I don’t offer up predictions on a given year’s Oscar winners until November, generally speaking. And, well, it’s November. Which is still, of course, too early to be making calls like these, since we don’t even have a nominations slate to go by, but I like to take an early stab, revisit in early December and then one more time in early January before we get the nominees.
I asked over the weekend what readers thought would take the Best Picture crown this year, and the majority seemed to lean toward Lee Daniels’s “Precious.” It might be too easy to figure on that at this stage, but it’s difficult to argue with the early box office success and overall critical approval.
But there are certainly other spoilers lurking and the danger of peaking early (yielding more time for competitors to take you down) is always apparent with a film like this.
Keep reading to have a look at what I’m thinking. Rattle off your thoughts and predictions in the comments section if you like.
Best Picture: “Precious”
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
Best Actress: Gabourey Sidibe, “Precious”
Best Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer, “The Last Station”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
Best Original Screenplay: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Art Direction: “Nine”
Best Cinematography: “Nine”
Best Costume Design: “Nine”
Best Film Editing: “Precious”
Best Makeup: “Star Trek”
Best Music (Original Score): “Avatar”
Best Music (Original Song): “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
Best Sound Editing: “Star Trek”
Best Sound Mixing: “Star Trek”
Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
Best Foreign Language Film: “Forever Enthralled”
Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”
Comments
86 responses to “First stab at winner predictions”
Good early picks here, I certainly agree with Sidibe and Mo’Nique, and at this point, I also think ‘Precious’ is the Best Picture frontrunner. I think your Bigelow pick is a bold one, and while I certainly think she is worthy, I think that could go to Lee Daniels for ‘Precious’ as well.
Precious is going to win Best Picture without Best Adapted Screenplay? Interesting.
Hope you are right on Bridges.
i think KATHRYN BIGELOW is the boldest move, everything else just seems right [as in what the ACADEMY usually does]
lately the academy has split more often the DIRECTOR & PICTURE awards, so it’s a long shot but a shot to actually have the HURT LOCKER & PRECIOUS spliting those awards
Good predictions. I have a couple of differences (mainly based on my thinking Up in the Air and Avatar will be pretty big)
Picture: Up in the Air
Director: Jason Reitman
Actor: George Clooney
Actress: Meryl Streep
Supporting Actor: Matt Damon
Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique
Original Screenplay: The Hurt Locker
Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air
Cinematography: Invictus
Editing: Avatar
Art Direction: The White Ribbon
Costume Design: The Last Station
Score: Avatar
Song: Precious
Make-up: Star Trek
Visual Effects: Avatar
Sound Mixing: Avatar
Sound Editing: Avatar
Foreign Language: The White Ribbon
Animated Feature: Up
Documentary: The Cove
You’re a brave man Kristopher…
Your predictions seem pretty reasonable. With the Nine screening in NYC only a week away, we should have a pretty good idea soon of where the film stands in the tech race.
It’ll take a lot of bad, mixed reviews for films like Up in the Air and Invictus and Nine and The Lovely Bones to lose to Precious….it’s still gonna be the smaller film and it’ll have to be a phenomenon for it to win.
Don’t get me wrong, I’m all for the first black director or the first female director FINALLY winning, but I just don’t see it happening to either one of those films. It’ll be easier of Bigelow since she did make that type of film so unlikely for a woman, which will surely bring some votes and make her work more impressive. If only it had been a bigger success…critical acclaim is all it has going for a huge Oscar like Best Director.
Of course Clint won’t win, and Nine is a “believe it when I see it” type of movie/hype, but Jason Reitman seems more likely to me…
I’m surprised that nobody seems to be warming up to Up in the Air winning Oscars after it was so praised during the festivals for absolutely every aspect of the film.
Also, Precious winning editing? I don’t think so.
I think Up in the Air has a good chance of stealing Best Picture.
I didn’t realize Original Screenplay was such a weak, wide open field until right now. I almost feel like Tarantino or Docter will take it.
Director and adapted screenplay are going to be phenomenal races – hopefully the precursors will spread the love around too.
By the way I’m well aware of how stupid it is to say that because Bigelow is a woman directing a movie like Hurt Locker she’ll get more votes, but it’s just one of those silly theories that always seem to come up when people win Oscars or that determines how voters might think…
And yes, a Jeff Bridges win would be great, it’s nice to see veterans finally recognize (if they deserve it), specially when they’re consistent like Bridges has always been.
Even if I was already liking a possible Colin Firth win…
hell, why not!
Best Picture: “Avatar”
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Best Actor: Morgan Freeman, “Invictus”
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
Best Original Screenplay: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Art Direction: “Nine”
Best Cinematography: “Avatar”
Best Costume Design: “Bright Star”
Best Film Editing: “Avatar”
Best Makeup: “Nine”
Best Music (Original Score): “Avatar”
Best Music (Original Song): “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
Best Sound Editing: “Avatar”
Best Sound Mixing: “Avatar”
Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
Best Foreign Language Film: “A Prophet”
Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”
You don’t see Waltz continuing the Academy’s recent preference for deranged, psychotic lunatics in the supporting actor category (Bardem, Ledger)? His performance has many similar aspects, namely breathless critical acclaim that will be tough to beat.
Having said that, the supporting actor category does look sort of ‘weak’ at this point (I realise people get turned off by this turn of phrase but that how the situation honestly looks to me!)
I really don’t think that Gabby Sidibe has much of a chance at winning. I don’t see Precious as the frontrunner for anything besides supporting actress. I think the academy may find it too gritty and dark.
Picture: Nine
Director: Kathryn Bigelow
Actor: Jeff Bridges
Actress: Meryl Streep
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Julianne Moore
For the record, I was *this* close to going with Up in the Air in Best Pic, but I didn’t feel right predicting it for anything else other than screenplay, while Precious feels pretty good in a number of fields. The new voting paradigm is what will carry Reitman’s film over, if it happens. It does have that universally agreeable thing going for it.
My predictions are similar:
Picture: Precious
Director: Rob Marshall (Nine)
Adapted Screenplay: Precious
Original Screenplay: Up
Actor: Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart)
Actress: Gabourey Sidibe (Precious)
Supporting Actor: Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones)
Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique (Precious)
Art Direction: Nine
Cinematography: Nine
Costume Design: Sherlock Holmes
Film Editing: Precious
Make-Up: The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus
Sound Editing: Nine
Sound Mixing: Nine
Visual Effects: Avatar
Foreign Language Film: The White Ribbon
Animated Feature: Up
Documentary: The Cove
“Nine” is screening in Los Angeles tonight (though not for critics, I believe) so that question should be somewhat more answered by the end of the week.
I’m fine with “Precious” winning (if it deserves it), but I do hope we get a good race this year. The last few have been prettttty boring.
Hey Loyal is the Nine screening still happening? Were you talking about the one on 11/16 at 8P? It looks like it was canceled?
Nine screens for the press next week. Soon enough…
For all you LAers, Nine is sneak-peeking at the Arclight in Sherman Oaks at 7.
Still testing? Harvey’s relentless.
Picture: The lovely bones
Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Adapted Screenplay: The lovely bones
Original Screenplay: Up
Actor: Colin Firth, A single man
Actress: Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Supporting Actor: Stanley Tucci (The Lovely Bones)
Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique (Precious)
Art Direction: Nine
Cinematography: Nine
Costume Design: The young Victoria
Film Editing: The lovely bones
Make-Up: Star trek
Sound Editing: Avatar
Sound Mixing: Avatar
Visual Effects: Avatar
Foreign Language Film: The White Ribbon
Animated Feature: Up
Documentary: The Cove
I like your predictions. They all make sense at this point in the game. As much as I love Meryl Streep… She has three oscars and fifteen nominations… Gabby Sibide IS Precious…. Especially because I see the supporting actress to go to Julianne Moore. I’d also put my sound predictions on Avatar… And my song prediction to the princess and the frog.
First & 2nd choices, with my choice in parantheses:
Pic: Up in the Air/Precious (Single Man)
Director: Reitman/Bigelow (Jane Campion)
Actress: Streep/Mulligan (Streep)
Supp Actress: Mo’Nique/Moore (Moore)
Supp Actor: Waltz/Tucci (Whishaw)
Actor: Firth/Bridges (Firth)
Original: Hurt/Up (Bright Star)
Adapted: Up in the Air/Lovely Bones (Single Man)
Edit: Nine/Precious (Um, whichever one between Single Man & Bright Star has better editing.)
So only the lead acting races I’m currently guessing will go my way.
Foreign: A Prophet; France has won once in the last 30 years despite 17 nominations. It feels the last 8 years’ overflow of low-profile winners will also help A Prophet’s chances.White Ribbon: Germany’s won 2 of last 7; it’d be interesting if Austria’s entry got in after the conflict about where it would come from but it has a most-recent 1/2 record for wins. This’d be China’s 3rd nom ever; hmm. It’d be nice, though, if this could gear up for Zhang Ziyi being the first-ever Azn lead nominated in a year not fa from now after being snubbed despite Bafta/Sag/Globe noms (the only lead bid that happened to this decade).
If that’s how it actually goes down, I’m going to be so pissed. I really disliked “Slumdog Millionaire” and “Precious.” It’s been a long time since the Academy consecutively awarded Best Picture to movies that I don’t like. So I hope you’re wrong, but you’re predictions seem pretty spot-on, except, perhaps, for Best Supporting Actor, which in my opinion will go to Christoph Waltz in “Inglourious Basterds.
I think supporting will prove to be Plummer vs. Tucci in the end, but we’ll see.
Kris – Gaboury Sidibie could have the best performance of the year – in the lead Actress category.But Academy history being what it is – I think that it will go to Meyrl Streep.
The Academy has a long standing history of giving the Oscar to an Actor to make -up for them not getting it in the past.Be it the previous year – or giving it to someone who has had a ton of nominations before.
Russell Crowe for “Gladiator” – when in truth he should have won for “The Insider.”
The many nominations that Al Pacino received before winning for his role in “Scent of a Woman”- which was a make up Osacar for not winning for his previous(correct me if I’m wrong) six performances.
Or just last year with Kate Winslet winning for “The Reader”- her(correct me if I’m wrong)fifth nomination.When it could have went to Meryl Streep.
Not to say that these were unworthy performances by these actors in the year that they won.Also not saying that Streep’s performance this year is unworthy.
I’m just saying that when there is no clear cut front-runner in a category,and things appear to be even – the Academy has a way of giving a “make up Oscar” to a nominee who had tons of nominations before – or someone who was in the thick of it a year or two beforehand.And both of these things apply to Meryl Streep.
Best Picture: “Up in the Air”
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Best Actor: Colin Firth, “A Single Man”
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan, “An Education”
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglorious ”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
Best Original Screenplay: “Up”
Best Art Direction: “Nine”
Best Cinematography: “Where the Wild Things Are”
Best Costume Design: “Nine”
Best Film Editing: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Makeup: “District 9”
Best Music (Original Score): “Avatar”
Best Music (Original Song): “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
Best Sound Editing: “Avatar”
Best Sound Mixing: “Star Trek”
Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
Best Foreign Language Film: “A Prophet”
Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”
I think your choices are reasonable. At this stage, my guess (and hope) would be:
Best Picture: Hurt Locker (alt: Up in the Air)
Director: Kathryn Bigelow
Actor: Jeff Bridges (alt. George Clooney)
Actress: Carey Mulligan
Supporting Actor: Christopher Plummer
Supporting Actress: Melanie Laurent
Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air
Original Screenplay: Inglourious Basterds
Costumes: Bright Star or Cheri
Picture: Precious
Director: Lee Daniels “Precious”
Actor: Jeff Bridges “Crazy Heart”
Actress: Meryl Streep “It’s Complicated”
Supporting Actor: Stanley Tucci “The Lovely Bones”
Supporting Actress: Monique “Precious”
Adapted Screenplay: Precious
Original Screenplay: The Hurt Locker
Art Direction: Nine
Cinematography: Nine
Costume Design: Nine
Film Editing: The Hurt Locker
Make Up: Nine
Original Song: “I See In Color” Mary J Blige
Sound Editing: Avatar
Sound Mixing: Avatar
Visual Effects: Avatar
Animated Film: Up
Foreign Language: “Mother” Korea
Documentary: The Cove
Kris I totally agree with your predicted Nine wins in the techs. The Academy will eat that up.
I do however think that Streep will win. Sidibe is a very close second though. It’s just that this will be Streep’s 4th nomination in 7 years, and she was very clearly in 2nd place last year with the SAG and BFCA wins. Plus, she’s in a biopic, and displays an accent – that never hurt anyone.
My ‘Top 8’ Predictions:
Picture – Precious
Director – Jason Reitman for Up in the Air
Actor – Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart
Actress – Meryl Streep for Julie & Julia
Supp. Actor – Christopher Plummer for The Last Station
Supp. Actress – Mo’Nique for Precious
Original – The Hurt Locker
Adapted – Precious
If I stole all the Academy members’ ballots, the results would be as follows:
Best Picture: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Director: Jason Reitman, “Up in the Air”
Best Actor: Colin Firth, “A Single Man”
Best Actress: Gabourey Sidibe, “Precious”
Best Supporting Actor: Peter Sarsgaard, “An Education”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Original Screenplay: Quentin Tarantino, “Inglourious Basterds”
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner, “Up in the Air”
Best Art Direction: “The Lovely Bones”
Best Cinematography: “An Education”
Best Costume Design: “The Young Victoria”
Best Make Up: “Star Trek”
Best Film Editing: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Sound Editing: “Star Trek”
Best Sound Mixing: “Public Enemies”
Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
Best Animated Feature: “Up”
Best Original Score: Clint Mansell, “Moon”
Best Original Song: “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
Best Documentary Feature: “Food, Inc.”
Best Documentary Short: “The Last Truck: Closing A GM Plant”
Best Foreign Language Film: “A Prophet”
You really think Waltz will factor out of the race, Kris? How is Plummer’s perf, btw?
I’d say those predictions all sound very logical and reasonable, an even spread of winners unlike last year’s one-movie show.
I’m most intrigued by the Plummer prediction.. what are you going by here, would it be as a career Oscar for the most part, or is he really that good in the role that he could beat out Waltz and (possibly) Damon?
I think it would be sentiment that carries Plummer over, but I could easily see a Waltz or a Tucci take him down.
Best Picture “Up in The Air”
Lead Actress – Meryl Streep “Julia And Julia”
Supp Actress – Mo’Nique “Precious”
Lead Actor – George Clooney “Up in The Air”
Supp Actor – Christopher Plummer “The Last Station
Best Director – Kathyrn Bigelow “The Hurt Locker”
I agree with most of Kris’ predictions. But I say…
Best Picture: “Precious”
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”
Best Supporting Actor: Stanley Tucci, “The Lovely Bones”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “An Education”
Best Original Screenplay: “Up”
Best Art Direction: “Nine”
Best Cinematography: “Nine”
Best Costume Design: “Nine”
Best Film Editing: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Makeup: “Star Trek”
Best Music (Original Score): “Up”
Best Music (Original Song): “I See in Color” from “Precious”
Best Sound Editing: “Avatar”
Best Sound Mixing: “Avatar”
Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
Best Foreign Language Film: “Max Manus”
Precious won’t win it. Maybe if it becomes a 100+ mil blockbuster, but otherwise no. It’ll be either Up in the Air or one of the big contenders still waiting in the wings.
Too early for me to call too much though I think history will be made when Bigelow wins Best Director — been a long time coming…loved her since “Near Dark” which is still the best vampire flick ever made.
After seeing it, I don’t really think Precious can go the distance. It’s great, but it’s definitely an actor’s piece, and while I appreciated the plot, it still followed the well-worn “inspiring teacher” formula a bit too closely.
But here are some predictions just so I can look back at them later:
Best Picture: “Up in the Air”
Best Director: Jason Reitman, “Up in the Air”
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
Best Original Screenplay: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Art Direction: “Nine”
Best Cinematography: “The Lovely Bones”
Best Costume Design: “Nine”
Best Film Editing: “Up in the Air”
Best Makeup: “Star Trek”
Best Music (Original Score): “The Princess and the Frog”
Best Music (Original Song): “Nine”
Best Sound Editing: “Star Trek”
Best Sound Mixing: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
Best Animated Feature Film: “Up” (ugh)
Best Foreign Language Film: “Un Prophete”
Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”
My Predictions
Best Picture: “Up in the Air”
Best Director: Rob Marshall, “Nine”
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges “Crazy Heart”
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan “An Education”
Best Supporting Actor: Stanley Tucci ‘The Lovely Bones”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Original Screenplay: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jason Reitman and Sheldon Turner, “Up in the Air”
Best Art Direction: “Nine”
Best Cinematography: “An Education”
Best Costume Design: “Nine”
Best Make Up: “Star Trek”
Best Film Editing: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Sound Editing: “Star Trek”
Best Sound Mixing: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
Best Animated Feature: “Up”
Best Original Score: “Avatar”
Best Original Song: “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
Best Documentary Feature: “Food, Inc.”
Best Documentary Short: “The Last Truck: Closing A GM Plant”
Best Foreign Language Film: “Ajami”
i really don’t see any of the “big” contenders winning, i’m sure
AVATAR
INVICTUS
LOVELY BONES
NINE
will be nominated, but neither of these will win, i’m almost sure we’ll see a split in the PICTURE / DIRECTOR categories [SPIELBERG / SODERBERGH / POLANSKI / LEE did it in the past 12 years]
if they go “light” we’ll see UP IN THE AIR
if they go “dark” we’ll see PRECIOUS
As powerful and positively reviewed as Precious is, I’ll still find myself surprised if it wins a BP Oscar. However, I think I’ll be compelled to throw a TV if Mo’Nique doesn’t get a statue.
Picture: Up in the Air
Director: Jason Reitman – Up in the Air
Actor: George Clooney – Up in the Air
Actress: Meryl Streep – It’s Complicated
Supporting Actor: Matt Damon – Invictus
Supporting Actress: Mo’nique – Precious
Original Screenplay: Up
Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air
Best Picture: Precious
Best Director: Jason Reitman, “Up in the Air”
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan, “An Education”
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Original Screenplay: The Hurt Locker
Best Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air
Best Art Direction: The Lovely Bones
Best Cinematography: Nine
Best Costume Design: Nine
Best Make Up: Star Trek
Best Film Editing: Precious
Best Sound Editing: The Hurt Locker
Best Sound Mixing: Nine
Best Visual Effects: Avatar
Best Animated Feature: Up
Best Original Score: Up
Best Original Song: “I See In Color”, Precious
Best Documentary Feature: The Cove
Best Foreign Language Film: The White Ribbon
Bridges has it in the bag, I think. Same with Monique. I’m feeling Tucci in ‘Lovely Bones’ or Waltz for ‘Basterds’. Streep for ‘It’s Complicated’ or Carey Mulligan for ‘An Education’, but I think the former is going to ride it home. My thoughts.
Director will probably go to Reitman.
These are contenders I THINK will win, not who I necessarily want to win.
Picture – Up In The Air or A Serious Man (possible upset)
Actor – Daniel Day Lewis (Nine)
Actress – Gabourey Sidibe (Precious)
Supporting Actor – Waltz (Basterds)
Cinematography – Nine
Director – Reitman
Best Picture: “Up in the Air”
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Best Actor: George Clooney, “Up in the Air”
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan, “An Education”
Best Supporting Actor: Alfred Molina, “An Education”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
Best Original Screenplay: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Animated Film: “Up”
I don’t really care to take a stab at the technical categories.
Top 8 Predictions:
Picture: “The Lovely Bones”
Director: “Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Actor: Colin Firth, “A Single Man”
Actress: Carey Mulligan, “An Education”
S. Actor: Stanley Tucci, “The Lovely Bones”
S. Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
O. Screenplay: “Up”
A. Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
Best Picture: Up In The Air
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan, An Education
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, Precious
Best Adapted Screenplay: Precious
Best Original Screenplay: A Serious Man
Best Art Direction: Nine
Best Cinematography: Nine
Best Costume Design: Nine
Best Film Editing: Up In The Air
Best Makeup: Star Trek
Best Music (Original Score): Avatar
Best Music (Original Song): Precious
Best Sound Editing: Star Trek
Best Sound Mixing: Star Trek
Best Visual Effects: Star Trek
Best Animated Feature Film: Up
Best Documentary Feature: The Cove
Predictions are always difficult to do this time of year, when none of the precursors have been announced, and we also don’t know who will be nominated.
Picture: I feel confident in saying as of now it should be between Precious and Up In The Air. I think the Academy might want to pick something perhaps less heavy than say Precious. Huge star, could possibly be a critics darling, and feels very relevant while dealing with timeless ideals.
Director: Between Lee Daniels, Kathryn Bigelow, and Jason Reitman. I hate to pull the race or sex card cause they could be deserving of their nominations and their possible wins, but that could help Bigelow and Daniels. I say this cause their small personal films to these filmmakers as well.
Actor: If Freeman, Firth, Bridges, and Clooney are nominated, could go anywhere. Clooney did just recently win, but he is getting positive reviews. Alot of buzz now for Bridges. Freeman in a Eastwood flick. Firth getting standout reviews as well.
Actress: Sidibe, Mulligan, Streep. I say Mulligan. Praises for Mulligan. Streep could be considered overdue for a 3rd win. Sidibe wins with various Precious wins.
Supporting Actor-Another tough category to predict. If Molina, Tucci, Damon, Plummer, and Waltz get nominated, they could win for different reasons. Actors like Tucci, Molina, and Plummer are well respected character actors. Waltz has been generally praised. Damon has two efforts out this year.
Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique. Maybe Moore.
Adapted: Precious or Up In The Air
Original: A Serious Man, but the Coens have won recently. Up and Hurt Locker have strong shots too.
Not much to disagree with, Kris, except that I still think Christoph Waltz at this point is going to win. However, that is certainly subject to change as time goes on, so after all you may be right.