The announcement of this year’s DGA nominees has left the sense that the races for Best Picture and Best Director are over. Not so. While the guild and Academy line up most of the time, and have a decent track record with the directing branch, we must not forget the years that proved otherwise. This could be such a year.
Ask yourself how many times the Best Picture category has lined up perfectly with the nominees for Best Director? Please also be aware that the DGA has awarded their prize sometimes to directors not even nominated for an Oscar: Ron Howard for “Apollo 13” and Steven Spielberg for “The Color Purple” to name a couple. So while the race is certainly clearer, it is by means over.
I still believe Woody Allen stands a strong chance for being nominated for “Vicky Christina Barcelona,” just as I believe that Darren Aronofsky could sneak in for “The Wrestler.” But who gets snubbed?
Gus Van Sant, Christopher Nolan, Ron Howard, David Fincher and Danny Boyle are worthy nominees all, most deserving of their attention and potential award. But who of those esteemed five could the Academy allow to slip away? It’s a tough call.
I hate to say it, but I think Fincher is the most likely snub. A stunning film to be sure, and likely the major nominee recipient…just as “The Color Purple” was in 1985. My gut tells me Fincher might get the shaft only because he’s been on that side of things before, and the others are just too hard to ignore. That said, let’s not forget that Ron Howard has been a victim of this sort in the past, for his finest work in fact, “Apollo 13.” And Nolan is in some dicey waters, though I doubt he could be the victim of the blockbuster mentality that haunted Spielberg for “Jaws” (and much of his career).
