Taking questions for Oscar Talk

Posted by · 8:28 pm · January 5th, 2011

You know the drill.  Rifle off your query and we’ll try to address a few.  PLEASE KEEP IT TO ONE QUESTION, and as always, the fresher the better.  Anything already covered extensively will likely be avoided.

→ 44 Comments Tags: | Filed in: Daily

44 responses so far

  • 1 1-05-2011 at 8:33 pm

    Mitchell said...

    Overall, which was a better year for film, 2010 or 2009?

  • 2 1-05-2011 at 8:33 pm

    JFK said...

    What do you think accounts for the lack of buzz for Aaron Eckhart in Rabbit Hole? I think it was one of the better performances of the year.

  • 3 1-05-2011 at 8:34 pm

    Bob said...

    Does Mila Kunis have a shot at a Supp. Actress nom with Steinfeld entering that race and winning awards as of late? And which of Weaver/Steinfeld/Adams/Leo/Carter can she knock off?

  • 4 1-05-2011 at 8:39 pm

    John said...

    With The Ghost Writer landing a Scripter nod and having plenty of European support, do you think the movie could surprise us in getting a screenplay, a score, and possibly a nomination in Best Picture category?

  • 5 1-05-2011 at 8:40 pm

    John said...

    Do you think Halee Steinfeld’s lead performane while being campaigned as supporting will hurt her chances and in which category does she have a better shot of being nominated in?

  • 6 1-05-2011 at 8:46 pm

    Andrej said...

    Is there a movie out of the Best Foreign Language field that you think it could get a surprise Il Divo/”Loin de Paname” nomination?

  • 7 1-05-2011 at 8:46 pm

    John said...

    What film do you think will win the Golden Globe for Best Picture – Drama? Will “The Social Network” continue its reign? Or will the HFPA go for “The King’s Speech” instead?

  • 8 1-05-2011 at 8:49 pm

    Rich said...

    Does True Grit have a chance of upsetting at the Oscars even though it got no nominations for the Golden Globes? Could it win? Has any film won Best Picture that hasn’t been nominated for the Golden Globe?

  • 9 1-05-2011 at 8:57 pm

    The Dude said...

    With regards to a lot of the technical categories (such as costume and art direction), Oscar voters tend to lean towards period and fantasy film. Do you think any contemporary films have a shot at a nomination this year in categories traditionally dominated by period and fantasy films, and if so which ones?

  • 10 1-05-2011 at 8:58 pm

    red_wine said...

    Away from the recommendation niceties, lets have some anti-recommendation spunk.

    Each of you pick 3 sure shot Oscar nominations that you hope are snubbed or think should be snubbed?

  • 11 1-05-2011 at 9:03 pm

    Kevin K. said...

    What are 5 or so of your favorite performances from the last decade? Let’s say 2000-2010 to keep it relevant.

  • 12 1-05-2011 at 9:24 pm

    Jake R. said...

    Many of this year’s most prominent films rely on the coalescence of an ensemble rather than the showcasing of an individual, and it looks like the Academy will respect that. A trio of acting nominations seems within reach for The King’s Speech, The Fighter, and True Grit, and by my count five other films could nab dual acting nods.

    So why is it that Annette Bening left Julianne Moore in the dust on the awards circuit? In my opinion, their performances in The Kids are All Right are the most symbiotic of the year, but many Oscar pundits refused to view them as a package deal, even before we realized how competitive the category would be this year.

  • 13 1-05-2011 at 9:44 pm

    Gabriel Destrempe said...

    We talked a lot of The King’s Speech and how it is the kind of picture the Academy likes to celebrate.

    However, what about the chances for supporting performances by Geoffrey Rush and Helena Boham Carter? In both categories, there’s a strong competition, but don’t you think the Academy would want to vote for them, following Firth’s vote ?

  • 14 1-05-2011 at 10:00 pm

    Kel said...

    What is with the eligibility thing with WGA? I know you have talked about this already, but David Seidler won a WGA award in 1989 for an Onassis TV special and Tarantino who was nominated for writing an episode of CSI but ignored for his Oscar-nominated, Critics-award winning INGLORIOUS BASTERDS

  • 15 1-05-2011 at 10:20 pm

    Will said...

    With the score for The Dark Knight was at first ruled in enligible is Daft Punk held to the same standards as Hans Zimmer and James Newton Howard since there a duo as well

  • 16 1-05-2011 at 10:26 pm

    Jason said...

    In your opinion, which film festival is the most important in terms of getting a film into Oscar contention? Which out of Cannes, Venice, Toronto, Telluride etc, would the most important to win prizes/score rave reviews from?

    From your experiences, are there many other differences between them?

  • 17 1-05-2011 at 10:30 pm

    Dean said...

    The 10 most noted pictures in critics’ top ten of the year lists are the ten titles many are predicting to be Oscar’s Best Picture 10.


    Before the switch to 10, the Best Pic lineup never seemed to come close to matching up to the 5-7 best reviewed movies of the year. Is the 10 noms then a good thing in this respect, or should more credit be given to how much critics’ influence has increased?

  • 18 1-05-2011 at 10:31 pm

    andy said...

    Do you honestly see The Fighter winning Best Picture come Oscar time? Sure, I will be shocked if The Fighter is not nominated for picture, but does it have a chance at anything else besides acting wins?

  • 19 1-05-2011 at 11:04 pm

    Ziyad Abul Hawa said...

    Do you think that Tom Hooper could be snubbed in the Directing category? I know the movie is a sure thing of course, and has a shot at winning, but it feels that in the Directors line up, he could be easily snubbed, specially being unknown as well.

  • 20 1-05-2011 at 11:14 pm

    Dennis said...

    If any film is likely to pull a Dremgirls, The Dark Knight, Cold Mountain, or Into the Wild this year, which film do you think that will be? Yes, all of my examples would have received Best Picture nominations in fields of ten, but they still missed out in major categories including Director, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actress, Screenplay, etc. I personally would not be surprised if Black Swan misses out in Director, Supporting Actress, and Screenplay…

  • 21 1-05-2011 at 11:26 pm

    James C said...

    As a more traditional flick and one that has box office success, do you think True Grit(another Scott Rudin flick) could win Best Picture?

  • 22 1-06-2011 at 12:02 am

    Jenly L said...

    Nicole Kidman’s performance in Rabbit Hole is widely viewed by critics as an actor’s showcase. Do you think she has a real shot of winning her second Oscar and surprise the rest of the Oscar pundits who generally view Natalie Portman / Annette Bening as locks for the big prize?

  • 23 1-06-2011 at 12:40 am

    San FranCinema said...

    Is Christopher Nolan no longer a “lock” for a director’s nomination?

    Guy Lodge is not predicting Nolan for a director’s nom … and the Gurus have Inception ranked 7th out of 10 likely best picture noms … With no acting nominations likely, is Inception weaker than might have been imagined earlier in the season? ?

  • 24 1-06-2011 at 1:33 am

    Djurida said...

    Do you think it will be Mila Kunis’ year? Every now and then AMPAS would award a young starlet for the supporting actress prize. Marisa Tomei, Anna Paquin or Angelina Jolie come to mind.

  • 25 1-06-2011 at 1:56 am

    Anna said...

    How do you think this year compares to previous years in terms of how locked up or open the major races are?

  • 26 1-06-2011 at 2:21 am

    Michael Dalton said...

    Following Sparling gate, it has got me thinking about Oscar campaigning. If a film is not receiving any campaign or support from its studio then why shouldn’t those involved in the film take campaigning into their own hands? I understand he broke the rules but as Buried was receiving no help why shouldn’t he try and get the film and his work in it recognized and remembered by the academy?

  • 27 1-06-2011 at 2:31 am

    Michael said...

    What do you think of 2010 in cinematography and how does it stack up against recent years?

  • 28 1-06-2011 at 4:15 am

    Vn said...

    Las night, I saw ‘The Way Back’. Is there a chance that this movie pulls a ‘The Reader’ or a ‘City of God’?

  • 29 1-06-2011 at 5:20 am

    Sam C. said...

    I rewatched Inception last night. In all seriousness, this must be the film that will lead nomination day, and more surprising, I can see it winning the most on Oscar Night. Both Sounds, Visual FX, Editing, Cinematography.

  • 30 1-06-2011 at 5:23 am

    red_wine said...

    @Dean, I’d be sorry to think that you consider those 10 to be actually the 10 most acclaimed films of the year.

    That list is just as disposable as the lower category critics awards, the list is so mainstream, it is completely ridiculous.

    The most acclaimed films of the year would be

    The Social Network
    Winter’s Bone
    The Ghost Writer
    Everyone Else
    Wild Grass
    White Material
    Black Swan
    Toy Story 3 and the like.

  • 31 1-06-2011 at 6:01 am

    Anita said...

    Do you think it is possible to watch a film, at this point in the Oscar season, for the first time and not let your opinion of it be influenced by all that you’ve read and heard about it? I’ve been reading a lot about how people are watching The Kids are All Right for the first time and being very underwhelmed by it, including its performances. When I saw it in theatres in the summer, I adored it, but it would be hard for any movie to live up to all the talk surrounding it with almost all the critics awards handed out and Oscar nominations weeks away.

  • 32 1-06-2011 at 6:14 am

    Bia said...

    I’ve noticed a lot of Kirsten Dunst everywhere all of a sudden…is it possible for her to get into to the Supporting race like Maggie Gyllenhaal did last year? If not, will there be an actor or actress who slips in supporting without any pre-cursor support?

  • 33 1-06-2011 at 6:17 am

    JJ1 said...

    I second the question about Nicole Kidman from above.

    I saw ‘Rabbit Hole’ at my local arthouse 2 days ago and thought she was wonderful; the best she’s been in years.

    I feel like she is either a dark horse for the WIN, or may not even make the 5 if Williams/Manville/Steinfeld mania kicks in.

    Kind of like Javier Bardem, right now.

  • 34 1-06-2011 at 6:29 am

    Chris G said...

    I’ve noticed that both Kris and Guy aren’t predicting an Editing nomination for The King’s Speech. If the film doesn’t get an editing nomination, won’t its best picture front-runner status be slightly dimmed? The last film to win best picture without being nominated for editing was “Ordinary People.” Any thoughts?

  • 35 1-06-2011 at 7:18 am

    Marshall said...

    How could we know if “Toy Story 3” is in it to win it since there really aren’t many ways for it to make an impressive showing (save the PGAs, perhaps).

  • 36 1-06-2011 at 7:31 am

    DylanS said...

    It’s obviously way to early to tell, but just for fun, If you had to predict a possible Oscar nominee for next years ceremony, based purely on previous trends only an Oscar-addict would know, who or what would it be?

  • 37 1-06-2011 at 8:01 am

    tdr said...

    The BAFTAs are the only big awards that haven’t announced yet (excluding DGA and Editing) and since a lot of them are members and the whole british block in the Academy, I was wondering the following: having given their awards to Firth last year, do you think that they might push for someone else to get in the top 5? Or not put their full support behind him for someone else? Probably someone european, since there are no other brits in the hunt. Bardem? Or in the other acting categories, like Swinton if they don’t like Manville, or Broadbent/Sheen for Another Year.
    To put it shortly: at this stage do you think there is any chance the brits might push for someone leftfield, like the ones above or someone else?

  • 38 1-06-2011 at 8:06 am

    seasondays said...

    do you think the fact that the best picture race has ten spots is responsible for the lack of locked categories? in other words, with 5 best picture nominations [or frontrunners] we always had those 5 to lead the race in [almost] every category but with ten slots suddenly there’s no clear guide.

    can FOUR LIONS become this year’s IN THE LOOP and surprise with a writing nomination?

  • 39 1-06-2011 at 8:39 am

    Paul Outlaw said...

    What about that Matt Damon? Can he get in? (I hope so. I think Ruffalo is vulnerable because Hawkes is also lurking.) And is Bale unstoppable? (I hope not.)

  • 40 1-06-2011 at 9:05 am

    Leighton said...

    Does it make it even harder in a field of ten, for someone like a Jackie Weaver to be nominated, with her film not having any traction in any other categories and there being a good many films within the Best Picture lineup that can fill those slots?

  • 41 1-06-2011 at 9:11 am

    Anjul Gupta said...

    Many think Inception is in the bottom 5 of the best picture ten and it’s a long shot for victory. Do you think its chances would have been much stronger if it was an year of 5 with Chris Nolan holding a big I-O-U card for dark knight? Would it have been in the top 5 then and also could have won?

  • 42 1-06-2011 at 9:15 am

    darklayers said...

    red_wine, slightly different measures. Metacritic stuff is useful here. This is a list of the most frequent movies showing up on top 10 lists:

    The actual scores might be indicative of acclaim as you see it.

    In any case, ‘frequency’ of top tens might be more predictive in part, because of genre issues. For example, in 2005, “The Squid and The Whale” and “King Kong” were in the top 10 scoreboard, but didn’t get BP nods. Similarly, a “History of Violence” was #2, but didn’t get one, likely because of its style and tone. “Eternal Sunshine” was a sci-fi comedy released in the first half of the year, and “The Incredibles” obviously were hampered by animation.

    The other thing is the web makes this information more immediate and accessible to both precursor groups and AMPAS members.

  • 43 1-06-2011 at 9:35 am

    red_wine said...

    darklayers, I don’t think lists which collectively ignore foreign language films have any credence at all. These lists which primarily comprise of mainstream critics are so English-language centric, it might lead you to believe that one country produces all the best cinema of the world which we know is completely ridiculous and preposterous, misleading and just plain spreading wrong info and vibes amongst film buffs who are already pretty English-language leaning to begin with.

    I think better pointers would be critic polls conducted by Film Comment and Indiewire, Village Voice etc which by their very inclusive and democratic and unbiased nature are of infinitely more value as a template from which to discover the best cinema of the year.

    Specially in a year like this which had a relatively poor showing of English language films according to me. I could list 2, maybe 3 English language films in my Top 10 this year.

  • 44 1-06-2011 at 9:36 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Thanks again, guys.