October 14, 2006
First Stab at Golden Globe Predictions

I wanted to go ahead and at least get some thoughts down into print regarding the Golden Globes. I've heard this and that as far as HFPA reactions to certain films, but basically, I have no idea and am just throwing some stuff at the wall here. We'll have a clearer picture as the months progress:

Best Picture – Drama

“Blood Diamond”
“The Departed”
“The Good German”
“The Queen”

Best Picture – Comedy/Musical

“Little Miss Sunshine”
“The History Boys”
“Stranger Than Fiction”

Best Actor – Drama

George Clooney, “The Good German”
Leonardo DiCaprio, “Blood Diamond”
Jack Nicholson, “The Departed”
Will Smith, “The Pursuit of Happyness”
Forest Whitaker, “The Last King of Scotland”

Best Actor – Comedy/Musical

Sacha Baron Cohen, “Borat”
Russell Crowe, “A Good Year”
Will Ferrell, “Stranger Than Fiction”
Richard Griffiths, “The History Boys”
Peter O’Toole, “Venus”

Best Actress – Drama

Penelope Cruz, “Volver”
Judi Dench, “Notes on a Scandal”
Nicole Kidman, “Fur: An Imaginary Portrait of Diane Arbus”
Helen Mirren, “The Queen”
Kate Winslet, “Little Children”

Best Actress – Comedy/Musical

Annette Bening, “Running With Scissors”
Cameron Diaz, “The Holiday”
Jennifer Hudson, “Dreamgirls”
Meryl Streep, “The Devil Wears Prada”
Renee Zellweger, “Miss Potter”

Best Supporting Actor

Alan Arkin, “Little Miss Sunshine”
Djimon Hounsou, “Blood Diamond”
Eddie Murphy, “Dreamgirls”
Brad Pitt, “Babel”
Michael Sheen, “The Queen”

Best Supporting Actress

Cate Blanchett, “Babel”
Adriana Barraza, “Babel”
Abigail Breslin, “Little Miss Sunshine”
Jill Clayburgh, “Running With Scissors”
Emma Thompson, “Stranger Than Fiction”

Best Director

Bill Condon, “Dreamgirls”
Clint Eastwood, “Flags of Our Fathers”
Stephen Frears, “The Queen”
Martin Scorsese, “The Departed”
Edward Zwick, “Blood Diamond”

Best Screenplay

“Blood Diamond”
“Little Miss Sunshine”
“The Queen”

Best Original Score

James Horner, “All the King’s Men”
Gustavo Santaolalla, “Babel”
James Newton Howard, “Blood Diamond”
John Tavener, “Children of Men”
Thomas Newman, “The Good German”


I think Flags of Our Fathers should be in the Best Picture Drama.

Jennifer Hudson should be in the Best Supporting category.

Cameron Diaz should be replaced by Kate Winslet (also in The Holiday) in the Best Actress Comedy.

Hudson will probably be sent lead in the manner of Zeta-Jones.

The omission I find most striking, given the overall love you've predicted for the film, is Alexandre Desplat, who the HFPA have clearly warmed to.

The category I am personally most curious about is Actor-Musical/Comedy. We have O'Toole, Griffiths, Crowe, Depp, Cohen, Ferrell and Foxx.
All seem like the sort that would normally be nominated (for varying reasons) as far as I can see.

But isn't A Good Year bad. And Crowe bad in it?

Numberina, never underestimate Cameron Diaz with the Globes. She already has four nominations to her credit.

But Kris, did you intentionally not put Flags into Picture, but did put Eastwood into Director. I don't think they'll go for Flags, either though.

And isn't Griffiths supporting? You've said so yourself.

Oh, nevermind about Griffiths. I read the blog first before the page.

A Good Year is currently at 71% Fresh at RT. That's not bad at all. Although it could still change. A Good Year may not be an Oscar caliber film but Crowe has a good chance to be nominated for GGs Comedy Actor category at least so let's not count him out yet.

Also, I could see Little Children being nominated for Drama than Blood Diamond. Anyway, good predix Kris.

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