Well, this is what it all boils down to. I almost DON’T want to go on the record, but I kind of have to, right?
Anyway, this is the first year I’ve actually seen every single nominated frame of film before the big night so these will either be the most educated guesses I’ve ever given or the most unfortunately influenced, one can’t be too sure. Sometimes it’s better to predict in a void, other times not. I did pretty good last year (after a wicked slump for a few years), largely because I succumbed to inevitability more than I have in the past, but I don’t want to be all douchey and put forth my record. We all have ups and downs. I’m not personally convinced of probably half of these predictions, so you certainly shouldn’t be either.
One thing that catches my eye as I go through my “will wins,” “could wins” and “should wins” is that in many cases, I’m predicting the contender that I also feel delivers the best work in the category. But really, only in one arena could that stink of hopeful expectation (Best Actor). The rest is just reflective of how this weak, thin season trickled down. I almost always have a different preference than what actually wins, so I wouldn’t call me the wishful thinking sort when it comes to hammering these out.
Anyway, you’ll find category-by-category analysis throughout, but I have to say, those sound categories are fuckers this year. Pardon the vulgarity. It seems there are limitless possibilities. I’m of the mind that one film takes both, so take your pick: “Dark Knight,” “Slumdog” or “WALL-E.” I think the Academy at large doesn’t understand the subtlety of “WALL-E” (much like “No Country for Old Men” last year) and giving “Slumdog” a clean sweep seems to be too much. But I’ll get into those categories, and more, after the jump.
There is a slight possibility I’ll stick my head back in here to adjust this prediction or that before Sunday. If I do, I’ll be sure to draw your attention to it in this space. Check back later today with a look at all out contributors’ predictions. For now, here are mine…

This year Magnolia Pictures and Shorts International are partnering up once again to distribute the 10 Oscar nominated short films, both animated and live action. The package is set to release this Friday, Feb. 6 in select cities and you can also download the films via iTunes. Check out Shorts International’s official site for the films