Features







2007-08 Oscar Calendar



[Monday, December 3, 2007]

Official Screen Credits
Forms Due.


[Wednesday, December 26, 2007]

Nominations ballots mailed.


[Saturday, January 12, 2008]

Nominations polls close
5 p.m. PST.


[Tuesday, January 22, 2008]

Nominations announced
5:30 a.m. PST
Samuel Goldwyn Theater


[Wednesday, January 30, 2008]

Final ballots mailed.


[Monday, February 4, 2008]

Nominees Luncheon


[Saturday, February 9, 2008]

Scientific and Technical
Awards Dinner


[Tuesday, February 19, 2008]

Final polls close 5 p.m. PST.


[Sunday, February 24, 2008]

79th Annual
Academy Awards Presentation
Kodak Theatre

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Clarification and BFCA

wild2.jpg


Someone at a party last night told me people are confused about my latest round of charts and how drastically different they are from the week before. Apparently in this town, people are quicker to simply read the predictions and too lazy to read through the column more often than not. In any case, let me say again that Monday's chart update was an experiement and nowhere near my actual predictions. The weekend's critics groups had me at a loss and rather than wait another week for an update, I figured I would offer a set of predictions that reflected the weekend's events. But, as well all know, the weekend's events do not account for as much as many would like to think, so don't get your panties in a twist.


All that said, I think the BFCA's announcement today was equally boring and clarifying. Three nods for "There Will Be Blood" makes more sense than the film becoming a giant Oscar juggernaut. I think the group has the final five or Best Pic list in our top ten and I think the acting races are much clearer now as well. Full discussion of that is going on at Red Carpet District.


Anyway, I just wanted to clarify all of that regarding the charts. There'll be a major shift again next week as we get back to business as usual - predicting, not reacting. If all we did was react, we would expect things like, oh, I don't know, "Into the Wild" leading the field of the most reliable prognosticative precursor?


I'm going back to bed. Enjoy the nominations (which are listed in full after the jump).

From the BFCA webstie:


Best Picture
American Gangster
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
Juno
The Kite Runner
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood


Best Actor
George Clooney - Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp - Sweeney Todd
Ryan Gosling - Lars and the Real Girl
Emile Hirsch - Into the Wild
Viggo Mortensen - Eastern Promises


Best Actress
Amy Adams - Enchanted
Cate Blanchett - Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie - La Vie en Rose
Angelina Jolie - A Mighty Heart
Ellen Page - Juno


Best Supporting Actor
Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook - Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson - Michael Clayton


Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Catherine Keener - Into the Wild
Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton


Best Acting Ensemble
Hairspray
Juno
No Country for Old Men
Sweeney Todd
Gone Baby Gone
Before the Devil Knows You're Dead


Best Director
Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Sidney Lumet - Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Joe Wright - Atonement


Best Writer
Diablo Cody - Juno
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Nancy Oliver - Lars and the Real Girl
Sean Penn - Into the Wild
Aaron Sorkin - Charlie Wilson's War


Best Animated Feature
Bee Movie
Beowulf
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie


Best Young Actor
Michael Cera - Juno
Michael Cera - Superbad
Freddie Highmore - August Rush
Ahmad Khan Mahmoodzada - The Kite Runner
Edward Sanders - Sweeney Todd


Best Young Actress
Nikki Blonsky - Hairspray
Dakota Blue Richards - The Golden Compass
AnnaSophia Robb - Bridge to Terabithia
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement


Best Comedy Movie
Dan in Real Life
Hairspray
Juno
Knocked Up
Superbad


Best Family Film
August Rush
Enchanted
The Golden Compass
Hairspray
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix


Best Picture Made for Television
The Company
Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee
Tin Man
The War


Best Foreign Language Film
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
4 Months, 3 Weeks, and 2 Days
La Vie en Rose
Lust, Caution
The Orphanage


Best Song
"Come So Far", Queen Latifah, Nikki Blonsky, Zac Efron, Elijah Kelley - Hairspray
"Do You Feel Me", Anthony Hamilton - American Gangster
"Falling Slowly", Glen Hansard and Marketa Irglova, Jesse L. Martin and Cast - Once
"That's How You Know", Amy Adams - Enchanted


Best Composer
Marco Beltrami - 3:10 to Yuma
Alexandre Desplat - Lust, Caution
Clint Eastwood - Grace Is Gone
Jonny Greenwood - There Will Be Blood
James Horner - The New World
Dario Marianelli - Atonement
Alan Menken - Enchanted


Best Documentary
Darfur Now
In the Shadow of the Moon
The King of Kong
No End In Sight
Sharkwater
Sicko

Comments

This might be a stupid question, but how does The New World qualify for composer?

This might be the second stupid question, but "Julie Christie - La Vie en Rose" left me puzzled.. who was nominated? Christie or Cotillard?

Kris,

Shouldn't your predictions always be, well, your final predictions? I don't understand why you'd want to post "experimental" predictions that you don't personally believe in. It's only going to confuse your readers.

For instance, "There Will Be Blood" should not have suddenly jumped to #3 when it wasn't on your Top 10 a week ago. I could understand it jumping to #7 or so, but posting such "reactionary" predictions, even if they merely experimental, is a bit hasty. It seems like you're shuffling your deck just because you enjoy shuffling it.

John,. not that I didn't think I was painfully clear in the item above, but I'll say it again. I had no idea how to predict after the critics weighed in theis weekend. The waters were doubly muddied and so I figured, rather than leaving a black hole in the week, I would offer up a set of charts that reflected what the race would look like if one were to simply go by the week's happenings. And, my hypothesis was correct - the predictions look completely wrong.

Anyway, it shouldn't confuse readers who actually READ the copy.

And FYI, I do enjoy shuffling my deck sometimes. What can I say?

Anyway, like I mentioned, next week we'll be back to business around these parts and I'm sure the readership will have something else to complain about.

I did read your post; don't assume that I didn't.

I just don't understand the idea of posting predictions based on solely one week of news. It's like predicting the Super Bowl winner going off of only last week's games. I know that you did it just to post something, but ehhh, posting nothing would have been better than posting something you're going to renounce a week from now.

Oh well.

Understanding the vastness of Kristopher Tapley's mind is a colossal task indeed. But don't give him too much grief, boys & girls. Let him shuffle his deck till the cows come home. He truly does enjoy that - & I think he's earned the right...

Into the Wild doesn't deserve a Best Picture nomination in my opinion.

The story lacked any real substance, and the film was at least a half hour longer then it really needed to be. I loved the cinematography, and the music...but a Best Picture nomination?? Hopefully not. The film would have made a much better documentary, like Werner Herzog did with "Grizzly Man" (the film about Timothy Treadwell).

Are the new, post-BFCA charts with INTO THE WILD taking major jumps in every catagory real predictions or just experimental, pretend ones? I can't tell from reading the copy.

Oh, they're real ones, Summer's Eve.

The BFCA. Is there a more vanilla critics group out there?

I just was browsing the list of critics who belong to the BFCA, most of whom I've never heard of, and who I do I happen to stumble across but Kris Tapley.

I didn't know you belonged to them. Did you ever make this known? Regardless, pretty cool.

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2008 Year in Advance Predictions


UPDATED: 2/25/2008





Main Charts | Tech Charts



[Motion Picture]

“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

“Doubt”

“Frost/Nixon”

“Revolutionary Road”

“The Soloist”



[Directing]

David Fincher
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

Ron Howard
“Frost/Nixon”

Gus Van Sant
“Milk”

Sam Mendes
“Revolutionary Road”

Joe Wright
“The Soloist”



[Actor in a Leading Role]

Benicio Del Toro
“The Argentine”

Jamie Foxx
“The Soloist”

Frank Langella
“Frost/Nixon”

Sean Penn
“Milk”

Brad Pitt
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”



[Actress in a Leading Role]

Vera Farmiga
“Nothing But the Truth”

Angelina Jolie
“Changeling”

Julianne Moore
“Blindness”

Meryl Streep
“Doubt”

Kate Winslet
“Revolutionary Road”



[Actor in a Supporting Role]

Josh Brolin
“Milk”

Russell Crowe
“Body of Lies”

Robert Downey, Jr.
“The Soloist”

Heath Ledger
“The Dark Knight”

Michael Sheen
“Frost/Nixon”



[Actress in a Supporting Role]

Amy Adams
“Doubt”

Kathy Bates
“Revolutionary Road”

Cate Blanchett
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

Catherine Keener
“The Soloist”

Carice van Houten
“Body of Lies”



[Writing, Adapted Screenplay]

“Body of Lies”

“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

“Doubt”

“Frost/Nixon”

“Revolutionary Road”



[Writing, Original Screenplay]

“Changeling”

“Hamlet 2”

“Milk”

“The Soloist”

“WALL·E”



[Art Direction]

“Australia”

“Defiance”

“Indiana Jones and the Kingdom
of the Crystal Skull”

“Red Cliff”

“Revolutionary Road”



[Cinematography]

“Australia”

“The Dark Knight”

“Defiance”

“Indiana Jones and the Kingdom
of the Crystal Skull”

“Revolutionary Road”



[Costume Design]

“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

“Doubt”

“The Other Boleyn Girl”

“Red Cliff”

“Revolutionary Road”



[Film Editing]

“Body of Lies”

“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

“Defiance”

“Frost/Nixon”

“Indiana Jones and the Kingdom
of the Crystal Skull”



[Makeup]

“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

“The Dark Knight”

“Red Cliff”



[Music, Original Score]

“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

“Indiana Jones and the Kingdom
of the Crystal Skull”

“The Soloist”

“Revolutionary Road”

“WALL·E”



[Music, Original Song]

coming soon



[Sound Editing]

“Defiance”

“Indiana Jones and the Kingdom
of the Crystal Skull”

“Iron Man”

“Speed Racer”

“WALL·E”



[Sound Mixing]

“Defiance”

“Indiana Jones and the Kingdom
of the Crystal Skull”

“Cloverfield”

“The Chronicles of Narnia:
Prince Caspian”

“WALL·E”



[Visual Effects]

“The Chronicles of Narnia:
Prince Caspian”

“The Incredible Hulk”

“Iron Man”



[Animated Feature Film]

“9”

“Kung Fu Panda”

“WALL·E”



[Foreign Language Film]

coming soon



[Documentary, Features]

coming soon



[Documentary, Short Subjects]

coming soon



[Short Film, Animated]

coming soon



[Short Film, Live Action]

coming soon