As Guy points to the changing face of the typical “Oscar movie,” I’m reminded of a number of Oscar-related conversations as of late. One question keeps popping through the “What can crack the 10” debate, and that is, “What can actually win?” Of course, going into the season, the films to beat seem to be “Precious” and “Up in the Air,” based on impressive festival cred. But other titles have been popping up as possibilities, too.
“The Lovely Bones” certainly seems like an across-the-board player. And if it lands a slightly unexpected PG-13 rating (it’s looking like it might), then it could prove even more accessible (i.e., commercially successful) than one might have anticipated. The emotion of the narrative may just be gravy after that.
I get the feeling that, of the other two unseen giants, “Nine” could prove a little too “been there, done that.” But I think “Invictus,” if it delivers, could land a zeitgeisty message of healing a nation after years of political unrest that might prove irresistible to the Academy (from a McCain supporter, no less).
In truth, however, I keep coming back to “Precious,” with just the right level of art house appeal, social consideration and dramatic flare to make good on its current frontrunner status and survive the season. And this recent Lynn Hirschberg profile on director Lee Daniels in The New York Times Magazine is stuffed with insights and asides that make the bet feel safer and safer.
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