Predict the PGA nominees

Posted by · 10:06 am · January 3rd, 2011

Tomorrow the guild circuit launches with the WGA (separate post coming) and PGA nominations.  The critics’ circuit was well and good but this is where crossover memberships begin to give us a tangible view of how the race will fill out.

Last year the PGA (Producers Guild of America) piggy-backed the Academy’s plan to expand the field of nominees from five to 10.  It also copied the new voting scheme, which uses the preferential balloting system to determine nominees.

The two films that missed with the guild but made it into the Best Picture 10 were “The Blind Side” (odd that it missed, given its box office take) and the Coens’ “A Serious Man.” In their place: Clint Eastwood’s “Invictus” (why?) and the blockbuster “Star Trek.” What can we expect this year?  Continue after the jump to see what I’m thinking.

Darryl F. Zanuck Producer of the Year Award for Motion Pictures
“Black Swan”
“The Fighter”
“Inception”
“The King’s Speech”
“127 Hours”
“Shutter Island”
“The Social Network”
“The Town”
“Toy Story 3”
“True Grit”

I thought about pathetically predicting the same 10 I’m currently betting on for Oscar.  But why not anticipate a surprise or two?  Anne’s “steak eaters” take on “The Kids Are All Right” could easily rear its head here.

I thought about taking a dive on “Alice in Wonderland” (it made over $1 billion and the award is named after producer Dick Zanuck’s father, after all — not that that matters but, you know, respect), but it’s hard to imagine a lot of passion behind the film.  Another possibility is a second tip of the hat to animation, for “How to Train Your Dragon.” The most likely to fall away might be “127 Hours,” which hasn’t impressed at the box office (to say the least).  But I’ll go this route and not get TOO crazy.

Speaking of animation:

Producer of the Year Award in Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures
“Despicable Me”
“How to Train Your Dragon”
“Megamind”
“Tangled”
“Toy Story 3”

That’s right, I’ll go with the idea that the producers won’t be all that impressed with “The Illusionist,” if they’ve even had a chance to see it at all.  I could totally be wrong, of course.

What are you predicting?  Someone go out on a limb, for cryin’ out loud.  Clearly I’m not willing to.

[Photo: Warner Bros. Pictures]




→ 17 Comments Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Filed in: Daily

17 responses so far

  • 1 1-03-2011 at 10:15 am

    seasondays said...

    i am actually going crazy with my predictions, i’m predicting the usual seven…

    “Black Swan”
    “The Fighter”
    “Inception”
    “The King’s Speech”
    “The Social Network”
    “Toy Story 3″
    “True Grit”

    and filling those three spots with…

    “The Ghost Writer”
    “How To Train Your Dragon”
    “Shutter Island”

    but it may be wishful thinking

  • 2 1-03-2011 at 10:17 am

    Maxim said...

    Oh, I’ll totally go with Alice in Wonderland. I think I was the only one to do so over on Awards Daily (in my rare guest appearance and will do the same here). I actually feel pretty comfortable with that pick.

    “Black Swan”
    “The Fighter”
    “Inception”
    “The King’s Speech”
    “Alice In Wonderland”
    “How to Train Your Dragon”
    “The Social Network”
    “The Kids are Alright”
    “Toy Story 3″
    “True Grit”

    I’d be more bullish on “Tangled” actually, if it had a smaller budget.

    I also took out “The Town” in favor of the “Kids are All Right” but it wasn’t a very easy choice.

  • 3 1-03-2011 at 10:23 am

    eurocheese said...

    OK, my adventurous guesses:
    Black Swan
    Inception
    The Kids Are All Right
    The King’s Speech
    Shutter Island
    The Social Network
    The Town
    Toy Story 3
    True Grit
    Waiting for “Superman”

  • 4 1-03-2011 at 10:27 am

    Andrej said...

    Black Swan
    The Fighter
    Inception
    The Kids Are All Right
    The King’s Speech
    The Social Network
    Shutter Island
    Toy Story 3
    True Grit
    Winter’s Bone

    My 11th pick would be Shutter Island. If it gets in, it’s taking The Town’s spot.

    I’d like to see How to Train Your Dragon, but I’m fearing Toy Story 3’s box office’s far too big to adequately place two animated movies here.

    NGNG: Hereafter. How much can they love Clint Eastwood after Invictus?

  • 5 1-03-2011 at 10:28 am

    James Stewart said...

    Darryl F. Zanuck Producer of the Year Award for Motion Pictures
    “Black Swan”
    “The Fighter”
    “Inception”
    “The King’s Speech”
    “127 Hours”
    “The Social Network”
    “The Town”
    “Toy Story 3″
    “True Grit”
    “Winter´s Bone”

    Producer of the Year Award in Animated Theatrical Motion Pictures
    “Despicable Me”
    “How to Train Your Dragon”
    “The Illusionist”
    “Tangled”
    “Toy Story 3″

  • 6 1-03-2011 at 10:39 am

    starbucks10172 said...

    The Social Network
    The King’s Speech
    Toy Story 3
    Inception
    Black Swan

    The Fighter
    The Town
    True Grit
    127 Hours
    How to Train Your Dragon

  • 7 1-03-2011 at 11:05 am

    Joe7827 said...

    The Social Network
    Inception
    Toy Story 3
    Black Swan
    The King’s Speech
    True Grit
    The Fighter
    The Town
    How to Train Your Dragon
    Winter’s Bone

  • 8 1-03-2011 at 11:10 am

    Mr. F said...

    Black Swan
    The Fighter
    Inception
    How to Train Your Dragon
    The King’s Speech
    Shutter Island
    The Social Network
    The Town
    Toy Story 3
    True Grit

  • 9 1-03-2011 at 11:58 am

    Paul Outlaw said...

    Alice in Wonderland
    Black Swan
    The Fighter
    Inception
    The Kids Are All Right
    The King’s Speech
    Shutter Island
    The Social Network
    Toy Story 3
    True Grit

  • 10 1-03-2011 at 12:08 pm

    Mark Johnson said...

    Those are the same exact 10 films I posted today as my own predictions. So it’s good to know I’m on the same page as you, Kristopher.

  • 11 1-03-2011 at 12:10 pm

    Mark Johnson said...

    Oops… no it’s not. I have TKAAR over 127 Hours.

  • 12 1-03-2011 at 12:13 pm

    Lenny said...

    Here are my predictions…

    Black Swan
    The Fighter
    Inception
    The Kids Are All Right
    The King’s Speech
    The Social Network
    Shutter Island
    The Town
    Toy Story 3
    True Grit

    Also possibilities…

    127 Hours and Winter’s Bone

  • 13 1-03-2011 at 12:31 pm

    DylanS said...

    “127 Hours”
    “Black Swan”
    “The Fighter”
    “Inception”
    “The Kids Are All Right”
    “The King’s Speech”
    “The Social Network”
    “The Town”
    “Toy Story 3”
    “True Grit”

  • 14 1-03-2011 at 1:10 pm

    MIKETM732 said...

    The Social Network
    Toy Story 3
    Inception
    True Grit
    Black Swan
    The Fighter
    The King’s Speech
    Shutter Island
    The Ghost Writer
    The Town

  • 15 1-03-2011 at 3:41 pm

    Andrej said...

    … Fails. On my list I put Shutter Island and then said Shutter Island would be my alternative pick. I obviously meant to put The Town on my list.

  • 16 1-03-2011 at 4:56 pm

    Zach Heltzel said...

    “Black Swan”
    “The Fighter”
    “Inception”
    “The King’s Speech”
    “Scott Pilgrim vs. The World”
    “The Social Network”
    “The Town”
    “Toy Story 3″
    “True Grit”
    “Winter’s Bone”

    Scott Pilgrim? It keeps popping up in scattered places around the critics circles, and while it was a box office bomb, if there’s anywhere we could see it randomly rear its head…