BFCA/HFPA on the way

Posted by · 10:36 am · January 14th, 2010

Golden Globe AwardsThis weekend the first two major televised awards shows will hit and the race will begin to take a certain shape.  Though to be quite honest, I’m beginning to get the sense that each of these major precursors will go different ways.  At the end of the day, I think we could be looking at a three-horse race all the way up until the Best Film Editing award on Oscar night (which will either go to “Avatar” or “The Hurt Locker”).  Then it’ll be a two-horse race between that film and “Up in the Air” right up until the final envelope is opened.

This is what we wanted, though.  Right?

Pete Hammond does a nice job of previewing the BFCA’s Critics’ Choice Movie Awards at The Envelope.  Pete and I did a little dog and pony Q&A intro to a free showing of “Up in the Air” at the Landmark theater in West L.A. last night to a packed house.  Some 60 attendees were turned away at the door.  Mainly it was raising awareness, discussing the nominees, offering up who we voted for, etc.

Being a member of the organization the last three years, I’ve refrained from actually predicting the proceedings as of late.  I do think it’s the same three-horse race, however, and I think the only really telling thing would be if “Avatar” managed to win.  Tune in Friday night at 9:00 EST, 6:00 PST on VH1.

The Golden Globes, on the other hand, I’m happy to take a stab at.  Entertainment Weekly has a gallery of The show will be live on both coasts (for the first time) Sunday at 8:00 EST, 5:00 PST on NBC.  Moves are being made behind the scenes by vested interests looking to woo this easily swayed organization.  Hopefully no Blu-ray players were involved this time.

My guesses:

Best Picture (Drama)
“Avatar”

Best Picture (Comedy or Musical)
“The Hangover”

Best Actor (Drama)
George Clooney, “Up in the Air”

Best Actress (Drama)
Sandra Bullock, “The Blind Side”

Best Actor (Comedy or Musical)
Matt Damon, “The Informant!”

Best Actress (Comedy or Musical)
Meryl Streep, “Julie & Julia”

Best Director
James Cameron, “Avatar”

Best Supporting Actress
Mo’Nique, “Precious”

Best Supporting Actor
Christoph Waltz, “Inglourious Basterds”

Best Screenplay
Quentin Tarantino, “Inglourious Basterds”

Best Animated Film
“Up”

Best Original Score
Michael Giacchino, “Up”

Best Foreign Language Film
“Un Prophete”

Best Original Song
“(I Want To) Come Home” from “Everybody’s Fine”

Feel free to cut loose with your Golden Globes and/or BFCA predictions in the comments section below.




→ 56 Comments Tags: , , , | Filed in: Daily

56 responses so far

  • 1 1-14-2010 at 9:33 pm

    Leone said...

    I’m feeling an UP IN THE AIR win at the Globes, an AVATAR win at Critics Choice and a BASTERDS win for SAG Ensemble. PGA Avatar, DGA Hurt Locker, WGA Up In The Air, ACE Avatar. And it will remain an awesome horse race and that’s fine by me. I hate boring years where we all know what’s going to happen.

  • 2 1-15-2010 at 12:04 am

    xavi rodriguez said...

    My predix for last awards:

    Critic’s Choices:
    Picture: The Hurt Locker. Alt: Up in the Air
    Directing: Kathryn Bigelow. Alt: —–
    Lead Actor: Bridges vs. Clooney. Alt: Jeremy Renner (I think he would make it a la Swinton if the film is so loved)
    Lead Actress: Meryl Streep. Alt: Carey Mulligan
    Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz. Alt: —-
    Supporting Actress: MoNique. Alt: Anna Kendrick

    Globes:
    Picture (Drama): Inglorious Basterds. Alt: Up in the Air.
    Picture (C/M): Nine / (500) Days of Summer
    Directing: Kathryn Bigelow. Alt: ——-
    Lead Actor (Drama): George Clooney. Alt: Jeff Bridges
    Lead Actress (Drama): Sandra Bullock. Alt: Carey Mulligan
    Lead Actor (C/M): Matt Damon. Alt: JGL vs. RDJ
    Lead Actress (C/M): Meryl Streep. Alt: —–
    Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz. Alt: ——
    Supporting Actress: MoNique. Alt: Anna Kendrick

    SAG:

    Ensemble: Inglorious Basterds. Alt: The Hurt Locker
    Lead Actor: Jeff Bridges. Alt: Jeremy Renner
    Lead Actress: Meryl Streep. Alt: Sandra Bullock
    Supporting Actor: Christoph Waltz. Alt: —-
    Supporting Actress: MoNique. Alt: —- (I think UITA is having a reverse here, so I think this is MoNique’s to lose)

  • 3 1-15-2010 at 4:34 am

    Andrew2 said...

    Just saw UITA and found it completely underwhelming. Yeah well written, enjoyable enough, Clooney playing Clooney. I really don t get all the awards and hype. At least Avatar is something different. What a strange season

  • 4 1-15-2010 at 4:53 am

    JJ said...

    Anonymous, yes. As with us all, I got no clue. Taking stabs. My opinion/assumations change with the wind. haha

  • 5 1-15-2010 at 2:11 pm

    m1 said...

    The Hangover? Really?

  • 6 1-15-2010 at 2:32 pm

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Yeah. It’s closer than most seem to think. HFPA likes to appear hip and they fell off the Nine wagon early. It’s Complicated is the only other film that could take it. No support in the membership for (500) Days of Summer and Julie & Julia (outside of Meryl). That’s what I’m hearing, anyway.