Taking questions for Oscar Talk

Posted by · 8:36 am · December 15th, 2010

Anne and I will be welcoming Guy Lodge onto the show this week to discuss the precursor circuit so far.  If you have any questions for the three of us, have at it in the comments section below.  PLEASE LIMIT IT TO ONE QUESTION, and as always, steer clear of territory we’ve covered.  Keep it fresh.  The season is boring enough as it is, no?

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49 responses so far

  • 1 12-15-2010 at 8:38 am

    Maxim said...

    I’ll start with the obvious:

    Why am I the problem? I’m his blood, I’m his family!

  • 2 12-15-2010 at 8:41 am

    Evan said...

    Who do you feel should win oscars this year?

  • 3 12-15-2010 at 8:50 am

    kel said...

    David O. Russell arguably was a surprise at the Golden Globes. Same with Affleck at BFCA.
    So far, we have 4 for-sure Director Oscar nominees:

    David Fincher
    Tom Hooper
    Christopher Nolan
    Darren Aronofsky

    Which of these 2 guys has the best shot?

  • 4 12-15-2010 at 8:52 am

    red_wine said...

    I have seen this happen off late that people who did not rate Social Network so highly have been crippled with doubt about their own taste and judgment now that they are faced with this over-whelming smothering approval that Social Network is the single best thing this year.

    To what extent do critics and consensus drive a person to form an opinion? And do people consciously bury their preferences/reservations deep down to not be left out of a cultural phenomenon?

  • 5 12-15-2010 at 8:56 am

    Rob said...

    “The Way Back” has been a major point of conversation for you throughout the season. You initially had it pegged for numerous nominations, but now have removed it from Picture, director, etc. presumably due to waning buzz/traction. Have you gotten any sort of sense of how it plays with Academy members?

  • 6 12-15-2010 at 9:02 am

    Loyal said...

    Are you as tired as we are with the mega-frontrunner Best Picture phenomenon we’re now dealing with for the fourth straight Oscar race. Here we are 75 days from the Oscar broadcast and there’s little suspense in the biggest category. As journalists/bloggers/critics, how do you deal with it? Is it better to just focus on the smaller categories or do you manufacture a race for Best Picture?

  • 7 12-15-2010 at 9:08 am

    arjay said...

    I just watched Inception again on DVD and like a lot of people, I didn’t think it held up well. Way too much exposition. Act 1 is 45 minutes long, and after the action finally kicks in, they have to keep stopping again and again to explain things like “limbo”. There are no memorable or likeable characters and even the visuals don’t inspire awe on the small screen.

    So my question is – Is Inception really a sure thing for Best Picture and Director?

  • 8 12-15-2010 at 9:08 am

    Keil Shults said...

    How much would you pay to see Jeff Bridges ride a horse on stage during the Globes, mutter “Shuttin’ us out was the worst mistake you ever made,” and then slowly trot offstage, leaving a trail of horse manure behind him?

  • 9 12-15-2010 at 9:09 am

    starbucks10172 said...

    True Grit totally snubbed at the Globes? What do you think will happen to this movie now?

  • 10 12-15-2010 at 9:15 am

    Maxim said...

    “True Grit totally snubbed at the Globes? What do you think will happen to this movie now?”

    I’m sorry but this made me laugh. The horror! Whatever will they do now?

  • 11 12-15-2010 at 9:21 am

    Keil Shults said...

    Could ads for Natalie Portman’s new movie with Ashton Kutcher, which I believe comes out in January, affect her reputation in the eyes of Academy voters? In other words, do you think a voter on the fence between Portman and Bening might see trailers for this new Kutcher flick (not to mention the upcoming Your Higness, in which she shows her bare backside), and feel compelled to award the actress who seems to be choosing more “Oscar-worthy” roles?

  • 12 12-15-2010 at 9:23 am

    Ryan Hoffman said...

    How much do you read of your fellow Oscar journalists/prognosticators?

  • 13 12-15-2010 at 9:39 am

    Andrej said...

    Since the Golden Globes nominations, how do you feel about the “The Blind Side slot”? The Comedy/Musical fields have plenty of ‘whatever’ movies that might get into the Top 1o based on star power, profits and likeability if they manage to steal The Kids Are All Right’s thunder.

    I wouldn’t be so sure about The Tourist… but what about Alice in Wonderland? Would it fit as this year’s “The Blind Side”?

  • 14 12-15-2010 at 9:53 am

    Keil Shults said...


    Neither The Tourist nor Alice in Wonderland have a shot at an Oscar nom for Best Pic. The only big-budget, critically iffy, star-fueled blockbuster that might sneak into the Top 10 (aside from the big titles we already expect to be in there, like TS3 and Inception) is probably Shutter Island.

  • 15 12-15-2010 at 9:56 am

    John said...

    Why isn’t Barbarah Hershey’s name coming up more often for Supporting Actress in Black Swan? I thought she was just as brilliant as the rest of the cast.

  • 16 12-15-2010 at 9:57 am

    Anita said...

    Any specific picks by the various critics groups who might now become big players in the Oscar race?

  • 17 12-15-2010 at 9:57 am

    Will said...

    Why Lesley Manville underperformed so far with critics, Golden Globes and BFCA? Does she still has a chance? Is this too late for her to move to supporting category? It worked for Maggie Gyllenhaal last year.

  • 18 12-15-2010 at 10:03 am

    Will said...

    Well, I’m super excited that Jacki Weaver is gaining traction. So, how are you feeling about her place in the race right now?

  • 19 12-15-2010 at 10:08 am

    Andrej said...

    Keil Shults:

    Yeah, but I wouldn’t consider Shutter Island as The Blind Side movie. It’s too dark and grim, and it’s not as vox populi as Alice in Wonderland. I’m not saying that this year MUST have a Blind Side movie, but if there’s room for one, which one it would be?

    If anything, Depp is an extremely bankable actor. If any of his movies gain enough momentum to land him a nomination and/or the award itself, it’s gonna be just like Bullock this year: mostly out of character likeability and as a ‘thank you’ for all the money he’s made for the industry. All it took The Blind Side to be in the Top 10 is to have her nominated, and Alice is already securing nominations in many artistic/postproduction categories. It could be enough.

    Besides, I think Shutter Island could get in the Top 10, just as long the guilds give it enough support.

  • 20 12-15-2010 at 10:10 am

    Joey said...

    What do you find most frustrating about this year’s (or any other year’s) race?

    I feel like people are taking announcements of nominations or winners too seriously and not taking into account the full picture. For example, True Grit wasn’t nominated for Best Picture at the Golden Globes so they automatically think its Oscar nomination chances are in trouble.

  • 21 12-15-2010 at 10:17 am

    Patrick said...

    Aside from Steinfeld and Morentz, what are some of the other standout child performances from the year that are worthy of Awards consideration. It turns out that all of my favorite child performances from the year (Please Give, Scott Pilgrim, Winter’s Bone) all come from adults. Is the kid from “Animal Kingdom” worthy, or is he not considered a child?

  • 22 12-15-2010 at 11:09 am

    Dooby said...

    It seems Mila Kunis seems to be gaining some traction after the Globes and BFCA – is it likely to translate into an oscar nom?

  • 23 12-15-2010 at 11:29 am

    Bryan C. said...

    It has been exactly a year now since ‘Avatar’ hit theaters and kicked off a new wave of 3D movies. How would you assess the impact that 3D had on the industry in the past twelve months? Has the picture regarding the technology’s future gotten any clearer for you? In other words, do you think that this time around 3D is here to stay, or will the excitement die down quickly as it did in the fifties, for example?

  • 24 12-15-2010 at 11:36 am

    Daniel said...

    Since the current season is such a bore, I’d be interested to hear what you two think about previous Oscar races. What are your favorite Oscar-winners? What is the least deserving Best Picture winner? When do you remember first watching the Oscars? Etc.

  • 25 12-15-2010 at 11:56 am

    Sam said...

    1. It seems like there is now 11 viable candidates for the 10 Best Picture nominations (The Social Network, The King’s Speech, Toy Story 3, Inception, The Kids Are All Right, True Grit, Black Swan, 127 Hours, The Town and Winter’s Bone). Do you really think the final 10 is going to be composed of these movies? I was looking at the past 5 or 6 years and it seemed to me that there used to always be a surprise 5th slot nominee that often was a movie from an old Academy favorite (Stephen Daldry’s The Reader in 2008, Clint Eastwood’s Letters From Iwo Jima in 2006, Steven Spielberg’s Munich in 2005). Do you think there’s a good shot for Peter Weir’s The Way Back or Martin Scorsese’s Shutter Island this year? If so, do you think it replaces The Town, or if The Town still makes it in, what does it replace? Black Swan? 127 Hours?

  • 26 12-15-2010 at 12:01 pm

    Maxim said...

    Sam, neither Letters nor Munich were much of a suprise. And as for the Reader… should have seen it coming too.

    All of the above, were nominated for directing too, by the way. Shutter Island has no chance at that.

  • 27 12-15-2010 at 12:07 pm

    Andy said...

    Just saw Black Swan, and was especially taken with Matthew Libatique’s cinematography. Do you think he has a chance of getting in, or will the grainy and hand-held aesthetic be penalized?

  • 28 12-15-2010 at 12:13 pm

    Chris said...

    I have asked this question a few times before, But since “Burlesque” picked up 3 Golden Globe Nominations, what do you think it’s chances could be at the oscars in the tech categories and a possible nomination for Cher.

  • 29 12-15-2010 at 12:20 pm

    Chris LaBrocco said...

    If the Social Network is the film to beat, which other movie can have a chance to win Best Picture come Oscar time?

  • 30 12-15-2010 at 1:06 pm

    Marc R. said...

    In anticipation of your top ten shots of the year list, i’m wondering what films u think some of the best cinematography of the decade belong to

  • 31 12-15-2010 at 1:15 pm

    JJ1 said...

    I do hope you guys address collossal snubs for Lesley Manville, and particularly The Way Back. Like someone asked above: what is the inside info on The Way Back (screenings/screeners/ballots). Do you know voters who like it? etc.

  • 32 12-15-2010 at 1:20 pm

    Sean said...

    With Lesley Manville being dissed by the BFCA and HFPA, she appears to be out of contention for the leading actress Oscar. This leaves a showdown between Bening and Portman. Who will most likely prevail on February 27th? I tend to see Bening winning as Black Swan seems to be very divisive.

  • 33 12-15-2010 at 1:33 pm

    Jcarrell29 said...

    Since the Academy just released the 41 songs most eligible for best original song, what five songs do you see getting the noms?

  • 34 12-15-2010 at 1:58 pm

    Mitchell said...

    @21: I think you’rer mistaken. Only children turn in child performances.

  • 35 12-15-2010 at 2:08 pm

    cinemaniax7 said...

    Now that the eligible songs have been announced, it’s time for you to dig into this category. What do you and Anne think of this year’s crop of songs? Discuss your personal criteria for a song to be worthy of Oscar recognition and how it differs from the Academy’s.

  • 36 12-15-2010 at 2:15 pm

    Paul Outlaw said...

    What would it take for The King’s Speech (and its nominees in categories besides Best Picture) to recover? At this point it’s falling behind The Fighter to the #3 position.

  • 37 12-15-2010 at 2:23 pm

    Mike M. said...

    As you know, Annette Bening is the president of the Academy’s acting branch. How big of an advanatge will this be for her in the Best Actress race?


  • 38 12-15-2010 at 2:24 pm

    Jim said...

    Could you bring one LEXG next week?

  • 39 12-15-2010 at 2:24 pm

    bokata said...

    The Town was kinda disappointing and i don’t see it getting any oscar nominations, except for Jeremy renner.
    I have this weir feeling that Inception is going to surprise a lot of people by winning big at the Oscars.
    Enough with the Social network . It is a good film, but is getting more that it actually deserves. just my two cents

  • 40 12-15-2010 at 3:10 pm

    Graysmith said...

    Not really a question about Oscar Talk, but will there be any SAG preview/predictions thread posted later? They’re announcing first thing tomorrow morning after all.

  • 41 12-15-2010 at 3:27 pm

    Graysmith said...

    Actually I do have a question for Oscar Talk too.

    If you could pick one performance/accomplishment from one film to be nominated, something that doesn’t stand a snowball’s chance in hell at a nomination, who/what would it be?

  • 42 12-15-2010 at 3:47 pm

    Edmond Dantes said...

    Not really about this year’s Oscars, but what are your thoughts on The Tree of Life trailer?

  • 43 12-15-2010 at 4:16 pm

    Kyle T. said...

    Does a good, but not as standout supporting performance in a major oscar film have a better chance at a nomination over something standout in a smaller film? I’m thinkin Mila Kunis vs. Jackie Weaver in particular. I see Kunis edging Weaver out in the long run.

  • 44 12-15-2010 at 4:23 pm

    DylanS said...

    As a critic, how often do you find yourself being influenced by the group consensus? When the critics lend their unwavering support to a film or a performance, do you find yourself supporting it simply because everybody says it’s worthy?

  • 45 12-15-2010 at 5:22 pm

    Damiàn said...

    Which one of the acting categories do you think is the most locked?

  • 46 12-15-2010 at 5:30 pm

    Daniel said...

    Some time ago, there was a talk about a big push for “Toy story 3” as a potential best picture winner. That seems pretty off now, but I was wondering: what about a director nomination? People love to discuss about the possibility of an animation ever winning the main award, but what they keep forgeting is that a director (the next big thing) has never been nominated, not even for a Pixar movie, right? So my main question is: do you think the Academy will ever have a best director’s nominee from an animated feature?

  • 47 12-15-2010 at 7:48 pm

    Ben said...

    Can the rush of critical awards and other prominent placement (i.e. The Time person of the year) result in a TSN backlash? Seems like it has almost too much heat right now.

  • 48 12-16-2010 at 12:34 pm

    Gareth Thomas said...

    What’s going to happen to Lesley Manville? In my book the performance of year in all categories and he’s getting shut out by so many precursor groups!

    I hate category fraud but it could be realistic to consider her supporting. Is it too late though?

  • 49 12-16-2010 at 1:01 pm

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Thanks again, guys.