Starting the prediction game

Posted by · 3:18 pm · July 28th, 2011

Right, I stayed out of the Oscar prediction racket for a while — partly to give myself a vacation from any such thoughts after 2010’s long, wearying season, and partly because I found myself struggling to blindly sort a pile of late-year prestige titles that struck me from afar as a little lean. The latter […]

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Guess again: final predictions and preferences

Posted by · 10:23 am · February 27th, 2011

“Oh Sister, I have such doubts!” I’m not given to quoting overwrought (if Oscar-nominated) ecclesiastical dramas at the best of times, but let’s face it, this is not the best of times. There comes a time in every Oscar-watcher’s life when he has to accept the things he cannot change — or simply stop changing […]

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Reminder: Join our Picktainment Oscar pool!

Posted by · 7:56 am · February 26th, 2011

If you haven’t joined our Oscar pool at Picktainment.com, you can do so by going here.  Sign up for an account if you’re new and then go back to this link and start making your picks. I’ve completed the weighting of the categories.  I had to settle on something because the poll stopped working randomly […]

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Just walk away: final predictions

Posted by · 4:45 pm · February 25th, 2011

While Guy is pulling his hair out (I know the feeling), I’m backing off.  At some point you have to put your pencil down and step away, and so I am. For me, the most difficult categories to pick — and the ones I found myself flip-flopping on down the stretch — were Best Supporting […]

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OSCAR TALK: Ep. 54 — Final predictions and thoughts!

Posted by · 9:03 am · February 25th, 2011

Welcome to Oscar Talk. In case you’re new to the site and/or the podcast, Oscar Talk is a weekly kudocast, your one-stop awards chat shop between yours truly and Anne Thompson of Thompson on Hollywood. The podcast is weekly, every Friday throughout the season, charting the ups and downs of contenders along the way. Plenty […]

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Okay, now for the REAL competition

Posted by · 2:06 pm · January 25th, 2011

(UPDATE: Dave Karger reached out and noted that his picks for the screenplay fields were actually in the newsstand issue of Entertainment weekly, and that he got 10/10.  He is noted below, fine, but come on — is it so hard to put it online?) I did some poking around in the usual corners to […]

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FINAL final nomination predictions

Posted by · 5:00 am · January 25th, 2011

Just so it’s on the record. I wavered back and forth in Best Visual Effects, but I’ve finally landed on “Scott Pilgrim vs. the World” scoring one for the underdogs. My final forecast here.

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TECH SUPPORT: Final analysis, part one

Posted by · 8:57 am · January 20th, 2011

It seems hard to believe that it’s been more than six months since I wrote this year’s introductory Tech Support column ( a dissection of the art direction race). Much has changed since then, naturally, as we are less than a week away from the big day when we find out the nominees for the […]

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Golden Globes: who will win, and who should

Posted by · 7:14 am · January 16th, 2011

My predictions for tonight’s Golden Globe awards have been in black-and-white over at Gold Derby since the nominations were announced, but I thought I’d make them clear on these pages — along with a note or two on my personal favorites in each category. The Globes may get a lot of flak from journos and […]

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Your winner predictions

Posted by · 4:58 am · January 12th, 2011

As I did last year when Kris posted his pre-nomination winner predictions, I tallied up your responses to see how our readers currently view the race. And either you’re blind disciples of Kris or, far more likely, we’re in for one surprise-free season, as your collective predictions match his in every category but two — […]

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Weekly predictions update

Posted by · 3:51 pm · January 5th, 2011

As you may have noticed, my long-delayed Best of 2010 feature went up earlier today, and I’ve been enjoying your generous response thus far. It does, however, come in lieu of this week’s Long Shot column: there are only so many hours in the day, and frankly, it’s getting increasingly difficult to find any fresh […]

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Make your SAG predictions

Posted by · 5:29 pm · December 15th, 2010

Now that most of the major critics’ groups have had their say, tomorrow begins the second phase of the precursor season, as the Screen Actors’ Guild makes the first of this year’s industry award pronouncements. I always feel a twinge of dread about the SAG nomination list — frequently more middle-of-the-road than the critics’ picks, […]

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Guessing the Globes

Posted by · 1:31 pm · December 13th, 2010

[UPDATE: Musical/Comedy predictions amended following tip from readers that “Nowhere Boy” has correctly been entered as a drama.] A fundamentally silly exercise it may be, but predicting the Golden Globe nominees is more fun than most such rituals. This is largely because, year in and year out, we’re guaranteed at least a couple of heroically […]

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Predict the LA and NY critics’ awards

Posted by · 7:58 am · December 11th, 2010

Tomorrow brings out the big guns in the critics’ awards derby, as the Los Angeles Film Critics’ Circle unveil their picks, with the New York Film Critics’ Circle following on Monday. (I believe the less prestigious but often interesting New York Online crix are announcing tomorrow too.) I offered some thoughts on the significance of […]

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Predicting the National Board of Review awards

Posted by · 4:40 pm · December 1st, 2010

Even more so than the Indie Spirit nods that landed yesterday, the National Board of Review honors are seen by many as the season’s official starting gun — though there are just as many who would question their right to such significance. The NBR gets stick on an annual basis for a range of middlebrow […]

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Cut straight to the predix

Posted by · 8:43 pm · October 27th, 2010

I spent some time this morning weeding and updating my current nomination predictions, and had planned to introduce them with today’s Long Shot column. As it turns out, LFF wrap-up business, a pair of catch-up screenings (one of them with a Supporting Actress contender who you may have heard sets the screen ablaze) and a […]

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Some predictions for a Sunday

Posted by · 2:42 pm · September 19th, 2010

Okay, so it’s been almost two months since I last offered up some Oscar nomination predictions, so now that the big triple-header of autumn festivals is over, I thought it time for an update. (Remember, you can always access my predictions page at the tail of the right-hand sidebar.) With the season slowly beginning to […]

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I’ll give you 10 guesses

Posted by · 11:13 am · July 30th, 2010

Oh, okay then. I’ve held out longer than most, but with the summer mostly played out, and newly unveiled schedules for Venice and Toronto signifying that the fall film season is already breathing down our necks, now is as good a time as any to go on the record with some Oscar predictions. In years […]

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