After taking a stab at winner predictions early last month, it seemed now would be a good time to re-assess. Only three adjustments, though — for Best Picture, Best Film Editing and Best Original Score. I’ll try my hand at another set post-nominations.
Best Picture: “The Social Network”
Best Director: David Fincher, “The Social Network”
Best Actor: Colin Firth, “The King’s Speech”
Best Actress: Natalie Portman, “Black Swan”
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale, “The Fighter”
Best Supporting Actress: Hailee Steinfeld, “True Grit”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “The Social Network”
Best Original Screenplay: “The King’s Speech”
Best Art Direction: “Alice in Wonderland”
Best Cinematography: “True Grit”
Best Costume Design: “Alice in Wonderland”
Best Film Editing: “The Social Network”
Best Makeup: “Alice in Wonderland”
Best Music (Original Score): “Inception”
Best Music (Original Song): “Waiting for Superman”
Best Sound Editing: “Inception”
Best Sound Mixing: “Inception”
Best Visual Effects: “Inception”
Best Documentary Feature: “Inside Job”
Best Animated Feature Film: “Toy Story 3”
Best Foreign Language Film: “Life, Above All”
“Inception” – 4 (still seems like too many)
“The Social Network” – 4
“Alice in Wonderland” – 3 (weird)
“The King’s Speech” – 2
“True Grit” – 2
“Black Swan” – 1
“The Fighter” – 1
“Inside Job” – 1
“Toy Story 3” – 1
“Live, Above All” – 1
I kind of feel like there ought to be more for “Black Swan,” but I’ll stick with this for now. You?
[Photo: Paramount Pictures]
64 responses so far
1 1-11-2011 at 5:25 pm
Eddie said...
4 wins for “Inception” too many… I still think it is the favorite for editing, which is by far the flashier of the probable best pic noms.
Also, is Bale such a lock? Isn’t his bad boy antics (fighting with his mother, trashing a DP) too much for the Academy (like Russel Crowe was)? I wouldn’t be shocked if he wasn’t even nominated…
2 1-11-2011 at 7:22 pm
DRM said...
Inception won’t win more than two.
3 1-11-2011 at 8:39 pm
Q-Mann said...
I think Inception is a lock for effects as well. It may not be as flashy as Tron, but there are so many subtle effects (I read there were around 500 visual effects shots). It really is a marvel to watch.
Anyway, here are my picks:
Picture – The Social Network
Director – Fincher, The Social Network
Actor – Firth, The King’s Speech
Actress – Portman, Black Swan (keeping an eye on Bening at the SAGs, though)
Supporting Actor – Bale, The Fighter
Supporting Actress – Leo, The Fighter
Adapted Screenplay – The Social Network
Original Screenplay – The King’s Speech
4 1-11-2011 at 8:48 pm
Q-Mann said...
Oh, and Kris. I’m sure I missed an announcement somewhere, and I apologize in advance…but when do you think we can expect your Top 10 shots of 2010?
5 1-11-2011 at 9:37 pm
jake said...
Hailee is not THAT great in True Grit, does everyone really think so. And I wish that Lionsgate would go wide with rabbit hole already because Nicole gives the performance of the year. Black Swan was just such an outrageous movie.
6 1-11-2011 at 11:22 pm
Hans said...
Editing will go to Social Network. As of late, the Academy has more or less regarded that category as a second “Best Picture” category.
7 1-12-2011 at 2:29 am
Ryan Hoffman said...
I think the top categories are going to be a combo of spreading the wealth and rewarding TSN.
Anyone else seeing this?
Best Picture: The Social Network
Best Director: David Fincher – The Social Network
Best Actor: Colin Firth – The King’s Speech
Best Actress: Natalie Portman – Black Swan
Best Supp. Actor: Christian Bale – The Fighter
Best Supp. Actress: Hailee Steinfeld – True Grit
Best Original Screenplay – Christopher Nolan – Inception
Best Adapted Screenplay – Aaron Sorkin – The Social Network
Best Animated Feature – Toy Story 3
Best Documentary Feature – Inside Job
Best Editing – The Social Network
Best Cinematography – True Grit
Best Art Direction – The King’s Speech
Best Costume Design – Alice in Wonderland
Best Makeup – The Wolfman
Best Visual Effects – Inception
Best Sound Editing – Inception
Best Sound Mixing – Inception
Best Music (Original Score) – Inception
Best Music (Original Song) – Shine – Waiting for Superman
Totals
Inception 5
The Social Network 4
The King’s Speech 3
True Grit 2
Alice in Wonderland 1
Black Swan 1
The Fighter 1
Inside Job 1
Toy Story 3 1
Waiting For Superman 1
The Wolfman 1
8 1-12-2011 at 7:44 am
Nelson said...
Best Picture – The King’s Speech
Best Director – The Social Network
Best Actor – Colin Firth
Best Actress – Natalie Portman
Best Supp. Actor – Christian Bale
Best Supp. Actress – Amy Adams
Best Original Screenplay – The King’s Speech
Best Adapted Screenplay – The Social Network
Best Animated Feature – Toy Story 3
Best Editing – The Social Network
Best Cinematography – True Grit
Best Art Direction – True Grit
Best Costume Design – Alice In Wonderland
Best Makeup – Alice in Wonderland
Best Visual Effects – Tron Legacy
Best Sound Editing – Inception
Best Sound Mixing – Inception
Best Original Score – Inception
Best Original Song – Waiting For Superman
Best Documentary – Waiting For Superman
9 1-12-2011 at 8:29 am
Joel said...
Jon (Post #43): You are equating Christian Bale to Eddie Murphy? PLEASE tell me it’s just that Bale is a favorite in the Supporting Actor category and could suffer an “upset” (like Murphy was- even though I thought his performance was cardboard), NOT because they are equivalent actors!
10 1-12-2011 at 8:36 am
KB said...
Picture – The Social Network
Director – David Fincher
Actor – Colin Firth
Actress – Natalie Portman
Supporting Actor – Christian Bale
Supporting Actress – Amy Adams
Adapted Screenplay – The Social Network
Original Screenplay – The Kids Are All Right
Animated Feature Film – Toy Story 3
Art Direction – Inception
Cinematography – True Grit
Costume Design – Alice in Wonderland
Film Editing – The Social Network
Original Score – The King’s Speech
Original Song – Tangled
Sound Mixing – Black Swan
Sound Editing – Inception
Makeup – Alice in Wonderland
Visual Effects – Inception
11 1-12-2011 at 8:55 am
Holden said...
There might be an excess of credit going to Inception, but it’s not like it’s crazy or unwarranted. I think that this will be more like 1977, where Annie Hall won four major awards, but Star Wars dominated the technical categories.
Picture – The Social Network
Director – David Fincher
Actor – Colin Firth (though I’ve got a feeling about Jesse Eissenberg.)
Actress – Natalie Portman
Sup. Actor – Christian Bale
Sup. Actress – Hailee Steinfield
Adapted Screenplay – The Social Network
Original Screenplay – Inception
Animated Feature Film – Toy Story 3
Foreign Language Film – Biutiful
Documentary Feature Film – Exit Through the Gift Show
Art Direction – Inception
Cinematography – Inception
Costume Design – Alice in Wonderland
Film Editing – Inception
Make Up – The Wolfman
Original Score – The Social Network
Original Song – “I See the Light” Tangled
Sound Editing – Inception
Sound Mixing – Inception
Visual Effects – Inception
12 1-12-2011 at 6:31 pm
Brett said...
I would really like an Amy Adams win over Steinfeld. Sometimes actors need to prove they can do it again.
Awards coverage & analysis @ filmretrospect.blogspot.com – now updated daily!
13 2-19-2011 at 3:10 pm
Gary of We Ho said...
Fearless forecast: It will be an interesting OSCAR night if it goes this way:
Picture: King’s Speech
Actor: Firth
Actress: Bening
S. Actor: Bale
S. Actress: Adams