January winner predictions

Posted by · 10:59 am · January 27th, 2010

Guy Pearce in The Hurt LockerIt’s time for me to go to the well one more time before next week’s big announcement.  That’s right, six days and the mystery of the 10 will finally be answered.  But first, some blind (since there are no nominations yet) guesses.  Just trying to find the right balance here:

Best Picture: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
Best Actress: Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”
Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
Best Original Screenplay: “The Hurt Locker”

Best Art Direction: “Inglourious Basterds”
Best Cinematography: “Avatar”
Best Costume Design: “The Young Victoria”
Best Film Editing: “Avatar”
Best Makeup: “District 9”
Best Music (Original Score): “Up”
Best Music (Original Song): “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
Best Sound Editing: “Avatar”
Best Sound Mixing: “The Hurt Locker”
Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
Best Foreign Language Film: “The Secret in Their Eyes”
Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”

Feel free to chime in with your guesses below.  And a note: final Oscar predictions (for nominations) will be published Monday.




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95 responses so far

  • 1 1-27-2010 at 2:40 pm

    Bia said...

    I think Bullock is having more of a moment than Meryl is…so I’m going with her for the dead heat between them.

  • 2 1-27-2010 at 2:51 pm

    tintin said...

    Picture – AVATAR (i hope)
    Director – Kathryn Bigelow
    Actor – Jeff Bridges
    Actress – Sandra Bullock :(
    Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz
    Supporting Actress – Mo’Nique
    Adapted Screenplay – Up in the Air
    Original Screenplay – Inglourious Basterds
    Animated Feature – Up
    Foreign Language – The White Ribbon
    Art Direction – Inglourious Basterds
    Cinematography – AVATAR
    Costume Design – The Young Victoria
    Film Editing – AVATAR
    Original Score – Up
    Original Song – “The Weary Kind”, “Crazy Heart”
    Sound Mixing – AVATAR
    Sound Editing – AVATAR
    Makeup – Distric 9
    Visual Effects – AVATAR

  • 3 1-27-2010 at 3:20 pm

    Mike said...

    I also think Waltz is sahky. I would much rather see Plummer win. Wasn’t Samuel L Jackson the frontrunner for supporting actor for Pulp Fiction?

  • 4 1-27-2010 at 3:21 pm

    Zak said...

    I agree with the majority on this thread….As far as Best Actress, I think Streep has a considerable edge. I think AMPAS will recognize the overdue status that she has, especially considering how close she’s been in the last decade alone. (Adaptation, Devil Wears Prada, Doubt)

    so here goes…

    Picture – Avatar (I really think it will happen)
    Director – Kathryn Bigelow
    Actor – Jeff Bridges
    Actress – Meryl Streep :)
    Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz
    Supporting Actress – Mo’Nique
    Adapted Screenplay – Up in the Air
    Original Screenplay – Inglourious Basterds
    Animated Feature – Up
    Foreign Language – The White Ribbon
    Art Direction – Inglourious Basterds
    Cinematography – Avatar
    Costume Design – The Young Victoria
    Film Editing – The Hurt Locker
    Original Score – Up
    Original Song – “The Weary Kind”, “Crazy Heart”
    Sound Mixing – Avatar
    Sound Editing – Avatar
    Makeup – Distric 9
    Visual Effects – Avatar

  • 5 1-27-2010 at 3:48 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    “Wasn’t Samuel L. Jackson the frontrunner for supporting actor for Pulp Fiction?”

    In a word: no.

    Martin Landau swept the critics awards, the Globe and SAG. Trust me, his win was a foregone conclusion.

  • 6 1-27-2010 at 4:14 pm

    mjb said...

    I have a feeling Gabby Sidibe is gonna take Best Actress.

  • 7 1-27-2010 at 4:55 pm

    m1 said...

    Best Picture: “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
    Best Actress: Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
    Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
    Best Original Screenplay: “The Hurt Locker”

    Best Art Direction: “Sherlock Holmes”
    Best Cinematography: “The White Ribbon”
    Best Costume Design: “The Young Victoria”
    Best Film Editing: “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Makeup: “District 9”
    Best Music (Original Score): “Avatar”
    Best Music (Original Song): “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
    Best Sound Editing: “Star Trek”
    Best Sound Mixing: “District 9”
    Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
    Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
    Best Foreign Language Film: “A Prophet”
    Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”

  • 8 1-27-2010 at 4:58 pm

    m1 said...

    38- The script snagged several critics’ awards.

  • 9 1-27-2010 at 5:12 pm

    tim said...

    Best Picture: “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
    Best Actress: Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
    Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
    Best Original Screenplay: “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Art Direction: “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Cinematography: “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Costume Design: “The Young Victoria”
    Best Film Editing: “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Makeup: “District 9”
    Best Music (Original Score): “Up”
    Best Music (Original Song): “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
    Best Sound Editing: “Avatar”
    Best Sound Mixing: “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
    Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
    Best Foreign Language Film: “The White Ribbon”
    Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”

  • 10 1-27-2010 at 5:25 pm

    tim said...

    Oh and…
    Best Animated Short: “Wallace and Gromit in ‘A Matter of Loaf and Death'” !!! :)

  • 11 1-27-2010 at 5:30 pm

    David said...

    Have any of you guys seen district 9?
    best visual effects I have ever seen in a movie. I think Avatar is incredibly overrated and district 9 should beat it out.

  • 12 1-27-2010 at 5:42 pm

    Nono said...

    Best Picture: “Avatar”
    Best Director: James Cameron, “Avatar”
    Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
    Best Actress: Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
    Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
    Best Original Screenplay: ““Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Art Direction: “Avatar”
    Best Cinematography: “Avatar”
    Best Costume Design: “Avatar”
    Best Film Editing: “Avatar”
    Best Makeup: “District 9”
    Best Music (Original Score): “Up”
    Best Music (Original Song): “Everybody’s’ Fine”
    Best Sound Editing: “Avatar”
    Best Sound Mixing: “Avatar”
    Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
    Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
    Best Foreign Language Film: “Un Prophete”
    Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”

  • 13 1-27-2010 at 6:01 pm

    David Giancarlo said...

    The faith here in Meryl Streep warms my <3

  • 14 1-27-2010 at 6:01 pm

    Speaking English said...

    What a joke it would be if “A Serious Man” doesn’t win Best Original Screenplay.

  • 15 1-27-2010 at 6:31 pm

    Eunice said...

    The support for Streep in this particular thread warms my heart and gives me hope. :)

  • 16 1-27-2010 at 6:46 pm

    The Dude said...

    Guy Lodge (#3): White Ribbon can’t win because it is “too cold”? Ever heard of a dude named Ingmar Bergman? He won his share of Oscars…

    But has to be said that no other category sees as many mistakes and screw-ups as Foreign Language Picture, so the White Ribbon might as well lose.

  • 17 1-27-2010 at 7:08 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    Speaking English: Prepare yourself. It’s going to lose.

  • 18 1-27-2010 at 7:24 pm

    Jeff said...

    My guesses:

    Best Picture: “Up in the Air”
    Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow, “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Actor: Jeff Bridges, “Crazy Heart”
    Best Actress: Sandra Bullock, “The Blind Side”
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique, “Precious”
    Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
    Best Original Screenplay: “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Art Direction: “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Cinematography: “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Costume Design: “Bright Star”
    Best Film Editing: “Avatar”
    Best Makeup: “District 9”
    Best Music (Original Score): “Up”
    Best Music (Original Song): “The Weary Kind” from “Crazy Heart”
    Best Sound Editing: “Avatar”
    Best Sound Mixing: “Avatar”
    Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
    Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
    Best Foreign Language Film: “Winter in Wartime”
    Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”

  • 19 1-27-2010 at 9:05 pm

    Speaking English said...

    LOL, how do you know it’s going to lose and why are you so certain?

  • 20 1-27-2010 at 9:06 pm

    Billyboy said...

    I don’t care what film wins Best Picture as long as its not Avatar.

    There, I said it.

  • 21 1-27-2010 at 9:12 pm

    Camaya said...

    I think it is interesting how a lot of people are predicted Inglorious Basterds to win (besides Tom O’neil… btw I would love an upset like that) do you guys think it has a chance to win?

  • 22 1-27-2010 at 9:50 pm

    daveylow said...

    I doubt The Hurt Locker is going to get original screenplay.

  • 23 1-27-2010 at 9:51 pm

    daveylow said...

    Would love to see A Prophet win over The White Ribbon.

  • 24 1-27-2010 at 11:14 pm

    Ed D. said...

    Best Picture: “Avatar”
    Best Director: Kathryn Bigelow
    Best Actor: Jeff Bridges
    Best Actress: Meryl Streep
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz
    Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique
    Best Adapted Screenplay: “Up in the Air”
    Best Original Screenplay: “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Art Direction: “Inglourious Basterds”
    Best Cinematography: “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Costume Design: “Bright Star”
    Best Film Editing: “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Makeup: “Star Trek”
    Best Original Score: “Up”
    Best Original Song: “Crazy Heart”
    Best Sound Editing: “Avatar”
    Best Sound Mixing: “Avatar”
    Best Visual Effects: “Avatar”
    Best Animated Feature Film: “Up”
    Best Foreign Language Film: “The Secret of Their Eyes”
    Best Documentary Feature: “The Cove”

    Terribly familiar sounding, I’m sure, but those are my predictions. As far as who I feel actually DESERVE to win, I’d only change three:

    Best Picture: “The Hurt Locker”
    Best Actor: Jeremy Renner
    Best Foreign Language Film: “Ajami”

  • 25 1-28-2010 at 3:03 am

    lucy said...

    If the Academy has credibility and enough respect left ., Meryl Streep will win her THIRD OSCAR THIS YEAR!!!!!, Hollywood, the Public are all rooting for Streep this year.

  • 26 1-28-2010 at 3:07 am

    Jørgen Pedersen said...

    I’m just going for the 10 Best Pics Predictions

    Invictus, The Hurt Locker, Up, Up in the Air, A Serious Man, Avatar, Precious, Inglourious Basterds, An Education, & A Single Man.

    Winner – The Hurt Locker

  • 27 1-28-2010 at 3:50 am

    Dennis said...

    Picture: The Hurt Locker
    Director: Kathryn Bigelow
    Actor: Jeff Bridges
    Actress: Meryl Streep
    Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz
    Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique
    Original: Inglourious Basterds
    Adapted: Up in the Air

    Editing: The Hurt Locker
    Cinematography: Basterds
    Art Direction: Basterds
    Costumes: The Young Victoria
    Makeup: District 9
    Visual Effects: Avatar
    Score: Up
    Sound Mixing: The Hurt Locker
    Sound Editing: Avatar

  • 28 1-28-2010 at 4:25 am

    Guy Lodge said...

    “Hollywood, the Public are all rooting for Streep this year.”

    The box-office receipts for “The Blind Side” suggest to me that the public aren’t ALL rooting for Streep, I’m afraid ;)

  • 29 1-28-2010 at 6:48 am

    Zak said...

    can we combine and add the streep box office for the last 3 years into that equation?? TDWP, Mamma Mia! ,J&J, and It’s Complicated? I think we’d have around 1.2 billion…..give or take….in that same time I think Bullock has around 500 million.

    I still think Streep has the edge this year. This “Bullock Kick” will fade soon I think.

    :)

  • 30 1-28-2010 at 8:06 am

    Frank said...

    Yeah Zak, Bullock buzz will fade very quickly. Actually, it will start fading on Monday…..because the Razzie Awards will be announced and she will be nominated (and a frontrunner for a win) for her dreadful performance in the horrible All About Steve (a strong contender for worst picture). I don’t think the Academy will want to reward a likely Razzie Award winner.

  • 31 1-28-2010 at 8:17 am

    Adam Smith said...

    But a Razzie win would sure give her some good fodder for her acceptance speech. Though, I gotta say, I would love nothing more than for the Razzies to sack up and dare to nominate her not (just) for All About Steve, but for The Blind Side.

  • 32 1-28-2010 at 8:17 am

    rizza said...

    Meryl Streep for Oscar no. 3!

  • 33 1-28-2010 at 9:14 am

    ff fanatic said...

    How many classic films have lost best pic and how many classic foriegn films have lost best foriegn language film? For me, the foriegn film category has a much better track record.

    “The white ribbon” will win. The academy LOVES anything dealing with the holocaust. It also feels like a classic. The other nominees aren’t even in the same league.

    Why do so many people post their theories on here and give no supporting arguments with examples to back it up?

  • 34 1-28-2010 at 10:08 am

    Jason Travis said...

    GO STREEP!

    Great picks.

  • 35 1-28-2010 at 11:49 am

    Zak said...

    I agree, All About Steve was horrific. I almost walked out of the theater….I would have if I wasn’t insanely bored….and a bit masochistic…hahaha

    It does make me mad that I honestly think her performance in The Blind Side is so absolutely mediocre, especially compared to Streep, Sidibe, Blunt, Mirren, and Mulligan…I hate that she’s getting so much praise. I really think it’s because she’s young beautiful, and popular. Hopefully by March 7th, the Academy will decide to reward talent over popularity.

  • 36 1-28-2010 at 12:47 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    “I really think it’s because she’s young, beautiful and popular.”

    She’s not that young — she’s 45. A large part of the reason why Bullock is such a story this year is because, like Streep, she’s proving that middle-aged women can still be major audience draws in Hollywood. So I find it interesting that the race has come down to the two of them.

  • 37 1-28-2010 at 3:39 pm

    Zak said...

    yeah, you’re right….I really didn’t realize she’s 45!…..girl looks good. lol.

    still going with streep though….it would be nice to see her win an Oscar in my lifetime. she won for sophie’s choice the year I was born, so I just missed it, lol

  • 38 1-28-2010 at 4:28 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    Hey, I was only two months old myself!

  • 39 1-28-2010 at 4:46 pm

    med said...

    I read on another site that more industry insiders are pulling for Bullock over Streep for the Oscar win. Do you (Kris/Guy) think this is the case or is this race still neck & neck?

  • 40 1-28-2010 at 10:42 pm

    Zak said...

    1983!!! holla!

    haha

  • 41 1-29-2010 at 8:04 am

    Me. said...

    Best Picture: The Hurt Locker
    Best Directing: Kathryn Bigelow – The Hurt Locker
    Best Actor: Jeff Bridges – Crazy Heart
    Best Actress: Sandra Bullock – The Blind Side
    Best Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz – Inglourious Basterds
    Best Supporting Actress: Mo’Nique – Precious
    Best Original Screenplay: Inglourious Basterds
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air
    Best Score: Up
    Best Song: The Weary Kind – Crazy Heart
    Best Art Direction: Avatar
    Best Cinematography: Avatar
    Best Costume Design: The Young Victoria
    Best Film Editing: The Hurt Locker
    Best Makeup: Star Trek
    Best Sound Mixing: Avatar
    Best Sound Effects Editing: Avatar
    Best Visual Effects: Avatar
    Best Animated Film: Up
    Best Foreign Language Film: A Prophet
    Best Documentary Feature Film: The Cove

  • 42 1-29-2010 at 8:07 am

    Me. said...

    Scrath makeup and put District 9 .

  • 43 1-30-2010 at 5:46 am

    Simon Warrasch said...

    Picture: The Hurt Locker, RU: Inglourious Basterds
    Director: Kathryn Bigelow, RU: Quentin Tarantino
    Lead Actor: Colin Firth, RU: Jeremy Renner
    Lead Actress: Gabby Sidibe, RU: /
    Supp. Actor: Christoph Waltz, RU: Anthony Mackie
    Supp. Actress: Mo’Nique, RU: Marion Cotillard

  • 44 2-01-2010 at 2:27 am

    No Name said...

    Don’t understand all you people think that Avatar should win for anything but if there was a Oscar for highest grossing movie. The VFX was good…but the same crap over and over. Script was awful, if there ever was one written. Seemed like it was shot and written at the same time. Sounded terrible, every single space ship. hoover craft sounded like a huey helicopter, animals all sounded the same. Music, was so bad I don’t even remember a single note of it…except the last song which was the Titanic song with different lyrics. Maybe Cameron should get an award for being a visionary, but best director ?? Come on. It’s a movie I have seen 50 times before…but with more fairy dust in the form of repetitive VFX. I have hope that Hollywood is not voting with the box office numbers created by escapism of the teenagers.

    Best movie – Hurt Locker
    Best director – Kathryn Bigelow
    Best actor – Jeff Bridges (should be Renner)
    Best actress – Meryl Streep
    Supporting actor – Christoph Waltz

    Everything else is a toss up

  • 45 2-04-2010 at 11:22 pm

    TimB said...

    Can someone tell me what the heck is “vintage directing”? It’s straight out of the commercial and in a previous comment by Leon.