Taking questions for Oscar Talk

Posted by · 2:47 pm · September 7th, 2011

You know the drill. Rifle off any queries you might have and Anne and I will address a few on Friday’s podcast. PLEASE KEEP IT TO ONE QUESTION, and as always, steer clear of things we’ve already covered. Give us something good to chew on.




→ 42 Comments Tags: | Filed in: Daily

42 responses so far

  • 1 9-07-2011 at 2:49 pm

    Joe said...

    How are Philip Seymour Hoffman’s chances looking? He’s be in the talks, but as the Moneyball and the Ides of March trailers have come out, his role’s sizes and depth seem a bit shaky, based on the trailers, for a real Oscar contender?

  • 2 9-07-2011 at 2:52 pm

    TheyCallMeMrTits said...

    Which movie do you feel better captures that feeling of change in the 1960s: Richard Lester’s ‘Help!’ or The Help?

  • 3 9-07-2011 at 2:55 pm

    Dana Jones said...

    Eddie Murphy- thumbs up or down?

  • 4 9-07-2011 at 2:57 pm

    m1 said...

    Could Rooney Mara get a supporting actress nomination like Hailee Steinfeld did last year?

  • 5 9-07-2011 at 3:08 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    With Toronto coming up, how do you think it is that a comparatively unprestigious, unstructured festival — with no competition element and a huge amount of repeats from other fests — became the key festival in the Oscar conversation? Is it just a matter of when and where it is situated, or is there more to it than that?

  • 6 9-07-2011 at 3:10 pm

    Dickie Greenleaf said...

    Do you think Clooney has potential to win his second acting Oscar for “Descendants”?

  • 7 9-07-2011 at 3:13 pm

    Graysmith said...

    With Pixar hitting a rare bump in the road, what film do you think will win Best Animated Feature Film?

    Rango seems like the only film up until now that could win, and the rest of the year doesn’t look all that promising. Tintin is a question mark since the Academy don’t consider motion capture to be animation and they haven’t warmed up to these type of films before.. Then there’s just a bunch of sequels, and Puss in Boots.

    Maybe my question should be “Should the Academy even bother giving out an Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film this year?”.

  • 8 9-07-2011 at 3:19 pm

    Joe Israel said...

    I was hoping you could talk a little bit about which of the slew of great documentaries so far this year have the best shot of getting a nominee. It seems like “Project Nim” and “Tabloid” have the most buzz, but “Senna” and especially “The Interrupters” have been my personal favorites.

  • 9 9-07-2011 at 3:20 pm

    Maxim said...

    Graysmith, not to interrupt the question flow (and I’d hate to sound like a broken record) but what you are saying is blatantly not true. The academy nominated “Monster House” and “Happy Feet” in the same year. Both used motion capture and the later one won.

    Also, let’s not write off the year just yet. Especially one that includes a film as brilliant as “Rio”. See it, if you haven’t already.

  • 10 9-07-2011 at 3:22 pm

    Bryce H. said...

    This is NOT a Dragon Tattoo question as I believe the film’s chances have been covered already, this is more a general question about non-Oscar bait material.

    I will make two assumptions before posing this question: 1) The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo is a critical success (let’s say its Metascore is somewhere between mid-70s to, at the highest, 90 and a Tomatometer of 80-100). 2) It’s a box office success.
    Critical acclaim and box office success – not a huge stretch of the imagination.

    Has there ever been a critically-acclaimed, box office hit based on well-loved source material released in late December by an Oscar-nominated director* – and an Oscar winning crew in the music, editing, and writing categories – that many have predicted for awards success only to NOT receive any* Academy attention?

    *Especially one recently (objectively) snubbed for an Oscar
    **I say “any” because I don’t see GwtDT predicted anywhere

    (Oh, and a film with the potential for a breakout performance from a new actress in a very showy role.)

    The topic interests me because while I understand your argument about GwtDT not being Oscar material, I also think that the awards season and the Academy has changed a lot since Se7en and Fight Club. But if you have a precedent for this thinking I’d love to know what it is.

  • 11 9-07-2011 at 3:24 pm

    evelyn garver said...

    What are Michael Fassbender’s chances for a nomination for SHAME?

  • 12 9-07-2011 at 3:30 pm

    Jake Garza said...

    Do you think the Weinstein Period Pieces are going to sweep the Oscars…because they do have a lot of films that look great coming our way!

  • 13 9-07-2011 at 3:37 pm

    Duncan Houst said...

    I’m well aware of the many reasons why “Shame” isn’t likely to get any Oscar movement. That being said, is it still an outside possibility for Fassbender to get in Best Actor for the film?

  • 14 9-07-2011 at 3:50 pm

    Erik said...

    Take Shelter appears nowhere on your predictions despite your high marks. Is it just not the Academy’s cup of tea or is it unlikely to get a real campaign push?

  • 15 9-07-2011 at 3:53 pm

    John said...

    Steve Pond just declared “The Descendants” as the Best Picture winner. Thoughts? And at this juncture, what is your gun-to-the-head prediction for the top prize?

  • 16 9-07-2011 at 3:57 pm

    ninja said...

    Any hope Rooney Mara and her Lisbeth Salander steal Keira Knightley`s controversal sex + mental disorder + nudity thunder?

  • 17 9-07-2011 at 4:08 pm

    Rashad said...

    Which sci-fi films from up 2000-2008 do you feel would be nominated in the post-10 nominee climate?

  • 18 9-07-2011 at 4:08 pm

    daniel said...

    do you think Kirsten Dunst is completely off the radar and who’s chances have been eclipsed by more recent films as she stands now as being Melancholia’s only real chance ?

  • 19 9-07-2011 at 4:24 pm

    JJ1 said...

    Rachel Weisz. The actress has several baity films either out now or coming up. What’s the latest on her/is she still in the conversation, at all?

  • 20 9-07-2011 at 4:26 pm

    DylanS said...

    Of the potential late season bloomers (Young Adult, War Horse, J. Edgar, Extremely Loud, ect.), which one do you think is the likeliest to falter? considering that usually at least one always does

  • 21 9-07-2011 at 4:42 pm

    Andrej said...

    With Chastain, Gosling, Fassbender, Hardy, Clooney, and other screen monopolizers around, how likely do you think it is getting double acting nods this year, and who do you think has the best shot at it?

  • 22 9-07-2011 at 4:59 pm

    Knative said...

    According to Variety, the people behind “Heroes of Nanjing” are hoping to get the film released in the US this December. Considering the film stars Christian Bale, has a huge budget (93 million US dollars), is directed by a very good director , and is about an instance of WWIIish genocide, could that film be a player this season?

  • 23 9-07-2011 at 5:18 pm

    JFK said...

    I’d like to hear your thoughts on the potential for Charlotte Rampling to make it into the race for Eye of the Storm.

  • 24 9-07-2011 at 5:47 pm

    Rob R said...

    Why aren’t more predictors putting Ryan Gosling among the top of the lead actor favorites? He stars in 3 accessible movies that are being released between july and october, it just seems like the perfect storm for him.

    And it doesn’t hurt that he was passed over last year for his performance in Blue Valentine.

  • 25 9-07-2011 at 6:26 pm

    Kidman said...

    Talking about directors, if Stephen Daldry gets a fourth nomination in four film, what do you think it will mean? What do you think this record would mean?

    I love Daldry’s work but I got the feeling he has always been considered as only ”good” by cinephiles.

  • 26 9-07-2011 at 6:28 pm

    J. said...

    If neither of Gosling’s leading turns catch fire with the Academy (as seems to be the assumption), could Warner Bros. campaign him in Supporting for ‘Crazy, Stupid, Love’? It’s a pliable category this year — seems like it could spun as the “feel-good performance of the year,” a la Cuba Gooding Jr. in Jerry Maguire.

  • 27 9-07-2011 at 6:28 pm

    JJ1 said...

    I asked a question already. So I’m done. But I second Rob R’s above ^

  • 28 9-07-2011 at 6:36 pm

    Ryan S said...

    Why do you think The New York Film Festival was not able to secure a huge debut like they did last year with The Social Network? And what does this mean for the relevance of the NYFF in the future?

  • 29 9-07-2011 at 6:42 pm

    Jack said...

    With some of Sony Pictures Classics’ releases underwhelming at Venice, do you think they can put some effort to get major nomination for A Separation not unlike foreign hits like The Diving Bell and the Butterfly and City of God did in the past? It seems like audiences respond really well to it.

  • 30 9-07-2011 at 7:07 pm

    kel said...

    Two quick questions…

    1. Can Tom Hanks return to the Oscar Lead Actor race?

    2. Is Keira Knightley lead or supporting? You have her as supporting, but Sasha Stone @ Awards Daily has her as lead.

  • 31 9-07-2011 at 7:32 pm

    Keith said...

    Rob R, I’m starting to agree with you. I’m thinking he may have a stronger shot than I thought. The marketing for Drive has been much stronger and smarter than I expected. And if the critical response leans towards rapturous, and it seems to be edging that way, AND if Drive can pull out of Toronto with more buzzier buzz, I think he can get in there. I just came across the love letter to him at EW and wow, was that written by his publicist? ha! Granted it’s EW and they overstate everything. Seems to be a clamor among some in the press to push him into the top tier, which I’m all for. But that could also doom him. And I’m not convinced he wants that. Sorry. I know this isn’t a question.

    As for my question, about Streep. I think we all know she’ll be nominated. Why is she never in a film that is truly GREAT? I know this echos a running joke about her being fantastic but in mediocre movies. But why don’t the big directors, the perceived masters and kings like Scorsese, or even younger masters like Fincher ever entertain her for a part and put in her a Best Picture contender? I know some of it may be what she’s interested in or what’s offered to her. I just find this baffling, why she’s not working with directors everyone considers in the top tier.

  • 32 9-07-2011 at 7:48 pm

    Danny King said...

    Don’t know if you saw this or not, but Travers called “Moneyball” one of the year’s best. If the reviews hold up, do you think it could sneak into the Best Picture race despite its subject matter? With Miller behind the camera — and the credited co-writers — I have a hard time believing it’ll be as generic as some expect.

    Also, I noticed that Michael Shannon was pretty low on your Best Actor charts — even lower than Giamatti in “Win Win,” which hasn’t been talked about for a while. Do you really think the film is too small to gain any significant buzz. That fifth Best Actor slot looks shaky — I’m not sure Hardy will hang on, despite giving an astounding performance — and, given the uniform support, Shannon seems like a viable contender to sneak in.

  • 33 9-07-2011 at 8:20 pm

    Kyle T. said...

    Is the removal of Hugo from the Best Picture predictions spot based solely on the uneven trailer, or is there buzz that you are hearing that suggests it’s one of Scorsese’s lesser efforts and is already to be dismissed?

  • 34 9-07-2011 at 8:24 pm

    Joey said...

    Is there any possibility of you and Sasha Stone teaming up for a podcast? I know you guys have different approaches to the race, but I think a lot of people love both sites.

  • 35 9-07-2011 at 8:34 pm

    Danny said...

    How do you rate Vera Farmiga’s chances for a Best actress nom? Does her solid directing – particularly in guiding a diverse ensemble to uniformly strong performances – perhaps enhance her chances a little even if it is strictly speaking incidental to her own (strong) performance?

  • 36 9-07-2011 at 8:36 pm

    Jon said...

    I think someone had already said it, but do you really think Kirsten Dunst has NO hope for scoring anymore Best Actress traction for Melancholia, besides her win at Cannes? Could she sneak in somehow if the critics stand behind her? So far the reviews have been outstanding, and the film comes out in November, which isn’t terribly Oscar un-friendsly

  • 37 9-07-2011 at 8:38 pm

    Bryan said...

    How reluctant is the Academy to award actors multiple Oscars? Ex: If Charlize Theron knocks it out of the park, would she stand any chance at winning? What do the Penns, Swanks, Streeps, Hanks, et al. have going for them?

  • 38 9-07-2011 at 8:53 pm

    Graysmith said...

    Maxim,

    These are rules as per the AMPAS website, and I believe these were implemented just the other year, post-Monster House and Happy Feet:

    “An animated feature film is defined as a motion picture with a running time of more than 40 minutes, in which movement and characters’ performances are created using a frame-by-frame technique. Motion capture by itself is not an animation technique. In addition, a significant number of the major characters must be animated, and animation must figure in no less than 75 percent of the picture’s running time.”

    I’d forgotten Monster House was nominated, and I wasn’t even aware that Happy Feet used mo-cap.. But what I said is still basically true, mo-cap has never been particularly popular with them, and now they even have rules to keep those films out.

    Tintin will definitely be ineligible, judging by these rules.

  • 39 9-07-2011 at 9:05 pm

    Evan said...

    Please break the “Shame” Oscar buzz news to us gently!

    I can’t have a repeat of Blue Valentine, where I get my hopes all worked up over an NC-17 movie.

  • 40 9-07-2011 at 10:13 pm

    Rashad said...

    How much money will The Beard and Dreamworks drop to make Tintin eligible for the Animated Oscar?

  • 41 9-07-2011 at 10:21 pm

    JTC29 said...

    So what happened to the Walter Salles film “On The Road”? Is it coming out this year or 2012??

  • 42 9-07-2011 at 10:21 pm

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    I think that’s plenty to work with. Thanks, guys. Cutting it off there.