Taking questions for Oscar Talk

Posted by · 6:30 pm · November 17th, 2010

You know what to do.  PLEASE KEEP IT TO JUST ONE QUESTION, and avoid asking the same thing others have posed in previous weeks.  We don’t always get to everything, but let’s keep it fluid, progressive.  Give us something to think about.  Go!




→ 46 Comments Tags: | Filed in: Daily

46 responses so far

  • 1 11-17-2010 at 6:42 pm

    Maxim said...

    Speaking of “Oscar bait”:
    Now that “For Colored Girls” has been released, looking back how do you feel about all the time people spend considering the film’s Oscar chances?

    In other words, in retrospect, is it really that suprising that the film, is not in fact a real contender after all? If it isn’t, then what made people who cover Oscars write articles about a film that has been directed who never had any creal critical successes?

    Was it the subject matter, the recent success of Precious or was it the belief that this time out Perry was making a film with one eye on the Oscars?

  • 2 11-17-2010 at 6:44 pm

    Dean said...

    Common consensus is that critics have played a bigger part in the race over the last few years. What will the critics champion at the end of the year that the Academy might be influenced into voting for that they probably wouldn’t otherwise?

  • 3 11-17-2010 at 6:45 pm

    Mitchell said...

    What elements does a film have to have, to be considered “Oscar bait” before anyone sees it, and does it actually mean anything anymore?

  • 4 11-17-2010 at 6:46 pm

    Monkey said...

    What do you think Lionsgate has to do for For Colored Girls to get the academy to see it?

    And do any of you see it yet?

  • 5 11-17-2010 at 6:49 pm

    Mitchell said...

    Re-worded my question: What elements does a film have to have to be considered Oscar bait, and does it even mean anything anymore?

  • 6 11-17-2010 at 6:55 pm

    starbucks10172 said...

    Do you REALLY think Bening’s subtle, boarder-line support role in an Indie comedy will be enough to make her win? Sure she’s overdue, but Portman’s performance is supposedly what Oscars are made for.

    Doesn’t this sound like Bridges in ’09 all over again? Overdue Oscar for a role not very indicative of the actor’s ability?

  • 7 11-17-2010 at 6:58 pm

    starbucks10172 said...

    Or.

    Disney’s mounting a real OSCAR campaign for TOY STORY 3.

    Possibility? Or waste of money?

    Now or never, right?

  • 8 11-17-2010 at 7:00 pm

    Cordy said...

    Do you think Toy Story 3 would have had a chance at a nomination in a year of 5? It seems that it is in the top 5 of everyone’s predictions, and even though I know this is because it is a certainty with the 10, would it be in the discussion otherwise?
    And now that Disney has revealed a very concerted effort for best picture, with a very creative campaign, do you think it has any chance to actually win? especially since it might place highly on ballots?

  • 9 11-17-2010 at 7:08 pm

    Robert said...

    If Portman wins Best Actress, will it be the first of her kind to win? I mean she as the lead actress in a psychological thriller that contains all of these thriller/horror-like elements. I think of Catherine Deneuve in Repulsion and Mia Farrow in Rosemary’s Baby when I think of Portman’s performance, and they were not even nominated.

  • 10 11-17-2010 at 7:08 pm

    Blake said...

    Considering the recent news that Disney will be campaigning for Toy Story 3 to win Best Picture, why hasn’t anybody considered Lee Unkrich as even a remote possibility for a best director nomination? Does Hollywood generally perceive that animated films direct themselves? And if the film fails to receive nominations in both director and editing, should we even consider it in the running?

  • 11 11-17-2010 at 7:12 pm

    Marc R. said...

    When you look back at this decade, what do u believe are the films that best reflect the mentality and state of society today and do these films drastically contrast with the oscar best picture winners of the 00’s?

    Or:

    What film will benefit the most from guilds or the critics awards?

  • 12 11-17-2010 at 7:13 pm

    Luis said...

    Not a question, but True Grit gets PG-13 “for some intense sequences of western violence including disturbing images”. There was some discussion about what would happen with this, so FYI.

  • 13 11-17-2010 at 7:17 pm

    McAllister said...

    Could a late surge for “The Way Back” mean both Colin Farrell and Ed Harris make it in, upsetting say Andrew Garfield or Mark Ruffalo?

  • 14 11-17-2010 at 7:33 pm

    kel said...

    Blake: An animated film has never been nominated in editing.

    Kris: Are animated films not eligible for the editing category? I realize the Academy doesn’t necessarily have the most respect for the animated form, but…

  • 15 11-17-2010 at 7:34 pm

    James said...

    Not sure if this question is worth returning and it might be better to address it when the dvd is released December 7th, but is there any chance Inception could miss out?

    I’m also wondering if Black Swan has a real shot at Best Picture, but I’ll save that closer to its release.

  • 16 11-17-2010 at 7:36 pm

    Duncan Houst said...

    “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 1” comes out this weekend, and don’t worry about me raving about how it could be nominated for Best Picture. I’m much more concerned with Alexandre Desplat’s chances for Best Original Score. I know he’s a pretty safe bet for “The King’s Speech”, but his work on the new “Potter” film is arguably amongst his best work. I want to know what you two think on the matter, whether you have seen the film yet or not.

  • 17 11-17-2010 at 8:18 pm

    Leighton said...

    With the word we’re hearing about Christian Bale, with the word that’s been Geoffrey Rush since Toronto, and now the big support for the veteran [and the nominated, but hasn’t won] Ed Harris, could Best Supporting Actor be turning into the most compelling of the acting races?

    Also, what are your thoughts on Blue Valentine and its chances in above the line categories (specifically the two leads) with the NC-17 death-knell attached to it? Are the Weinsteins just going to use this controversy as positive promotion and will the Academy bite like they usually do for them?

  • 18 11-17-2010 at 8:25 pm

    John Gilpatrick said...

    Could you envision a scenario in which a film gets a Best Picture nomination without getting nominated in any other categories? Blind Side and A Serious Man only had one other nomination a piece last year. Any 2010 titles that could make it into the Ten without any other recognition?

  • 19 11-17-2010 at 8:38 pm

    Jake G. said...

    Are you a fan of HEREAFTER and do you think it has a chance at best pic nomination?

  • 20 11-17-2010 at 8:42 pm

    Chris said...

    What are your thoughts on the Golden Globe possible nominations in December?

  • 21 11-17-2010 at 8:57 pm

    Joe7827 said...

    I like John Gilpatrick’s question.

    Also: could the Globes bring some attention to non-contenders, particularly in the Comedy categories? For example, I recall you saying that the HFPA loved “Nowhere Boy”. Could something like that, if it dominates the comedy categories (even though it’s nowhere near a comedy nor a musical), sneak in at the Oscars? Also, while we’re at it, how is the comedy/drama designation decided at the Globes?

  • 22 11-17-2010 at 9:19 pm

    Gabriel said...

    Saw Blue Valentine last week, loved the film and the performances.

    How has this film been received in industry screenings so far? Is there a chance the Academy will embrace it, allowing it to get to a wider audience despite the NC-17 (people will seek out an Oscar film regardless of rating)?

    At my screening, there were many elderly guild members, who all seemed to love it despite the harsh reality of the story.

    In contrast, my girlfriend saw it at USC a few weeks back, and the audience was apparently split.

    Thoughts?

  • 23 11-17-2010 at 9:22 pm

    Chris said...

    What’s the early word on “Burlesque”. Could it sneak into some of the tech categories and maybe a chance for Cher?

  • 24 11-17-2010 at 9:24 pm

    Kevin K. said...

    I don’t think this has been covered at all in other episodes, but I am curious to know where you and Anne stand on Nolan getting a director nod. I know you’re skeptical, but I was looking at the Gurus of Gold charts and you are one of the very few who aren’t predicting him for a Best Director nod. I hope this topic doesn’t sound repetitive, but I’m genuinely curious to hear some discussion on his chances. I myself am not convinced of the Coens or Peter Weir right now, I think the five directors, based on consisten buzz and such will be

    Tom Hooper
    Danny Boyle
    David Fincher
    Christopher Nolan
    Darren Aronofsky.

    Aronofsky is the only one I could see getting moved out, but again, very hungry for some discussion on the matter, especially in regards to Nolan.

    Thanks!

  • 25 11-17-2010 at 10:05 pm

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Hindsight is 20/20, Maxim. It was a move to a prime awards season release. Most of us, Anne and I included, were always clear that the film would get the campaign treatment because Perry has done well by Lionsgate. I think pretty much all coverage of its awards potential included the same modest skepticism.

  • 26 11-17-2010 at 10:16 pm

    Alex said...

    It seems to me that Lesley Manville would be a shoo-in for Best Supporting Actress in an absolutely tremendous performance. What are the odds that voters put her in that category based on wanting her to win rather than Best Actress because she (Debatably) has the role fitting that category, but where she has a much tougher time with Bening and Portman, etc.?

    Also, if either The Fighter of True Grit don’t live up to expectations, is Another Year next on the list to move into the Top Ten?

  • 27 11-17-2010 at 10:42 pm

    Ibad said...

    Do you think Adams and Leo might cancel each other out for a win, or even nominations, in the supporting actress category? Looks like word on the web is pretty split on who was better. If so, who do you see as the frontrunner there?

  • 28 11-17-2010 at 10:57 pm

    Mark F. said...

    Does “The Ghost Writer” have any Oscar prospects?

  • 29 11-17-2010 at 11:21 pm

    Peter Labuza said...

    You mentioned some of the films you think will make the comedy list at the Golden Globes—Any thoughts on the actors and actresses?

  • 30 11-17-2010 at 11:36 pm

    Bennett said...

    I’ve noticed Julianne Moore campaigning hard for The Kids Are Alright. She’s at every international film festival wearing schmatta after schmatta.

    The other night she was on the Tonight Show and Leno closed the interview with, “Come back when you win.”

    Where the hell is Annette Bening this season? Could we all be surprised and see Moore take home the gold on her fifth nomination?

  • 31 11-18-2010 at 12:11 am

    Alex (in Movieland) said...

    SMART QUESTION ALERT!

    SMART QUESTION ALERT! :P

    SMART QUESTION ALERT!

    If there’d be any justice in the world, “Mother and Child” would be nominated for a couple of Oscars! Which is YOUR favorite 2010 film that has NO chance at receiving any Oscar nominations???

    [however it goes, please no more questions about The Way Back :D ]

  • 32 11-18-2010 at 3:12 am

    Ziyad Abul Hawa said...

    Last year at this point, we had 4 movies that were not yet seen (Avatar, The Lovely Bones, Invictus, and Nine), and only one of them survived and made it to the Top-10. From the movies that have not been “seen” yet, which one you think will make it? True Grit? The Fighter? How do you know? Tron Legacy?…

  • 33 11-18-2010 at 3:56 am

    Christian said...

    Can Nolan win for original screenplay? No director nod? Why?

  • 34 11-18-2010 at 4:26 am

    Joel said...

    When do the New York, Chicago and Los Angeles Film Critics groups announce their winners?

  • 35 11-18-2010 at 5:08 am

    Antonio A said...

    Reading all this stuff about Disney “going for the gold” for Toy Story 3 and other studios “going all out” for movies like The Town, I was wondering about how much money they splurge in these campaigns; do they eventually gain something back (a kind of profit) that justifies their “investment”? In other times I would figure the prestige the awards bring to the people involved could be enough, but seeing our recent economy and how many good to excellent movies even struggle to get picked up, the whole situation strikes me as a weird curiosity.

  • 36 11-18-2010 at 6:09 am

    Tom said...

    Warning: this question is morbid as hell, but I urge you not to get too offended. Ronni Chasen was hard at work promoting Michael Douglas for a Wal Street 2 nomination, do you think news of her death is only likely to add on to sympathy votes that Douglas would have received anyways?

  • 37 11-18-2010 at 6:16 am

    Dylan said...

    What are some times when you guys think the Oscars actually managed to give the best actress/actor award to the best performance of the year?

  • 38 11-18-2010 at 6:36 am

    eurocheese said...

    Since we have 10 writing nominees and 10 BP nominees, will they go 10/10? If not, which ones are likely to get just writing or just BP?

  • 39 11-18-2010 at 7:04 am

    Markku said...

    Any thoughts on the soon-to-be-released Documentary feature shortlist? Predix/hopes?

  • 40 11-18-2010 at 7:12 am

    Andrej said...

    With Toy Story 3 campaigning for the gold, do you think there’s going to be enough space for How to Train Your Dragon to fit in as well; and if it does get in, would it hurt or boost Toy Story 3’s chances to win?

  • 41 11-18-2010 at 7:57 am

    Loyal said...

    Cut straight to the point, what’s the likelihood of Inception winning Best Picture?

  • 42 11-18-2010 at 7:58 am

    Todd said...

    127 HOURS seems to be on most Best Picture lists, but I rarely hear that this film will win. Is this because there’s a feeling Danny Boyle already has his statues? Do you guys truly believe that SOCIAL NETWORK and KING’S SPEECH are “better movies.” If 127 was directed by someone “overdue,” i.e. Fincher, would things be different?

  • 43 11-18-2010 at 9:06 am

    Dominik said...

    Do you think, Miss Piggy should be included in the Ceremonies Presenters list (like in the late 70s with Johnny Carson)?

  • 44 11-18-2010 at 9:18 am

    Ella said...

    Weinstein sent out a release this morning, big fanfare, that they’re appealing the ratings for Blue Valentine and The King’s Speeach. What’s the likelihood of either or both ratings getting overturned by the MPAA?

  • 45 11-18-2010 at 9:45 am

    Joey said...

    Is there anything that would piss you off if it got nominated this year?

  • 46 11-18-2010 at 10:08 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Thanks again, guys. Closing it down.