In Contention


‘W.’ TV spot

Posted by Kristopher Tapley · 7:06 am · September 23rd, 2008

Bad quality, but here it is.  And a different one here.  I’m starting to sense a Best Actor nod for Josh Brolin is more in the cards than initially expected.  But that script.  I don’t know, maybe it’ll all come out in the wash:




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13 responses so far

  • 1 9-23-2008 at 7:24 am

    nick said...

    yeah, this is going to be hysterical (in both a good way and a frustrating way) and Brolin really seems to have nailed the POTUS; a nom could certainly be in the cards. Plus, he looks riveting in the trailer for Milk, so if he’s great in two films, he’s likely to get a nod for one of ‘em.

  • 2 9-23-2008 at 7:32 am

    BobMcBob said...

    The film will make a bigger splash at the box office than plethora of Iraq films that came out recently, because of this film’s comedic touch and Josh Brolin’s everyman appeal, but an oscar nomination isn’t likely for this role (have you seen how crowded the race is), because it’s a comedic role and the history is too recent. Brolin is more likely to get a nod for “Milk” in the supporting category (though that category is beginning to feel crowded as well).

    At least Brolin can look forward to interesting roles ahead with the good buzz he’s been getting lately.

  • 3 9-23-2008 at 7:51 am

    Ivan said...

    Brolin could make it with the precursors like GG

    BEST ACTOR COMEDY
    Josh Brolin/W
    Robert Downey Jr./Iron Man
    Philip Seymour Hoffman/Synecdoche, N Y
    Martin Landau/Lovely Still
    Dev Patel/Slumdog Millionaire

    BEST ACTOR DRAMA
    Leonardo DiCaprio/Revolutionary Road
    Frank Langella/Frost-Nixon
    Viggo Mortensen/The Road
    Sean Penn/Milk
    Mickey Rourke/The Wrestler

  • 4 9-23-2008 at 8:07 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Not sure I’m buying you’re reasoning against the “W” nod, Bob. And the film is being sold as a comedy, but the script gives plenty of drama for the actor to chew on, so don’t be too swayed by the role’s particulars based on the trailer.

    Also, Brolin’s chances are definitely better for Stone’s film in any case, as Franco is the real supporting stand-out in “Milk,” from what I’ve been told.

  • 5 9-23-2008 at 8:27 am

    Jonathan Spuij said...

    This trailer sure gives it a sort of Dr. Strangelove feel. Can’t wait to see it.

  • 6 9-23-2008 at 1:32 pm

    Paul said...

    Agree with you, Kristopher. “W” is not a pure comedy by any means and will have plenty of serious drama. It’s just that there are a multitude of slapsticky moments in the Bush presidency, and more importantly in his earlier life, and so you’re going to see a lot of those moments in a trailer.

    That said, I think the biggest impediment to Brolin getting a Best Actor nom for “W” is just the inherently political nature of the role and what I suspect will be the Academy’s natural reluctance to fall into the trap of honoring a political performance that all of Red State America will likely hate. That will lead to the media and all the conservatives once again railing against the Academy and Hollywood elite for being lefties and out of touch with mainstream America.

    It’s why I think that if there are nominations to be had in “W”, they will more likely go to Elizabeth Banks for “Laura Bush” and possibly Geoffrey Wright for “Colin Powell” or James Cromwell for “George Bush Sr.” These roles are more sympathetic, and are the more grounded, less caricatured performances that the Academy may gravitate towards.

    Elizabeth Banks, of them all, seems the best positioned for a Supporting Actress nom as “Laura Bush”. That’s where I’d put my money.

  • 7 9-23-2008 at 2:08 pm

    BobMcBob said...

    Here is the two main reason Josh Brolin has NO chance of being nominated for Best Actor:

    1. Only twice in the last 5 years was there a Best Actor Oscar nomination given for the lead in a “dramedy”: Bill Murray for “Last in Translation” and Peter O’Toole for “Venus”. Murray’s nomination was a career achievement award for his best lead performance in years, and O’Toole’s nod was his first in 24 years to recognize the legend can still pull off a great performance in his twilight years.

    Brolin has not done enough quality film work to receive a career achievement nomination, nor is he a legend off sabbatical with a resurgence.

    Also, when is the last time that a comedic biopic was nominated for significant Oscars?

  • 8 9-23-2008 at 2:12 pm

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Neither of those, given the zeitgeist, is enough to declare that Brolin has “no” chance, and I don’t think anyone here would disagree.

    As for your question, how often do you really get a comedic biopic of any considerable quality? Doesn’t wash. And anyway, like I said, I think this is being sold as funnier than it is.

  • 9 9-23-2008 at 2:32 pm

    BurmaShave said...

    Two things to consider: I can’t think of anyone other than Scorsese in the contemporary era who has as good a track record of directing Best Actor nominated performances (Woods, Douglas, Cruise, Hopkins)

    And secondly, look it up: When has an actor playing a major President in the lead role in a major film not been nominated for Best Actor? And don’t give me JEFFERSON IN PARIS.

  • 10 9-23-2008 at 2:37 pm

    Paul said...

    Yeah, I reject your premise, McBob, that “W” is a comedy or a dramedy. It is a Biopic first and foremost. A biopic like “Walk the Line”, “Ray”, “The Aviator”, etc.

    One can argue about how comedic or not it is, but it is a “Biopic”. It’s called “W.” for chrissakes.

    All of that said, I still ultimately agree with you – for entirely different reasons – that Brolin faces long odds for a Best Actor nom for all the reasons I mentioned in my previous post.

    I think “W.” will be viewed as an “important” movie. A meaningful movie. And a movie with a number of great performances. I just don’t think it will be Brolin who gets the accolades (fairly or unfairly). It will be one or several of the supporting roles like “Laura Bush” or “Colin Powell”, etc.

  • 11 9-23-2008 at 6:52 pm

    BobMcBob said...

    “Walk the Line”, “Ray”, “The Aviator”, etc. were all extremely serious biopics with no aspirations for comedy, and they dealt with iconic figures in the past. “W.” is a biopic, but ignoring it’s comedic elements is foolish if you think of the Academy’s choices (even it’s recent aberrations).

    “W.” is the first film to depict a president still in office. The Academy doesn’t nominate historical films that dead with recent history.

    Additionally, there are too many well-known actors in films far more prestigious; thus I guarantee Brolin will not be nominated. He may grab a Golden Glode nomination in the comedic category, but that is only a way to reward him for his recent status in films.

    But he has NO chance of getting an Best Oscar nomination.

  • 12 9-24-2008 at 2:20 am

    Guy Lodge said...

    If Frank Langella is the lock most people (though not me) seem to think he is, how likely is the Academy to give two spots on the ballot to portrayal of unpopular presidents?

    Just asking.

  • 13 9-24-2008 at 2:23 am

    Guy Lodge said...

    I mean “portrayals” … aaargh.

    By the way, I doubt the Globes will slot this into the musical/comedy category. They’re not that imaginative, and as Kris said, the marketing is funnier than the script.