BOX OFFICE: ‘Grit’ closes in on those ‘Fockers’

Posted by · 9:28 am · January 2nd, 2011

And it’ll blow past $100 million.  Already noted, but hooray for the genre.  Also, the “Black Swan” haul cannot be understated.

(Courtesy: Exhibitor Relations)




→ 35 Comments Tags: , , | Filed in: Daily

35 responses so far

  • 1 1-02-2011 at 9:47 am

    Graysmith said...

    Here’s a little thought that popped into my head..

    Is The Town’s chances at a Best Picture nomination fading as a result of the great box office performance of the year-end films? Much of the thinking about The Town seemed to revolve around the ten needing a bit of box office muscle to balance out the smaller films. But if you now consider that True Grit is going $100m+, Black Swan and The Fighter are nearing $50m with no sign of fatigue and The King’s Speech getting off to a brilliant start, there’s not really a need for a “token” box office hit. In fact, of the current Best Picture contenders it’s only The Kids Are All Right and 127 Hours that didn’t do gangbusters, and Kids was still a big financial success given it’s minuscule budget.

    It feels like Winter’s Bone should be in there now instead to balance out the big hits, as odd as that might sound.

  • 2 1-02-2011 at 10:15 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Academy members really liked The Town, so I wouldn’t say the Best Picture talk revolved around needing a box office film in the mix. So my answer is no.

    Something like 127 Hours, though, which a number of members refuse to watch and barely limped to $10 million, I don’t know if the critics can save that one or not at the end of the day.

  • 3 1-02-2011 at 10:29 am

    Andrej said...

    Graysmith:

    I just checked out the box office for the top 11 movies and 127 Hours is the only one that actually bombed (10 million income vs. 18 million budget). Added to the refusal from academy members to watch it, this might be the 11th movie. A pity.

    Winter’s Bone made less money (7 million), but it was made on a smaller budget (2 million!). It can enter on the same grounds as The Hurt Locker did, a great movie that absolutely anyone could make.

    Fun fact: Among the top 11, The Town ranks 4th in box office. Just like The Blind Side last year.

  • 4 1-02-2011 at 10:39 am

    Graysmith said...

    Well, they really liked Casino Royale too (to use a phrase often used on here) so that doesn’t necessarily mean THAT much. I’m certainly not saying it was going to get in based strictly on being a hit, but much like The Blind Side, would it really be in such serious contention if it hadn’t done so well at the box office? Its financial success seems to be far more integral than it would be for something like The Social Network, which arguably would be nominated for Best Picture even if it’d only made half as much as it did.

    I do agree that 127 Hours should be in bigger trouble, but I can still imagine it being a film that will have its passionate supporters, regardless if there are many who won’t see it.

  • 5 1-02-2011 at 10:40 am

    Peter said...

    TG was the number one movie on Friday.

  • 6 1-02-2011 at 10:43 am

    Graysmith said...

    By the way, is The Way Back officially a 2011 film now? As in not eligible for the 2011 Oscars? I thought it was supposed to open in limited release this past week, yet there are no box office results to speak of..

  • 7 1-02-2011 at 10:56 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    “Well, they really liked Casino Royale too (to use a phrase often used on here) so that doesn’t necessarily mean THAT much.”

    You’re actually twisting that point around, Graysmith. It’s the Casino Royale Academy screening that went like gangbusters. That doesn’t mean we kept hearing members talk about how much they liked the film throughout the season, which is the case with The Town.

  • 8 1-02-2011 at 10:56 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    And The Way Back is 2010. It received its one-week qualifying run in LA last week. Probably made nothing, which doesn’t matter. The P&A concentration is on the January 21 wide release.

  • 9 1-02-2011 at 11:09 am

    Graysmith said...

    All right. But take out the box office hit advantage and what does it have going for it? Being really liked won’t cut it, you need passionate supporters who’ll put it near the top of their ballots.

    But I guess we’ll know where it stands soon enough since the Producer’s Guild announces their nominees tomorrow.

  • 10 1-02-2011 at 11:17 am

    Chris said...

    I am very happy with the success of “Black Swan”. I saw it a second time this weekend, it’s in my opinion one of the best films of the year. Natalie Portman deserves that Oscar, and I strongly believe that she will very much win that award come this February.

  • 11 1-02-2011 at 11:25 am

    Andrej said...

    Graysmith:

    The Best Picture award is given to the producers, so box office is considered since it’s what keeps the filmmakers with a job, whether it’s on blockbusters or at the indie circuits.

    It’s true that The Town doesn’t have much going on for if it gets nominated, but as long as people liked the movie, remember it made money, and are still high on Jeremy Renner since The Hurt Locker, it could get in.

    Also, regarding box offices, this year is not as big as the last year. It’s true that Avatar was a rare 2 billion dollar event, but back then 6 of the 10 movies had surpassed the 100 million mark, and nowadays it’s only 4 out of 10. Maybe they need the box office attention anyways, so they’ll let The Town in.

  • 12 1-02-2011 at 11:42 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    “you need passionate supporters who’ll put it near the top of their ballots.”

    I’ve talked to a number who could conceivably do that.

  • 13 1-02-2011 at 11:42 am

    DylanS said...

    I think “127 Hours” will get through simply because of Boyle’s successes two years ago with “Slumdog”. He’s obviously somebody they like, and even though people refuse to see the film on it’s premise alone, I think people on some level appreciate the story he’s trying to tell.

  • 14 1-02-2011 at 11:46 am

    Loyal said...

    Toy Story 3 – $414,806,932 (no longer in theatres)
    Inception – $292,525,041
    The Social Network – $93,250,530
    The Town – $92,101,491
    True Grit – $86,765,010
    Black Swan – $47,370,093
    The Fighter – $46,388,707
    The King’s Speech – $22,806,942
    The Kids Are All Right – $20,811,365 (no longer in theatres)
    127 Hours – $10,424,966
    Winter’s Bone – $6,243,448

    True Grit could be looking at a haul close to 150m. Black Swan and The Fighter will both end up near 75m. King’s Speech should at least match The Queen’s 56m. Those are all very impressive numbers.

    Last year’s pre-nom tally was 1.5b. Toy Story 3, Inception, Social Network, Kids Are All Right, and Winter’s Bone account for 827m. Add 250m in pre-nomination grosses for The Fighter, Black Swan, King’s Speech and True Grit, and we’re at 1.07b. Then there’s the 10th nominee whatever that may be.

    The difference between the pre-nomination box office for 2009 and 2010 really comes down to Avatar which made just short of 600m before Oscar noms. I’d argue that the Oscar box office this year is actually more impressive, despite having fewer 100+m films and no Avatar.

  • 15 1-02-2011 at 11:53 am

    Hans said...

    I’m loving that number for Tangled. Not that it’ll matter since it’s all about TS3 this year, but I’d be so happy if it could hit $200m.

  • 16 1-02-2011 at 11:55 am

    Loyal said...

    Also, it’s too bad about 127 Hours. To go from Slumdog making 400m worldwide to this. 127 Hours is one of my favorite films of 2010 so it’s definitely not an issue of quality. Rather Fox Searchlight simply failed to crack the marketing.

  • 17 1-02-2011 at 12:05 pm

    Peter said...

    Shouldn’t the title read “‘Fockers’ close in on ‘Shatter Island'” instead?

  • 18 1-02-2011 at 12:14 pm

    SC said...

    “Yogi Bear” has made entirely too much money for my liking.

    “True Grit”‘s performance is very impressive, particularly since the Western isn’t exactly the most popular genre these days (and there isn’t even anything especially novel about “True Grit” to set it apart from other westerns, from a marketing perspective, anyway; it’s just a good Western).

  • 19 1-02-2011 at 12:30 pm

    caro said...

    are there any people who pay to see “gulliver”??

  • 20 1-02-2011 at 12:34 pm

    Zach said...

    The ball was really dropped on ‘127 Hours’. Such a shame, because it is one the best movies this year. I’m also incredibly shocked at both ‘Black Swan’ and ‘True Grit’. If you told me a few months ago that both these films would have this a strong a showing, I wouldn’t have believed you. It gives me hope in the masses that movies like this and ‘The Fighter’ are really finding an audience. That being said I just saw the numbers ‘Yogi Bear’ is pulling in…oy.

  • 21 1-02-2011 at 12:40 pm

    j said...

    “Movie that absolutely anyone could make”. Oh really.

    King’s Speech is impressing in limited wide release; that near-11k is pretty.

  • 22 1-02-2011 at 1:10 pm

    Patryk said...

    “True Grit” for Best Picture. It can happen. Hope it does.

  • 23 1-02-2011 at 4:08 pm

    The Great Dane said...

    If True Grit (though highly unlikely) makes it to 200 million, it will win.

    Jeff Bridges slowly turning into the biggest boxoffice draw this year? He’s really a superstar now…

    I can’t believe that people say that Tron Legacy kind of “bombed”. With 130 million in the bank so far (only counting the US) and being a sequel to a so-called bomb, how can this be regarded as a failure?

  • 24 1-02-2011 at 4:37 pm

    melvel said...

    Black Swan has already plateau’d, I think. The numbers for The King’s Speech are impressive too.

  • 25 1-02-2011 at 4:38 pm

    melvel said...

    The Great Dane: Jeff Bridges is hardly the reason why people watched Tron: Legacy. And I doubt he was the reason people watched True Grit as well. Good for his movies doing well at the box office, but I don’t think he’s a box office draw at all.

  • 26 1-02-2011 at 4:46 pm

    Kieran S said...

    I think the problem with 127 Hours, in addition to box office is that not only are the critics not able to save it, but they’re not particularly motivated to save it. It’s no one’s favorite movie of the year and James Franco finally getting nominated after years of good work is starting to seem like enough of a get for that movie. With something like The Hurt Locker last year, it was irrelevant that it didn’t even cross the $15 mil mark when it had virtually every critic thumping for it. 127 Hours is in the unfortunate position of being that smaller film which is very well crafted straight down the middle, but it’s not going to be at the top of anyone’s ballot the way other small films like Black Swan or Winter’s Bone might be. That combined with the recent Slumdog Millionaire sweep results in a lack of excitement/motivation to reward this film.

    Unrelated, having now seen True Grit, I’m now convinced that Hailee Steinfeld is going to walk away with Best Supporting Actress, no matter how it happens. It will seem like a race, mostly because Steinfeld is a no-show at the Globes, but I do believe she’ll win the Oscar.

  • 27 1-02-2011 at 5:21 pm

    James D. said...

    Off topic, but why didn’t I’m Still Here get a bigger amount of recognition? I think it was terrific.

  • 28 1-02-2011 at 6:13 pm

    Graysmith said...

    I can’t imagine True Grit winning even with this box office success, but it certainly won’t hurt having $100m+ in the bank.

  • 29 1-02-2011 at 6:47 pm

    Loyal said...

    The only thing True Grit has right now is it’s box office. Is there any word how voters are reacting to the film Tapley?

    I don’t see Grit winning any of the guilds and we know Globes are out. BFCA are probably out as well. So no SAG or DGA or PGA or WGA.

    I think there’s a good chance True Grit could lead all nominees come Oscar nominations (if Damon is nominated watch out). Being the nomination leader combined with robust box office come January 25th is the best case scenario for Grit.

    150m sounds like a possible final take for True Grit, which is 34m short of Dances with Wolves.

  • 30 1-02-2011 at 8:33 pm

    rosengje said...

    How did Blue Valentine do?

  • 31 1-02-2011 at 11:46 pm

    Paul Outlaw said...

    Saw True Grit today. Damon’s work is just as solid and compelling than Garfields’s in TSN and Ruffalo’s in TKAAR, if not more so. Certainly more exciting than what he did in Invictus. He’d be my pick for a stealth supporting nod.

  • 32 1-02-2011 at 11:48 pm

    Paul Outlaw said...

    (Damn that missing edit button.)

  • 33 1-03-2011 at 12:19 am

    Paul8148 said...

    I got a feeling about Damon sneaking in too.

  • 34 1-03-2011 at 4:33 am

    julian said...

    True Grit are not going to turn the inevitable TSN BP win around at this point, but it is really surprising to see it do so well…that alone could take it from the seventh or eight spot in the race to a possible number four or five…but not more!
    Hailee Steinfeld? She is a possible winner at this point, but some might vote aginst her as a kind of protest on her being promoted as a supporting role (which anybody with a sane mind can see is misleading).

  • 35 1-03-2011 at 6:02 am

    Marv said...

    @ Kieran S

    I totally agree about Steinfeld. The girl was incredible! I’m saying to myself while watching the film, “Damn! This girl is stealing certain scences form Bridges and Damon.”