In Contention

BOX OFFICE: ‘Potter,’ ‘Potter,’ ‘Potter’

The opening weekend for “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1” was good enough for sixth-best all time (I don’t use the adjusted stats Chad did) and the best debut for the franchise yet.  But there wasn’t exactly competition with “Megamind” having already been in theaters for two weeks.

(Courtesy: Exhibitor Relations)

Comments

12 responses to “BOX OFFICE: ‘Potter,’ ‘Potter,’ ‘Potter’”

  1. Loyal Avatar

    Potter appears to be pretty frontloaded. Depending on how it does this week, it could actually miss 300m. It has Tangled this week, then Narnia and Tron in December.

    Toy Story 3 and Inception could be our only 100m+ BP nominees (compared to 5 last year). Social Network may miss 100m, the Oscar bump has been diluted thanks to 10 nominees.

    Toy Story 3 – $414,681,777
    Inception – $291,914,445
    How To Train Your Dragon – $217,581,231 (no longer in theatres)
    Shutter Island – $128,012,934 (no longer in theatres)
    The Town – $90,772,781 (not updated)
    The Social Network – $89,234,000
    Secretariat – $56,368,000
    For Colored Girls – $34,540,000
    Hereafter – $32,175,000
    The Kids Are Alright – $20,811,365 (no longer in theatres)
    Winter’s Bone – $6,224,407 (not updated)
    Waiting for Superman – $6,129,000
    Conviction – $6,437,000
    Fair Game – $3,739,000
    Inside Job – $1,597,968
    127 Hours – $1,900,000
    Made in Dagenham – $41,100

  2. JJ1 Avatar
    JJ1

    Wonder how far Inception (292), The Town (91), The Social Network (89), Red (83), Secretariat (56), Fair Game, and others can go.

    Can they reach 300, 100, 100, 90, 60, etc..???

    Quite the low number for The Next Three Days, huh? Sad times for Crowe & Banks.

    I’ll be seeing 127 Hours tomorrow. Caught ‘Harry Potter: DH Part 1″ yesterday (as mentioned in the Tell Us What You Thought Of HP thread). Thought it was great; one of the best of the franchise.

  3. Graysmith Avatar
    Graysmith

    How utterly foolish of Lionsgate to release The Next Three Days against Potter. Maybe it was never destined to do very well, but it could’ve easily opened in the $10-15m range on a quieter weekend in the spring. They might just as well have released it straight to DVD and saved themselves the humiliation.

    But look at Fair Game go! It’s not doing gangbusters (per theater), but still, pretty amazing for such an under the radar film to be doing so fairly well and even managing to squeeze into the top ten.

  4. Jacob S. Avatar
    Jacob S.

    I wonder how the Worldwide numbers are – the last installment broke the record for best opening weekend worldwide.

  5. tony rock Avatar
    tony rock

    @Loyal…all Potter films are frontloaded on opening weekend. Chances are it’ll still make 300 mil .Just look at the numbers for the last one.

  6. Ben M. Avatar
    Ben M.

    I think Lionsgate was trying to mirror the counter-programming success Fox had launching Walk the Line against the last Nov. Potter, but Next Three Days didn’t have the same audience appeal Walk the Line did.

    On the limited-release oscar contender front, Fair Game looks on course for good, but not, great indie business, while I’m interested in seeing where 127 Hours and Made in Dagenham wind up. 127 Hours got off to a great start but has cooled off a bit for a still good $8,400 average from 108 theatres, so I could see $30 million happening but I don’t think it will be a Slumdog level b.o. success. While Made in Dagenham had a fairly underwhelming average of $13,700 from just 3 theatres (no doubt all in NY and LA where tickets prices are the highest) which, combined with an unremarkable metacritic score of 64, makes me wonder if its BP chances are fading.

  7. Michael Avatar
    Michael

    I contributed to Harry Potter (and WB’s) large intake of cash by seeing the film twice. I am happy that it has done well but don’t think it is necessarily deserving of the distinction of being the highest grossing (if not highest attended) of the series in terms of first weekend BO. I think the ceiling on this film will be between $350-$400mil.

  8. Loyal Avatar

    @Michael – You don’t have to worry about attendance.

    from BOM

    “In terms of estimated attendance, Deathly Hallows Part 1’s start came in slightly behind the first movie, Harry Potter and the Sorcerer’s Stone, and Goblet of Fire.”

  9. Jacob S. Avatar
    Jacob S.

    The New York Times just reported that it made $330mil worldwide, putting it at #5 for the biggest opening weekend (unadjusted for inflation).

  10. Jeremy Avatar

    Not to quibble, but assuming the estimates are accurate, it’s actually the second-highest unadjusted opener for the franchise; “Goblet of Fire” pulled in $127.4 MM in 2005. Of course, that’s still a bit misleading, since several of the others opened on Wednesday rather than Friday, meaning they didn’t get the benefit of midnight grosses (a whopping $24 MM for “Deathly Hallows”) in their three-day calculations.

    Regardless, I’m pleased with the result. I expect “Part II” to open even bigger, given that it’s more action-heavy and will bow in the summer, but I really love the mood-building in which “Part I” traffics. Yates and his actors do an excellent job capturing the enormity of their predicament and corresponding sense of despair. I know it’s just one fanboy’s opinion, but in my mind, these films just keep getting better.

  11. Jeremy Avatar

    My mistake: That “Goblet of Fire” figure is adjusted, so “Deathly Hallows” was indeed the top grosser for the franchise in unadjusted terms. Sorry, Kris.

    My opinion of the movie, however, remains the same.

  12. Leon Avatar
    Leon

    Seems like the DH1 pretty much proves that the Potter franchise has indeed topped out audience-wise and hasn’t really expanded. According to an analysis I read, that when taking into account inflation, opening weekend attendance was flat with its recent predecessors.

    310-330mil domestic is where I see it landing. 350mil, maybe. But 400mil and being close enough to sniff 400mil is likely well out of reach.