TECH SUPPORT: Final stretch, final predictions

Posted by · 8:26 pm · March 4th, 2010

Zoe SaldanaWell, here we are. On Sunday, the statuettes for the Oscars will handed out. It seems difficult to remember that it was eight months ago when we started looking at the categories for the first time. Today, let’s take one last look at the crafts categories to see where we stand.

Best Art Direction (Oscar Guide)
One of the easiest predictions for the evening, for me, is Best Art Direction. James Cameron’s “Avatar” has won the Critics’c Choice, BAFTA and guild awards and this category and the sets, while not being typical of winners in this category, were brilliant. “The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus” strikes me as too small, “Nine,” too hated and “The Young Victoria,” more of a costumers film. I’d put guild winner “Sherlock Holmes” in second…but a very distant second.

Will win: “Avatar”
Could win: “Sherlock Holmes”
Should win: “Avatar”

Best Cinematography (Oscar Guide)
Now this is an interesting category (as you’ve all been discussing in today’s Oscar Guide). The guild went for “The White Ribbon,” BAFTA went for “The Hurt Locker” and the BFCA (in their first year awarding the category) went for “Avatar.” I ultimately think “The Hurt Locker” will be able to ride the Best Picture wave and use its stark desert shots to its advantage. Though “Avatar” winning would not surprise me in the slightest – such visually arresting films usually fare better after having passed the nomination stage.

Will win: “The Hurt Locker”
Could win: “Avatar”
Should win: “The White Ribbon”

Best Costume Design (Oscar Guide)
The great Sandy Powell has won BFCA, guild and BAFTA awards for “The Young Victoria.” When also considering that the last three winners in this category have been high class, often royal European period pieces, I think it’s safe to say that Powell has Oscar #3 coming. I must say I am getting somewhat tired of this trend, however.

Will win: “The Young Victoria”
Could win: “The Imaginarium of Doctor Parnassus”
Should win: “Nine”

Guy Pearce in The Hurt LockerBest Film Editing (Oscar Guide)
When the nominations came out, I was pretty confident that “Avatar” would triumph in this category, as a tribute to Cameron, and being a large action film nominated for Best Picture. However, having since fallen behind “The Hurt Locker” – also embraced in this category – in the Best Picture race, and also having lost the BAFTA and the ACE award to it, I now think the war flick will take this home.

Will win: “The Hurt Locker”
Could win: “Avatar”
Should win: “District 9”

Best Makeup (Oscar Guide)
I will be very surprised if “Star Trek” does not win this category. It was the highest grosser and had the showiest makeup – at least compared to “The Young Victoria.” I have not seen “Il Divo” but I’m not sure how many voters have either.

Will win: “Star Trek”
Could win: “The Young Victoria”
Should win: “Star Trek”

Best Music (Original Score) (Oscar Guide)

One of the most notable of the crafts categories every year is Best Original Score. The power that music can have on a film is immense. Irrespective of its fate in the Best Picture category, I am confident in projecting that Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders will not find gold here for “The Hurt Locker.” Alexandre Desplat’s Oscar moment will come, but “Fantastic Mr. Fox” will not be it, whereas I suspect Hans Zimmer is merely happy to be back in the running with “Sherlock Holmes.” Rather, I think this race is between James Horner for “Avatar” and Michael Giacchino for “Up.” While Horner’s score has the sort of loud themes that often triumph in this category, music was so integral to Giacchino’s film, and he has been doing so well in the precursors.  I really think Pixar will finally win a music Oscar.

Will win: “Up”
Could win: “Avatar”
Should win: “Up”

Jeff Bridges in Crazy HeartBest Music (Original Song) (Oscar Guide)
“The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart” managed to become the first Golden Globe-winning song in six years to still be nominated for the Oscar. I’m really not sure what could beat it at this point. Randy Newman’s two tunes from “The Princess and the Frog” will likely cancel each other out. I doubt “Nine” will win anything, while “Loin de Paname” seems lucky to be nominated. Given the quality of the song and its centrality in the film, I’m confident Ryan Bingham and T Bone Burnett will be up on stage Sunday evening.

Will win: “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
Could win: “Almost There” from “The Princess and the Frog”
Should win: “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”

Best Sound Editing (Oscar Guide)
While I think that Best Sound Mixing is likely to be a real race between “Avatar” and “The Hurt Locker,” I will be surprised if Cameron’s film loses here. It is far more reliant on sound effects and is even more typical of a winner here than in the other sound field.   If “The Hurt Locker” does somehow win, it will show we’re in for a sweep.

Will win: “Avatar”
Could win: “The Hurt Locker”
Should win: “Avatar”

Best Sound Mixing (Oscar Guide)
Like Best Film Editing, this was originally a category I was quite sure would be locked up by “Avatar.” But since then, “The Hurt Locker” has pulled ahead in the Best Picture race and won both the BAFTA and the guild award. I nonetheless have the hunch that “Avatar” is going to manage to pull this off.  It’s simply a much more typical winner in this category.

Will win: “Avatar”
Could win: “The Hurt Locker”
Should win: “The Hurt Locker”

Best Visual Effects (Oscar Guide)
Hmmmm…I think “Avatar” might win this one…

Will win: “Avatar”
Could win: “District 9”
Should win: “Avatar”

So there we have it. Tune in Sunday to find out the final winners!  And cut loose with your own thoughts in the tech races in the comments section below.

→ 5 Comments Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , | Filed in: Tech Support

5 responses so far

  • 1 3-04-2010 at 9:21 pm

    AmericanRequiem said...

    the years almost over yay! thanks for the coverage

  • 2 3-05-2010 at 12:06 am

    Jake D said...

    Pixar does have a music Oscar- for Monster’s Inc.’s “If I Didn’t Have You” by Randy Newman.

  • 3 3-05-2010 at 12:29 am

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Obviously he meant score.

  • 4 3-05-2010 at 11:35 am

    Woulda coulda said...

    I don’t get this “should win” “will win” “could win” thing. Obviously anything nominated “could” win. And anything that does win, obviously should have won or it wouldn’t have.

  • 5 3-06-2010 at 2:43 pm

    Maxim said...

    “And anything that does win, obviously should have won or it wouldn’t have”

    Were you joking or are you just stupid?