to the Center of the Earth”
6 “The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor”
7 “Australia”