Predict the Golden Globe winners

Posted by · 7:56 am · January 14th, 2011

The Critics’ Choice Movie Awards are tonight a 6pm.  I have generally refrained from predicting those awards since becoming a BFCA member four years ago, but I think we can all take an educated guess as to which way the wind will blow this evening.

Sunday, the Golden Globes keep the party going as 90 glad-handed foreign press members bestow awards for the year’s best.  For some reason Ricky Gervais was asked back to host after last year’s awkward snooze-fest.  He’ll be doing the song and dance for a drunken crowd.  The usual.  (Anyone missing the year they had to just get it over with via Access Hollywood?  Honest question.)

Anyway, here’s the usual space for predictions.  I’m not taking too many risks and I feel pretty good about most of my calls.  It’s very much a predictable affair, I think.  Unlike last year (when I was criticized for such a stupid call as “The Hangover” for Best Picture — yep).  I frankly think everyone is filing in line, ready for it to be over.  So chalk it up to the frontrunner and let’s get out of this season.

Oh, wait…six more weeks.

Best Picture (Drama)
“The Social Network”

Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)
“The Kids Are All Right”

Best Director
David Fincher, “The Social Network” (Nolan could easily steal this I think)

Best Actor (Drama)
Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”

Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
Johnny Depp, “Alice in Wonderland” (if there’s a surprise, I think it’ll be here)

Best Actress (Drama)
Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”

Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)
Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, “The Fighter”

Best Supporting Actress
Helena Bonham Carter, “The King’s Speech”

Best Screenplay
“The Social Network”

Best Original Score
“Inception”

Best Original Song
“You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me” from “Burlesque”

Best Animated Feature
“Toy Story 3”

Best Foreign Language Film
“I Am Love”




→ 41 Comments Tags: , | Filed in: Daily

41 responses so far

  • 1 1-14-2011 at 8:01 am

    Estefan said...

    My predictions are pretty much the same as yours, except for Kevin Spacey in comedy actor and “I See the Light” in original song.

  • 2 1-14-2011 at 8:03 am

    Julian Stark said...

    Motion Picture Drama: Black Swan – all of the nominated films have a shot

    Motion Picture Musical/Comedy: The Kids Are All Right

    Director: David Fincher (The Social Network)

    Actor (Drama): Colin Firth (The King’s Speech)

    Actor (Musical/Comedy): Johnny Depp (Alice in Wonderland)

    Actress (Drama): Natalie Portman (Black Swan)

    Actress (Musical/Comedy): Annette Bening (The Kids Are All Right)

    Supporting Actor: Christian Bale (The Fighter)

    Supporting Actress: Mila Kunis (Black Swan) – going on a limb with this call, I know, but this category could go to any of the nominees

    Screenplay: The Social Network

    Original Score: Inception

    Original Song: “I See the Light” from Tangled

    Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

    Foreign Language Film: I Am Love

  • 3 1-14-2011 at 8:07 am

    seasondays said...

    i will only make three changes

    KEVIN SPACEK – comedy actor
    MILA KUNIS – supporting actress
    BIUTIFUL – foreign film

  • 4 1-14-2011 at 8:09 am

    tdr said...

    Jackie Weaver sweeps the BFCA and the GG, ends up with an Oscar nom and a front-runner status to battle it out with Melissa Leo.

  • 5 1-14-2011 at 8:11 am

    Maxim said...

    I’ll make some daring predictions as I think HFPA will have a few surprises.

    Best Picture (Drama)
    Inception (It’s a three way rice between TSN, Inception and Black Swan)

    Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)
    “The Kids Are All Right”

    Best Director
    Darren Aronofsky

    Best Actor (Drama)
    Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”

    Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
    Johnny Depp, “Alice in Wonderland” (if there’s a surprise, I think it’ll be here)

    Best Actress (Drama)
    Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”

    Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)
    Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”

    Best Supporting Actor
    Christian Bale, “The Fighter”

    Best Supporting Actress
    Amy Adams, “The Fighter”

    Best Screenplay
    “The Social Network”

    Best Original Score
    “Inception”

    Best Original Song
    “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me” from “Burlesque”

    Best Animated Feature
    “Toy Story 3″

    Best Foreign Language Film
    “Biutiful”

  • 6 1-14-2011 at 8:15 am

    Hans von Walter said...

    I like that we still have a genuine race in Best Supporting Actress. All five plus Steinfeld feel like they could legitimately win, and no one can probably predict any one with more than 50% confidence. (This is, of course, assuming the same person doesn’t win BFCA/Globe/BAFTA/SAG and make it boring.)

    I like this from last year’s thread:

    “Predicting The Hangover to win the Globe for Picture – Musical/Comedy? Crazy.

    Predicting Maggie Gyllenhaal for a Best Supporting Actress Oscar nomination without a single precursor and a campaign in Lead Actress? Batshit crazy.”

    I’m lulling myself into a feeling that Inception could upset here: it’s populist, they liked it enough to give it four significant noms, etc.

  • 7 1-14-2011 at 8:15 am

    Maxim said...

    Basically, I really think that if there is one place that could stop TSN’s best Picture/Director sweep – it’s here.

    I’d be more willing to precint someone like Kevin Spacek if he actualy had a shot at this year’s oscars. I kind of think most of suprises will stay withing this fold. And I do think that HFPA will want to have suprises.

  • 8 1-14-2011 at 8:18 am

    ann said...

    I think the surprise will be in the supporting actress race, I find that category a tough call. I’m going to guess Amy Adams or Jackie Weaver (I don’t understand why she’s not sweeping the critic award — Best performance of the year in my opinion)

  • 9 1-14-2011 at 8:20 am

    Isaac Richter said...

    I’m actually going out on a limb and saying Paul Giamatti takes Actor in a Comedy or Musical, seeing how he is the only actor in a decently-reviewed film in that category. Not that it necessarily counts for something, but I’ll go for it. I seriously doubt they’ll give it to Johnny Depp this year (I mean, seriously?). Otherwise, the only other category we disagree with, Kris, is Foreign Language Film (where I picked Biutiful, but have I Am Love as an alternate).

  • 10 1-14-2011 at 8:20 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    That comment from last year holds a special place in my heart, Hans.

  • 11 1-14-2011 at 8:42 am

    Nicolas Mancuso said...

    Does anyone know if there will be an online live feed of the Critics Choice Awards tonight?

  • 12 1-14-2011 at 8:45 am

    kel said...

    Here’s who I want to win:

    Best Actor (Drama) – Jesse Eisenberg
    Best Actress (Drama) – Natalie Portman
    Best Actor (C/M) – Paul Giamatti
    Best Actress (C/M) – Julianne Moore
    Best Supp Actor – Geoffrey Rush
    Best Supp Actress – Jacki Weaver
    Best Director – Darren Aronofsky
    Best Script – Aaron Sorkin
    Best Movie (Drama) – Black Swan
    Best Movie (C/M) – Alice in Wonderland
    Best Animated Film – The Illusionist
    Best Foreign Language Film – Biutiful
    Best Original Score – The Social Network
    Best Original Song – Tangled

    TV
    Best Actor (Drama) – Jon Hamm
    Best Actress (Drama) – Katey Sagal
    Best Actor (C/M) – Jim Parsons
    Best Actress (C/M) – Laura Linney
    Best Actor (Movie) – Edgar Ramirez
    Best Actress (Movie) – Hayley Atwell
    Best Supp Actor – Eric Stonestreet
    Best Supp Actress – Kelly MacDonald
    Best Drama Series – The Walking Dead
    Best Comedy Series – Modern Family
    Best TV Movie/Mini-Series – Carlos

  • 13 1-14-2011 at 9:03 am

    Ed D. said...

    Mine aren’t too crazy, except maybe for Drama Actor (for whatever reason I can’t see Firth, who I’m 99% sure will take the Oscar, winning this):

    Best Picture, Drama: The Social Network
    Best Picture, Musical/Comedy: The Kids are all Right
    Best Actor, Drama: James Franco
    Best Actress, Drama: Natalie Portman
    Best Actor, Musical/Comedy: Paul Giamatti
    Best Actress, Musical/Comedy: Annette Bening
    Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale
    Best Supporting Actress: Amy Adams
    Best Director: David Fincher
    Best Screenplay: The Social Network
    Best Original Score: Inception
    Best Original Song: I See the Light
    Best Animated Film: Toy Story 3
    Best Foreign Film: Biutiful

  • 14 1-14-2011 at 9:12 am

    bunbun said...

    The GGs tend to throw a few more curve balls than the Oscars, making them harder to predict. There were many strong performances this year, if not great films, so I’m looking most forward to the actor categories. May “the best” man (men and women) win!

  • 15 1-14-2011 at 9:14 am

    Andrej said...

    I know The Kids Are All Right is the frontrunner for Comedy, but I can picture Alice in Wonderland winning. As for Drama, I think they’ll somehow go with The King’s Speech. This could be another year of GG and Oscar not matching up.

    With every other award already settled, I think Best Supporting Actress could go to Melissa Leo for the default pick, and Mila Kunis for the out of the left field pick, more so than Jacki Weaver. I wasn’t really that much into Jacki Weaver’s performance. Maybe it’s because she didn’t really have enough screen time to fully capitalize on her character.

    Being a casual Dido fan, it’s a shame they didn’t nominate “If I Rise”. I’m not entirely convinced of all the nominated songs, but out of them, I’ll go with “You Haven’t Seen The Last Of Me”.

    That’s it for now. ☺

  • 16 1-14-2011 at 9:37 am

    Travis said...

    anyone think Emma Stone could pull off an upset if Moore and Bening split votes? Or is that just me?

  • 17 1-14-2011 at 9:50 am

    Collin said...

    Travis, I think it’s just you but WOW would I love it if that happened!!!

  • 18 1-14-2011 at 9:59 am

    Markku said...

    (Anyone missing the year they had to just get it over with via Access Hollywood? Honest question.)

    Absolutely, Kris. I don’t think I’ve ever enjoyed an awards show more before or since.

  • 19 1-14-2011 at 10:00 am

    Markku said...

    Oh, right, predix: Network/Fincher/Firth/Portman/Depp/Bening/Bale/Adams.

  • 20 1-14-2011 at 10:25 am

    JJ1 said...

    GG predictions:

    Best Movie (Drama) – The King’s Speech
    Best Movie (C/M) – The Kids are All Right
    Best Director – David Fincher
    Best Actor (Drama) – Colin Firth
    Best Actress (Drama) – Natalie Portman
    Best Actor (C/M) – Jake Gyllenhaal
    Best Actress (C/M) – Annette Bening
    Best Supp Actor – Christian Bale
    Best Supp Actress – Helena Bonham Carter
    Best Script – The Social Network
    Best Animated Film – Toy Story 3
    Best Foreign Language Film – Biutiful
    Best Original Score – Inception
    Best Original Song – Tangled

    As for the Critics Choice Awards, I’m gonna go out on a limb and say that Black Swan wins BP.

  • 21 1-14-2011 at 10:26 am

    JJ1 said...

    Is there gonna be a podcast today or tomorrow? :)

  • 22 1-14-2011 at 10:33 am

    Joe7827 said...

    Going on the goofy (but probably true) theory that the HFPA cares less about who did the best than who will give the best speech:

    Picture: The King’s Speech
    Comedy Picture: The Kids Are All Right

    Actor: Colin Firth
    Comedy Actor: Jake Gyllenhaal

    Actress: Natalie Portman
    Comedy Actress: Anne Hathaway

    Supporting Actor: Christian Bale
    Supporting Actress: Amy Adams

    Director: David Fincher
    Screenplay: The King’s Speech

    Score: Inception
    Song: Ooh, toughie. But I’ll go with Christina Aguilera over Carrie Underwood.

    Animated: How to Train Your Dragon
    Foreign: Biutiful, tied with True Grit. (What? True Grit’s not foreign, you say? Well, it is to the HFPA.)

  • 23 1-14-2011 at 10:35 am

    Paul Outlaw said...

    These were my predictions here on December 14, and I’m sticking to them:

    Best Picture – Drama – “The Fighter” (as the saying goes “No guts, no glory”)
    Best Picture – Musical/Comedy – “The Kids Are All Right”
    Best Director – David Fincher, “The Social Network”
    Best Actor – Drama – Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”
    Best Actress – Drama – Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”
    Best Actor – Musical/Comedy – Jake Gyllenhaal, “Love and Other Drugs” (just a feeling)
    Best Actress – Musical/Comedy – Anne Hathaway, “Love and Other Drugs” (ditto)
    Best Supporting Actor – Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
    Best Supporting Actress – Jacki Weaver, “Animal Kingdom” (you’d think I’d predicting HBC, but no)
    Best Screenplay – Aaron Sorkin, “The Social Network”
    Best Foreign Language Film – “Biutiful”
    Best Animated Feature – “Toy Story 3”
    Best Original Score – Alexandre Desplat, “The King’s Speech”
    Best Original Song – “Bound to You” from “Burlesque” (Eenie-meeine… Cher? Xtina? Cher? Xtina…)

  • 24 1-14-2011 at 10:41 am

    Fitz said...

    Best Movie (Drama): The King’s Speech
    Best Movie (Com/Mus): The Kids are All Right
    Best Director: Christopher Nolan
    Best Actor (Drama): Colin Firth
    Best Actress (Drama): Natalie Portman
    Best Actor (Com/Mus): Johnny Depp
    Best Actress (Com/Mus): Annette Bening
    Best Supp Actor: Christian Bale
    Best Supp Actress: Helena Bonham Carter
    Best Script: The Social Network
    Best Animated Film: Toy Story 3
    Best Foreign Film: Biutiful
    Best Original Score: Inception
    Best Original Song: Tangled

  • 25 1-14-2011 at 10:56 am

    Jeffrey said...

    I agree with Mr. Tapley, for the most part, but I think Melissa Leo has a better shot at supporting and that Biutiful has a better shot at Foreign. I’m also not totally convinced that Inception will take score, but none of the other contenders are jumping out at me, so I’ll go ahead and agree on that front.

  • 26 1-14-2011 at 11:18 am

    SC said...

    Picture/Drama – The King’s Speech
    Picture/Comedy – The Kids Are All Right
    Director – David Fincher
    Actor/Drama – Colin Firth
    Actor/Comedy – Jake Gyllenhaal
    Actress/Drama – Natalie Portman
    Actress/Comedy – Annette Bening
    Supporting Actor – Christian Bale
    Supporting Actress – Mila Kunis
    Screenplay – Aaron Sorkin
    Animated Film – Toy Story 3
    Score – Inception
    Foreign Film – Biutiful

  • 27 1-14-2011 at 11:23 am

    Bennett said...

    Is there any way to watch the critic’s choice awards online tonight?
    And what about the Golden Globes??
    We college students without a tv need some access too.

  • 28 1-14-2011 at 11:32 am

    Graysmith said...

    I’m not going to predict every category, but I’m gonna go with a “surprise” split: The King’s Speech brings home Best Drama and Actor, while The Social Network takes Best Director and Screenplay.

  • 29 1-14-2011 at 11:56 am

    Mike said...

    The Social Network (watch out for The Fighter)
    The Kids Are All Right (wof Alice in Wonderland)
    David Fincher
    Colin Firth (wof Jesse Eisenberg)
    Natalie Portman (wof Nicole Kidman)
    Kevin Spacey (wof Jake Gyllenhaal)
    Annette Bening
    Christian Bale (wof Michael Douglas)
    Amy Adams (wof Mila Kunis)

  • 30 1-14-2011 at 12:24 pm

    Dan E said...

    I really got this feeling that King’s Speech will win Best Picture-Drama and not Social Network

  • 31 1-14-2011 at 12:33 pm

    forts said...

    Best Drama – The Social Network
    Best Comedy – ……….Alice In Wonderland (eh why not?)
    Best Director – David Fincher
    Best Actor (Drama) – Colin Firth
    Best Actor (Comedy) – Johnny Depp for Alice
    Best Actress (Drama) – Natalie Portman
    Best Actress (Comedy) – Annette Bening
    Best Supporting Actor – Christian Bale
    Best Supporting Actress – Melissa Leo
    Best Screenplay – Aaron Sorkin for Social Network
    Best Score – Hans Zimmer for Inception (This feels wrong)
    Best Song – “I See The Light”from Tangled
    Best Animated Feature – Toy Story 3
    Best Foreign Language Feature – Biutiful

  • 32 1-14-2011 at 1:03 pm

    SS said...

    Drama: The King’s Speech
    Comedy/Musical: The Kids Are All Right
    Drama Actor: Colin Firth
    Comedy/Musical Actor: Johnny Depp (for Alice in Wonderland)
    Drama Actress: Natalie Portman
    Comedy/Musical Actress: Annette Bening
    Supporting Actor: Christian Bale
    Supporting Actress: Amy Adams
    Director: David Fincher
    Screenplay: The Social Network
    Score: Inception
    Song: “You Haven’t Seen The Last Of Me”
    Foreign Film: I Am Love
    Animated Film: Toy Story 3

  • 33 1-14-2011 at 3:51 pm

    Jason said...

    Best Film (Drama)- The Social Network
    alt. The Fighter
    Best Film (Comedy)- The Kids Are All Right
    alt. Alice in Wonderland
    Best Director- David Fincher
    alt. Christopher Nolan
    Best Screenplay- The Social Network
    alt. The Kids Are All Right
    Best Actor (Drama)- Colin Firth
    alt. James Franco
    Best Actor (Comedy)- Johnny Depp, Alice in Wonderland
    alt. Paul Giamatti
    Best Actress (Drama)- Nicole Kidman(Because they love her)
    alt. Natalie Portman
    Best Actress (Comedy)- Julianne Moore(Because she still hasn’t won a Globe)
    alt. Annette Benning
    Best Supporting Actor- Christian Bale
    alt. Jeremy Renner
    Best Supporting Actress- Mila Kunis(Because Portman’s losing)
    alt. Amy Adams
    Best Score- Inception
    Best Song- Burlesque, You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me
    Best Animated Film- Toy Story 3
    Best Foreign Language Film- I Am Love

  • 34 1-15-2011 at 4:26 am

    Ali E. said...

    Best Picture (Drama): “The King’s Speech”
    Best Picture (Comedy/Musical): “The Kids Are All Right”
    Best Director: David Fincher, “The Social Network” (Nolan could easily steal this I think)
    Best Actor (Drama): Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”
    Best Actor (Comedy/Musical): Jake Gyllenhaal, “Love and Other Drugs”
    Best Actress (Drama): Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”
    Best Actress (Comedy/Musical): Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”
    Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
    Best Supporting Actress: Helena Bonham Carter, “The King’s Speech”
    Best Screenplay: “The Social Network”
    Best Original Score: “Inception”
    Best Original Song: “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me” from “Burlesque”
    Best Animated Feature: “Toy Story 3″
    Best Foreign Language Film: “Biutiful”

  • 35 1-15-2011 at 7:26 am

    PatrickTheNice said...

    Picture (Drama) – The Social Network
    Actor (Drama) – Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
    Actress (Drama) – Natalie Portman, Black Swan
    Picture (Comedy or Musical) – The Kids Are All Right
    Actor (Comedy or Musical) – Kevin Spacey, Casino Jack
    Actress (Comedy or Musical) – Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
    Supporting Actor – Christian Bale, The Fighter
    Supporting Actress – Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
    Director – David Fincher, The Social Network
    Screenplay – Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
    Original Score – Alexandre Desplat, The King’s Speech
    Original Song – “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me”, Burlesque
    Animated Feature Film – Toy Story 3
    Foreign Language Film – The Concert

  • 36 1-15-2011 at 9:01 am

    DylanS said...

    Kris: You listed Johnny’s Mad Hatter as a surprise winner. Do you have somebody in mind as a favorite in that category?

  • 37 1-15-2011 at 10:27 am

    DylanS said...

    Best Picture (Drama)
    “The Social Network”

    Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)
    “The Kids Are All Right”

    Best Director
    David Fincher “The Social Network”

    Best Actor (Drama)
    James Franco “127 Hours”

    Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
    Jake Gyllenhaal “Love and Other Drugs”

    Best Actress (Drama)
    Natalie Portman “Black Swan”

    Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)
    Annette Bening “The Kids Are All Right”

    Best Supporting Actor
    Christian Bale “The Fighter”

    Best Supporting Actress
    Mila Kunis “Black Swan”

    Best Screenplay
    “The Social Network”

    Best Original Score
    “The Social Network”

    Best Original Song
    “I See the Light” from “Tangled”

    Best Animated Feature
    “Toy Story 3″

    Best Foreign Language Film
    “I Am Love”

  • 38 1-15-2011 at 12:00 pm

    Keil Shults said...

    Best Picture (Drama)
    “The Social Network”

    Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)
    “The Kids Are All Right”

    Best Director
    David Fincher, “The Social Network”

    Best Actor (Drama)
    Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”

    Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
    Johnny Depp, “Alice in Wonderland”

    Best Actress (Drama)
    Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”

    Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)
    Annette Bening, “The Kids Are All Right”

    Best Supporting Actor
    Christian Bale, “The Fighter”

    Best Supporting Actress
    Melissa Leo, “The Fighter”

    Best Screenplay
    “The Social Network”

    Best Original Score
    “Inception”

    Best Original Song
    “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me” from “Burlesque”

    Best Animated Feature
    “Toy Story 3″

    Best Foreign Language Film
    “I Am Love”

  • 39 1-15-2011 at 10:56 pm

    Anna said...

    Mine are the same, except I think one of The Fighter ladies will take supporting actress.

    Also, I think Kevin Spacey might win Comedy/Musical actor. I just looked up wikipedia and he has never actually won a golden globe before!

  • 40 1-16-2011 at 11:59 am

    Lenny said...

    Golden Globe Predictions

    Best Picture (Drama): The Social Network
    Best Picture (Musical/Comedy): The Kids are All Right
    Best Actor (Drama): Colin Firth = The King’s Speech
    Best Actress (Drama): Natalie Portman = Black Swan
    Best Actor (Musical/Comedy): Kevin Spacey = Casino Jack
    Best Actress (Musical/Comedy): Annette Bening = The Kids are All Right
    Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale = The Fighter
    Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo = The Fighter
    Best Director: David Fincher = The Social Network
    Best Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin = The Social Network
    Best Original Score: Alexandre Desplat = The King’s Speech
    Best Original Song: “I See the Light” = Tangled
    Best Foreign Language Film: I Am Love
    Best Animated Feature: Toy Story 3

  • 41 1-16-2011 at 12:20 pm

    cineJAB said...

    Best Picture (Drama)
    “Inception”

    Best Picture (Comedy/Musical)
    “Alice In Wonderland”

    Best Director
    Christopher Nolan, “Inception”

    Best Actor (Drama)
    Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”

    Best Actor (Comedy/Musical)
    Jake Gyllenhaal, “Love & Other Drugs”

    Best Actress (Drama)
    Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”

    Best Actress (Comedy/Musical)
    Emma Stone, “Easy A”

    Best Supporting Actor
    Christian Bale, “The Fighter”

    Best Supporting Actress
    Amy Adams, “The Fighter”

    Best Screenplay
    “The Social Network”

    Best Original Score
    “Inception”

    Best Original Song
    “You Haven’t Seen the Last of Me” from “Burlesque”

    Best Animated Feature
    “Toy Story 3″

    Best Foreign Language Film
    “Biutiful”