It felt really good to duck out of the looking-ahead business after last year’s fairly contentious (both amongst the films and their supporters) Oscar season. I didn’t saddle up to the upcoming season until a few weeks ago, hammering out preparations for this column, and even this, most would tell you, is too early.
But at the start of July, in the midst of an interesting (critically speaking) summer movie season, and with half the year behind us, it seems a decent time to take stock of 2011’s Oscar business. And Disney may have gotten the conversation going just in time with last week’s debut of the trailer for Steven Spielberg’s “War Horse.”
With the influx of film awards coverage this last decade, Oscar strategists have switched gears in how they campaign for the gold. With a cycle that chews and chews and chews on whatever is available to digest, being the early frontrunner has become the kiss of death. Films like “The Aviator,” “Brokeback Mountain,” “Dreamgirls,” “Charlie Wilson’s War,” “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” and “Up in the Air” failed to reach the winner’s circle in recent years after being hailed as tough cookies early on. Some of them put up better fights than others, some of them didn’t even manage to rise up to a nomination, but all of them looked formidable at one point or another before having their legs knocked out from underneath them.
Last year, David Fincher’s “The Social Network,” a critically acclaimed drama that spoke to the zeitgeist, was pitched in early October as a sure bet for a nomination and a likely threat to win Best Picture, which would have made good on four-straight years of critical darlings turning the trick. Few expected — until the guilds began speaking up in January — that the film was burning too much fuel to survive, and The Weinstein Company was surely happy to let it hog the spotlight (and the vigorous approval of the press) before coming around the outside on the fourth turn with “The King’s Speech.”
And now, “War Horse.” Spielberg himself has been in this position before, recently, in fact, when in 2005, “Munich” looked like the favorite. The film came, dazzled some, left others cold and eventually managed serious nominations. But it failed to reach the finish line.
Like “Munich” and his 1993 Best Picture winner “Schindler’s List,” Spielberg is matching his prestige film with blockbuster fare this year. “The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn” will be his “Jurassic Park” and “War of the Worlds” for 2011, and furthermore, it’ll be opening the very same week as “War Horse,” right in the middle of the Oscar conversation, as ballots are landing in mailboxes over the holiday. More importantly, though, it could be the year of Spielberg like never before.
J.J. Abrams’ “Super 8” (which “The Beard” produced) has already hit and become a big favorite in the industry, aping off Spielberg’s early style and elevating the man to even higher iconic status. “Transformers: Dark of the Moon,” also sporting his name loud and proud, could be the year’s #1 domestic grosser (since the franchise historically has outperformed the Harry Potter films in the states, though the closing installment of the latter may not be denied). And his own films could make for a hell of a one-two December box office punch themselves.
He’s there again on the small screen this summer with TNT’s “Falling Skies” and Fox’s “Terra Nova,” and “Cowboys & Aliens,” which he executively produced, is still to hit theaters later this month. More things seem to carry the stamp of “Spielberg” this year than ever before. (EDIT: And readers are already reminding me of “Paul,” which was obviously a big ode to Spielberg cinema.)
I realize I’m dedicating the first Oscar column of the year to one guy, and that’s not totally fair. But really, it could turn out that way. It’s all about the narrative, as Mark Harris shrewdly wrote two years ago. And when you dovetail all of this with the recent Tony win for “War Horse,” well, it begins to look like a potentially perfect storm.
But let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves. Like I said, no one wants to be the frontrunner, even if you’ve got the goods.
Peripheral to that, there is a lot of work on the way that deserves notice from here. Clint Eastwood will be back yet again, with “J. Edgar,” and I’m more hopeful with a guy like Leonardo DiCaprio on board (who is always shrewd about his collaborations). George Clooney will have another political take in “The Ides of March,” which could be Sony’s best bet (already set for Venice’s opening night).
Martin Scorsese will dip his toes into 3D and effects with “Hugo” (perhaps Paramount’s big hopeful, of a massive slate, its title slowly scaling back from the original “The Invention of Hugo Cabret”). Alexander Payne will finally be back with what looks like another smart comedy in “The Descendants.” Cronenberg, Crowe, Miller, Polanski, Fincher, Scherfig, Reitman, all back. Allen and Malick are already in the mix, and even Madonna wants to play. But one of the real questions will be whether Stephen Daldry can make history with a fourth-straight Best Director bid, for “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close” (which was just announced for a December release from Warner Bros., but was still filming as of two weeks ago, so who knows if it’ll stay on the slate.)
On the whole, I’m a bit optimistic this year, so…here’s hoping.
I’ve finally put together a list of predictions for the new season. The Contenders section has been updated in full with charts indicating notions, guesses, instincts, etc., while the sidebar predictions reflect those calls. And none of it, mind you, should be taken seriously just yet. We still have another two months before these films roll out for press and along the fall festival circuit, so let’s see what happens…
…however, I thought I’d be extra silly this year. Seeing as I took so long to lay the foundations for the season here, I figure why not make it up to you by giving you something else to chew on. Say, an early slate of winner predictions?
OMGWTF, I know, but whatever. It’ll be fun to see how right or (more likely) wrong these turn out to be in eight months’ time. I’m planting a flag below for “War Horse” dominance. The only Best Picture winners to take more than four trophies in the last decade are “The Hurt Locker,” “Slumdog Millionaire,” “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” and “Chicago.” It seems to me another one can’t be far off.
One last note: Anne and I will offer one more off-season podcast this Friday, July 8. We’ll take the rest of the summer off and saddle back up to the weekly stuff on Friday, August 26, the week before Venice and Telluride officially kick off the season. That’ll follow my next Off the Carpet column (the first of the weekly business), which hits Monday, August 22.
But for now, I’m going back into Oscar hiding. More in six or seven weeks. Enjoy the updates.
Lamebrain winner predictions for the 2012 Oscars:
Best Picture: “War Horse”
Best Director: Steven Spielberg, “War Horse”
Best Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio, “J. Edgar”
Best Actress: Glenn Close, “Albert Nobbs”
Best Supporting Actor: Kenneth Branagh, “My Week with Marilyn”
Best Supporting Actress: Keira Knightley, “A Dangerous Method”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “War Horse”
Best Original Screenplay: “The Artist”
Best Art Direction: “Hugo”
Best Cinematography: “War Horse”
Best Costume Design: “Hugo”
Best Film Editing: “War Horse”
Best Music (Original Score): “War Horse”
Best Music (Original Song): abstain
Best Sound Editing: “Super 8”
Best Sound Mixing: “War Horse”
Best Visual Effects: “Hugo”
Best Animated Feature Film: “Rango”
[Photos: Touchstone Pictures, Paramount Pictures]
Comments
152 responses to “OFF THE CARPET: The year of The Beard?”
Super 8 may not get in, but disappointing box office?
It’ll probably end up between 120-130 million domestic, if not more. And it’s doing well overseas. The budget was only $50 million.
Yes, but it was pegged as one of the big summer blockbusters, from the director of Star Trek and Steven Spielberg. It will make its money back, but in terms of positioning Abrams as the next Spielberg it’s a disappointment. Bridesmaids is a bigger financial success. $100 million is not the benchmark it used to be, especially now there are so many screens compared to 2o years ago. I’d be very surprised if it got a Best Pic nom with the mixed reviews and lacklustre box office. Abrams is well liked in the industry though so you never know.
So Kris no faith at all for A Dangerous method
I’ve already heard disappointing reviews of My Week With Marilyn and the Descendants. Just saying.
Thanks for the predix though, Kris. Let’s get this season crackin’!
Juan: Cronenberg isn’t exactly an Academy sort. And this material could simply be too kinky at the end of the day. One or two performances and maybe a screenplay nod seem right, but of course, I’d rather see the film before making any such assumptions. None of this is about not having faith. It’s just a wild guess on how the race might unfold from afar. That’s all.
“The Artist isn’t happening. Or, at the very least, star and director are not getting nominated for it.”
The reviews and the glowing impact is here. A friend told me this about “the Artist” after saw it in Cannes: “Most of the excepticism came back for the fact this film is foreign production (From France), but trust me, if this was an American/Hollywood production, it wouldn’t be any doubt of the impact by the Oscars: Great and really warm story, a good direction and resemblance for the old Hollywood”. Also, in Awards Daily made a great points about “The Artist” prospects -Even a possible warm feeling like “Slumdog Millionaire”-.
For J. Edgar, I have a feeling Leonardo DiCaprio isn’t too likely for winning than many people expected. He’s not the “golden boy” in Hollywood like others thought. He’s snubbed at least three times (Titanic, Catch me if you Can and Revolutionary Road). He’s only second just in 2004 (Even when Foxx was unstoppable) and was nominated for the wrong performance in 2006. Also, Eastwood hasn’t a recent good track. It could be a hit or miss.
*Picture: Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy. Alt: The Ides of March
There are few reviews from TIM and they said it was wonderful but dark. But I’ll go this time with TTSS especially after I saw the trailer.
*Director: David Fincher. Alt: George Clooney
Ditto
*Actor: Ryan Gosling. Alt: Jean Dujardin or Gary Oldman
If not DiCaprio, I have a good feeling for Gosling. Three excellent proyects: Drive (A great success in Cannes), Crazy, Stupid, Love (Possible Box Office hit) and TIM (Critics and associations love). Also his age is perfect for the younger actor winners. For runner up; Oldman has the overdue status (And even another Christian Bale narrative) or Dujardin warm response (Also European bloc by the AMPAS)
Actress: Meryl Streep. Alt: Rooney Mara
Maybe we failed again, but I think this time, La Streep has the best chances. There’s no overdue actress (Winslet) or a big Hollywood star with a great year (Bullock). If Close and her film will release in 2011, then, Streep will have a bigger competition, but right now, only an ingenue Mara is the biggest contender
Supporting Actor: Kenneth Branagh. Alt: Albert Brooks.
Both actors are veterans. Both are really respected. Branagh played an stage and film icon like Olivier, but Brooks molds in a perfect villain (With the trifeca Bardem, Ledger and Waltz)
Supporting Actress: Vanessa Redgrave. Alt: Keira Knightley or Viola Davis
Vanessa Redgrave have the status, the reviews, the perfect role and the narrative (Even her family tragedies) for the AMPAS. If Knightley goes in the supporting category, she could really win. Davis’ chances depends for the success of the film.
Sigh,Roadside decided to pick up Albert Nobbs today, and since it’s so close to my predix update, and seeing as I feel it will get a nod or two, I’ll be updating again later today.
Kenneth Branagh could be only the second winner to win for playing a previous winner.
The only other time this has happened was when Cate Blanchette won in 2004 for playing Katherine Hepburn.
I think 2 films’ chances are being underrated at this point – Albert Nobbs and On the Road. I know Nobbs is waiting on distribution, but considering Close is starring and co-wrote the screenplay, I think the Academy could embrace her “comeback” big time. Salles was close with The Motorcycle Diaries, and if this interpretation of one of the most-revered books of the 20th century is good, it will be hard to deny.
My BP pics (I have 8):
Albert Nobbs
The Descendants
Extremely Loud
Hugo
J. Edgar
On the Road
The Tree of Life
War Horse
Here’s my bold prediction: if Michelle Williams is as great in Marilyn as she has been the last few years, the Oscar is hers.
My predictions
Best Picture: War Horse
Best Director: The Beard
Best Actor: Oldman
Best Actress: Streep
Best Supporting Actor: Plummer (A vet that everyone loves and there’s plenty of gay pride to help his chances. GO NEW YORK! Very proud to be from that state recently)
Best Supporting Actress: Redgrave
Adapted Screenplay: Extemley Loud
Original Screenplay: The Artist
Foreign Feature: The Artist (not sure if this one qualifies, but I imagine it would own this category if it did)
Animated Feature: Tin Tin (I have a feeling that some magical loophole will help this one get in. And spielberg will become the first director, as far as I know, to win two best feature prizes in the same year)
Score: Warhorse
Cinematography: Warhorse
Art direction: Hugo
Costume design: Hugo
Make-up: J. Edgar (just a guess since I’m assuming there will be some work to make dicaprio and others look older)
Visual effects: Transformers (yeah I said it)
Editing: Warhorse
Sound mixing: Warhorse
Sound editing: Warhorse
Those are my predictions from a far. If Dragon tattoo does get in I think ti will end the same way True Grit did last season. A bigger then expected commercial hit with a number of nods but leaves empty handed. And I wouldn’t be shocked if they campaigned Mara for supporting instead of lead.
Kris, you think that Hunter McCracken will be campaigned as supporting? His role seemed to me the lead of the film, but I know that young actors are often relegated to supporting in these races for whatever reason.
Also, sad to see Kristen Wiig not among the contenders for Best Actress, though I agree that most would probably overlook her work.
Kris,
Do you see Close as a BA nominee now that it has US distribution?
I know the response for that, Kris, so I think right now it’s Close vs. Streep with Mara in a distant third place. Even if Roadside isn’t exactly a big studio, they made it with “Winter’s Bone” and “Biutiful”. Also Close is in excellent track. From her turn in “The Shield” until “The Lion in Winter” remake and finally her outstanding Patty Hewes (An iconic character in TV) from “Damages”. Also her history with “Fatal Attraction” and “Dangerous Liaisons” could help her. Too bad for them, because Close and Streep are such great friends. Maybe a tie? :P
Nominees:
Best Actor:
1. Ryan Gosling, The Ides of March
2. Leonardo DiCaprio, J. Edgar
3. Jean Dujardin, The Artist
4. Gary Oldman, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier. Spy
5. Michael Shannon, Take Shelter
Alt: Michael Fassbender, Shame or A Dangerous Method
Actress:
1. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
2- Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
3. Rooney Mara, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
4. Elizabeth Olsen, Martha Marcy May Marlene
5. Jodie Foster, Carnage (Maybe too 1980s or she could go in supporting?)
Alt: Charlize Theron, Young Adult or Michelle Yeoh, TheLady (We’ll know in Venice, but I heard great early responses for the film and her performance)
Supporting Actor:
1. Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
2. Albert Brooks, Drive
3. Viggo Mortensen, A Dangerous Method
4. Armie Hammer, J. Edgar
5. Christoph Waltz, Carnage
Alt: Tom Hardy, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy or Stellan Skarsgard, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Supporting Actress:
1. Vanessa Redgrave, Corionalus
2. Viola Davis, The Help
3. Andrea Riseborough, W.E
4. Mia Wasikowska, Albert Nobbs
5. Marion Cotillard, Midnight in PAris or Contagion
Alt: Keira Knightley, A Dangerous Method
The only category which remain in question is supporting actress. Beside the top three, I have no idea which one and we need the confirmations from the studios.
I don’t know but I have too much hopes for Method or maybe I’m too excited to see it.
I really think Daldry’s new film will be major player. He’s a 3 time nominee, the cast include 2 Oscar winners, the material is you know, and the script is written by Eric Roth. I don’t know what else to promote about this one. Will it hit the festival rounds this year?
I don’t know Xavi, my recollection is that Kris had several reservations about Close being nominated but I could be wrong.
[…] Recent Comments med on: OFF THE CARPET: The year of The Beard? […]
Hopefully the latest post clears up my thoughts on that.
I love early predictions. No shame in being wrong.
For what it’s worth, I think you are overrating J Edgar, The Descendents (awful trailer), and underrating TGWTDT and Dangerous Method.
I think Gary Oldman has to be a hot tip for best actor.
The Descendents looks like the sort of quirky comedy that would have hit the right not about 5 years ago, but the moment is past. The trailer looked stale.
Mark, no one can view Super 8 as anything but a huge success. It’s a completely starless vehicle that pulls in more money than alien invasion powerhouse with much bigger budget.
Not only that, it’s also got box office legs and will outgrow district 9.
You are really really out of touch if you think that bringing an original property to over $100 million with no name stars is disappointment.
Also, nobody is positioning JJ Abrams as the next anything. I am really sick of that. Whatever happened to being ones own man?
Also, Mark stop throwing “mixed reviews” at movies that got Good reviews. I don’t really care what your personal whiny online “critic” said.
“Also, nobody is positioning JJ Abrams as the next anything. I am really sick of that.”
You were on a roll until that little nugget. Not true at all.
That and consider how Super 8 performed in relation to, say No Country or Departed.
Best Picture-
“The Tree of Life”
“A Dangerous Method”
“Moneyball”
“The Ides of March”
“War Horse”
Best Director-
Terrence Malick “The Tree of Life”
David Cronenberg “A Dangerous Method”
Bennett Miller “Moneyball”
George Clooney “The Ides of March”
Steven Spielberg “War Horse”
Best Actor-
Michael Shannon “Take Shelter”
Ryan Gosling “The Ides of March”
Leonardo DiCaprio “J. Edgar”
Gary Olman “Tinker, Taylor, Soldier, Spy”
Viggo Mortensen “A Dangerous Method”
Best Actress-
Meryl Streep “The Iron Lady”
Michelle Williams “My Week with Marlyn”
Rooney Mara “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”
Charlize Theron “Young Adult”
Tilda Swinton “We Need to Talk About Kevin”
Best Supporting Actor-
Christopher Plummer “Beginners”
Philip Seymour-Hoffman “Moneyball”
Brad Pitt “The Tree of Life”
Kenneth Branagh “My Week with Marlyn”
Michael Fassbender “A Dangerous Method”
Best Supporting Actress-
Jessica Chastain “The Tree of Life”
Vanessa Redgrave “Coralinous”
Evan Rachel-Wood “The Ides of March”
Chloe Moretz “Hugo”
Keira Knightley “A Dangerous Method”
Best Adapted Screenplay-
“Moneyball”
“A Dangerous Method”
“The Ides of March”
“Tinker, Taylor, Soldier, Spy”
“The Descendants”
Best Original Screenplay-
“The Artist”
“Young Adult”
“The Tree of Life”
“J. Edgar”
“Midnight in Paris”
Best Editing-
“The Tree of Life”
“Super 8”
“Moneyball”
“A Dangerous Method”
“War Horse”
Best Cinematography-
“Hugo”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II”
“The Tree of Life”
“War Horse”
“Water for Elephants”
Best Art Direction-
“Hugo”
“J. Edgar”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II”
“Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows”
“A Dangerous Method”
Best Costume Design-
“Hugo”
“A Dangerous Method”
“Captain America: The First Avenger”
“The Artist”
“Jane Eyre”
Best Sound Editing-
“The Adventures of Tintin”
“Cowboys and Aliens”
“Super 8’
“War Horse”
“Transformers: Dark of the Moon”
Best Sound Mixing-
“The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”
“Transformers: Dark of the Moon”
“Super 8”
“War Horse”
“The Tree of Life”
Best Score-
“Super 8”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2”
“The Tree of Life”
“The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”
“War Horse”
Best Makeup-
“Captain America: The First Avenger”
“Green Lantern”
“A Dangerous Method”
Best Visual Effects-
“Super 8”
“Rise of the Planet of the Apes”
“The Adventures of Tintin”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2”
“The Tree of Life”
123-Only 5 Best Picture nominees? Very interesting predictions though.
On another note, why is everyone underestimating We Bought a Zoo? Crowe’s very good with his actors and if history is any indication, he will be nominated for screenplay once again if the film is worthy.
The Artist could be HUGE. The older crowd should eat that up with a spoon. Big dance numbers, cute dog, Oscah.
I didn’t realize there was ANY big CG in Hugo? Hahaha.
KRIS, if you didn’t find out already, but Albert Nobbs just got a U.S. distributor. Any chance of moving up that Glenn Close number?
What chance Elle Fanning?
Eric: Did you miss the early afternoon’s update or something??
m1: In regards to only predicting 5 for BP, I decided with the rule change that at this early stage, I’m going to keep it simple and make my life easier by only predicting five. Once we actually into the fall, I will likely expand that category out, but I always hated having to predict 10 films as it was.
Victor Chandler Odds
War Horse 6/4
Extremely Loud 4
Dragon Tattoo 9/2
J Edgar 5
Dangerous Method 6
Week With Marilyn 7
Tree Of Life 7
Iron Lady 8
Ides of March 9
Albert Nobbes 10
No, I just don’t feel like looking through all the comments and I rushed to tell you that I missed looking at the side. Sorry..
From the little I’ve read on it (the film itself, reviews, responses, buzz, release date) … I also feel like “The Artist” could be the surprise of the Oscar Season (several major noms).
@maxim: Super 8 got mixed reviews. Check ’em out. An original property getting $100m off a budget of $50m (plus marketing costs) is good, if Super 8 hadn’t been positioned as one of the big event movies of the summer. The marketing was a disaster, if you’re relying on secrecy and surprises you should really have something better than a Cloverfield monster to reveal. This is my problem with JJ, it’s all mystery and surprises… but the payoffs aren’t worth the teasing. Anyway i’m glad you liked the film Maxim, we’ll have to agree to disagree on this one.
And as Kris said, JJ is CLEARLY being positioned as the next Spielberg (though how Mission Impossible 3, Star Trek and Super 8 are on a comparable cinematic level to The Sugarland Express, Jaws and Close Encounters of the Third Kind is beyond me…)
Kris, I like your early acting predictions, pretty solid thus far. Can I ask what your enthusiasm is for Theron in Young Adult though? While I can see Reitman getting some recognition, I don’t know that that role would be something to transform into an Awards campaign.
The only problem I have with predicting War Horse to win is that Lincoln is coming out next year, and will probably do very well.
I’ve always wondered about that as well Andrew. Is there any evidence that voters look at things like that? “Well, Fellowship is the first of three films, we’ll wait.”
In theory there’s nothing to say Spielberg couldn’t win BP for both War Horse and Lincoln. I think it’s unlikely but I’d need to look up some Oscar statistics before ruling it out.
At first I thought Reitman’s Young Adult was going to be a major player, given his track record with the Academy and teaming up with Cody again, but Reitman’s been pretty clear lately that this will probably be his least likeable film.
Not saying it won’t get any nominations, I think acting nods are still strong possibilities, but I can’t help but feel that this movie is going to disappoint a lot of people.
I’ve been slacking on my predictions. I threw some charts up in March, but with only 3 films really changing things at Cannes, I haven’t had much motivation to update.
No Dragon Tattoo or Carnage? Fincher and Polanski are big names … also, I don’t see any scenario where Daldry doesn’t get nominated.
The Descendants is being billed as the Clooney show, but Payne’s films are usually kind to the supporting players as well. I’m especially curious to see how Beau Bridges is used. With all the Jeff-love we’ve seen in the last couple of years, it might be time for Beau to have some time in the spotlight.
“In theory there’s nothing to say Spielberg couldn’t win BP for both War Horse and Lincoln. I think it’s unlikely but I’d need to look up some Oscar statistics before ruling it out.”
While both John Ford and Joseph L. Mankiewicz have won back-to-back Oscars for directing, no director has ever directed two best picture winners in a row.
Funnily enough, for both of them their film failed to win best picture in the first year of their back-to-back director wins.
Sawyer: I’m hearing Shailene Woodley is actually a bit of a revelation. She’ll probably creep up the charts this season.
Hi Kris, I know that you’ve listed TAKE SHELTER in several categories. Just curious if you saw the film at Sundance or Cannes, or whether this is based on what you’ve heard and read about the movie. Thanks.
The lack of David Fincher on your predictions is heartbreaking…
Anyways, i’m going with “War Horse” this time, it has everything to get BP/BD easily. Also, i just hope that John Williams doesn’t get 2 “original score” noms, that would really divide votes (a la Geisha/Munich in 2005) and cancel his chances, and i really want to see “the big man” winning one more time.
@Mark
1. 81% on RT is not “mixed.”
2. Super 8 was not positioned to be one of the bigger event movies of the summer. They were hoping for 100-150. That’s why it had a budget of only 50mil. Duh. Go to boxofficemojo and look at the consensus from a bunch of ppl who obsess over BO. All of them call Super 8 a big success.
Super 8 is projected to have another impressive drop this weekend (nearly assuring 130 mill + domestic). And I see that it is still due to open on over 25 foreign markets across July, August, & September. It looks to do quite well.
@tony rock: Hmm, if it wasn’t positioned to be one of the bigger event movies of the summer then why has it been pushed in our faces at every opportunity for the last year? It was only 2 weeks prior to release that there was revealed to be relatively weak tracking on the film and then Paramount immediately began to downplay expectations.
Duh.
50 mil plus marketing costs… It’s still not a big summer blockbuster. It’s a mild success. If the marketing hadn’t been so confused they could have been looking at $200mil + easily… will be interesting to see if Abrams falls back on directing Star Trek 2 now or he believes Super 8 is a big enough hit to carry on doing his own thing.
[…] OFF THE CARPET: The year of The Beard? […]
Best Picture-
“The Tree of Life”
“A Dangerous Method”
“Moneyball”
“The Ides of March”
“War Horse”
“Harry potter and the deathly hallows part 2”
“Hugo”
“J.Edgar”
Best Director-
Terrence Malick “The Tree of Life”
David Cronenberg “A Dangerous Method”
Martin Scorsese“Hugo”
Clint Eastwood“J.Edgar”
Steven Spielberg “War Horse”
Best Actor-
George Clooney “The descendants”
Ryan Gosling “The Ides of March”
Leonardo DiCaprio “J. Edgar”
Gary Olman “Tinker, Taylor, Soldier, Spy”
Viggo Mortensen “A Dangerous Method”
Best Actress-
Meryl Streep “The Iron Lady”
Michelle Williams “My Week with Marlyn”
Rooney Mara “The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”
Glenn Close“Albert Nobbs”
Tilda Swinton “We Need to Talk About Kevin”
Best Supporting Actor-
Christopher Plummer “Beginners”
Philip Seymour-Hoffman “Moneyball”
Brad Pitt “The Tree of Life”
Ralph Fiennes(or Rickman) “Harry Potter and the deathly hallows part 2”
Michael Fassbender “A Dangerous Method”
Best Supporting Actress-
Jessica Chastain “The Tree of Life”
Naomi Watts “J.Edgar”
Marisa Tomei “The Ides of March”
Chloe Moretz “Hugo”
Keira Knightley “A Dangerous Method”
Best Adapted Screenplay-
“Moneyball”
“A Dangerous Method”
“The Ides of March”
“Tinker, Taylor, Soldier, Spy”
“The Descendants”
Best Original Screenplay-
“The Artist”
“Young Adult”
“The Tree of Life”
“J. Edgar”
“Midnight in Paris”
Best Editing-
“The Tree of Life”
“Hugo”
“Moneyball”
“A Dangerous Method”
“War Horse”
Best Cinematography-
“Hugo”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II”
“The Tree of Life”
“War Horse”
“J.Edgar”
Best Art Direction-
“Hugo”
“J. Edgar”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II”
“Water for elephants”
“A Dangerous Method”
Best Costume Design-
“Hugo”
“A Dangerous Method”
“J.Edgar”
“The Artist”
“Jane Eyre”
Best Sound Editing-
“Harry Potter and the deathly hallows part 2”
“Cars 2”
“Super 8’
“War Horse”
“Transformers: Dark of the Moon”
Best Sound Mixing-
“The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”
“Harry potter and the deathly hallows part 2”
“Super 8”
“War Horse”
“The Tree of Life”
Best Score-
“Tintin”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2”
“The Tree of Life”
“The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo”
“War Horse”
Best Makeup-
“Captain America: The First Avenger”
“The iron lady”
“A Dangerous Method”
Best Visual Effects-
“Super 8”
“Rise of the Planet of the Apes”
“Transformers 3”
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2”
“The Tree of Life”