Could Baldwin be a sure thing for ‘It’s Complicated?’

Posted by · 5:41 pm · November 20th, 2009

Alec Baldwin in It's ComplicatedSince I made my first Oscar nomination predictions in early June, I’ve had a weird hunch about Nancy Meyers’s “It’s Complicated” being something of a surprise package in the race.

Now while I’ve known all along that Best Picture and Best Actress nods for the film were in the extreme wild-card class of prediction, a Best Supporting Actor nod for Alec Baldwin always felt comfortably right to me. Well-loved character actor, successful career reinvention, showy comic role in a probable December hit … all that’s needed is for the performance to be terrific, and the work is done.

Over the months, Baldwin has crept onto more pundits’ predictions lists, with the news of his Oscar hosting gig being taken as a good or bad omen from various angles. Now Jeff Wells quotes two industry insiders who’ve seen the film, and say Baldwin not only has a nom in the bag, but potentially even a win:

A non-vested writer-director guy told me this afternoon that he can “absolutely confirm” that Baldwin is the shit in Meyers’ film and a prime candidate for Best Supporting Actor. A vested party who nonetheless tends to be blunt said Baldwin is “a lay-down hand for a nom, Jeff. And he could win. Total breakout performance. Bet on it.”

The former (non-vested) party also raises the possibility of Streep being double nominee after all:

“It’s a strong film and Universal will have a much-needed crowd pleaser. Meryl could be a lock as well for Best Actress, with the Julia Child performance being pushed for supporting.”

Of course, it’s just the word of two men for the moment. I’ll save the “first” talk for when/if the Baldwin train gathers steam. Still, it’s always nice to know one might not be crazy.

→ 21 Comments Tags: , , , , | Filed in: Daily

21 responses so far

  • 1 11-20-2009 at 5:49 pm

    Pablo (Col) said...

    I personally dont like Alec Baldwin at all. At least as comedy goes, i dont really get him. I think he is too much of North American humour. Many people dont get him. Besides, the actor’s race hast too many men far better than him that could touch the heart of the academy instead of causing them laughs.

  • 2 11-20-2009 at 5:51 pm

    Sean said...

    See, Kris! :)

  • 3 11-20-2009 at 5:55 pm

    Nigel Bridgeman said...

    I didn’t really have an opinion either way about Baldwin until 30 Rock – before that I knew he was a solid actor but had never really been a fan. Everything has changed now – he’s probably one of my favourite actors going around at the moment.

  • 4 11-20-2009 at 5:55 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    I will never understand why some people persist in thinking that “causing laughs” is inherently less skilful than “touching hearts.”

  • 5 11-20-2009 at 6:08 pm

    JR said...

    Alec Baldwin’s the shit, period. He’s always marched to his own drummer. Remember, after mesmerizing on a primetime soap, both for talent and leading man looks, he sought supporting roles with top directors. After Hunt for Red October, he walked away from the Jack Ryan franchise in order to do Tennessee Williams on Broadway.

    The man at 50 is at the top of his game.

  • 6 11-20-2009 at 6:10 pm

    Encore Entertainment said...

    I’d love to say if Jack couldn’t get nominated in a Meyers film, Baldwin can’t – but that sounds so crass of me.

    I hope he doesn’t get nominated though. No reason I just don’t. Especially since he’ll knock off either Mackie, Schneider, Molina or McAvoy [who aren’t necessarily ON the list, but he’ll not help their chances].

  • 7 11-20-2009 at 6:13 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    Jack was in lead, though.

    And not very good, either.

    And yeah, Alec Baldwin’s always been ace. “Miami Blues,” people!

  • 8 11-20-2009 at 6:14 pm

    david said...

    I can’t stand Alec Baldwin. The guy just rubs me the wrong way.

    Charlie Chaplin touched hearts by causing laughs. I don’t think comic actors ever get there due at the Oscars, unlike the Golden Globes.

  • 9 11-20-2009 at 6:32 pm

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Sean: ?

  • 10 11-20-2009 at 6:36 pm

    Chad Hartigan said...

    The performance looks like garbage in the trailer. I’ll bet you a drink this doesn’t happen in a million years Guy.

  • 11 11-20-2009 at 6:42 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    You’re on, Chad. Betting in drinks is the kind of gambling I can afford.

  • 12 11-20-2009 at 6:58 pm

    Encore Entertainment said...

    Oh Guy. I know Jack was no good. That was Keaton’s movie. But you know…it’s Jack playing Jack…doesn’t everyone love that?

  • 13 11-20-2009 at 7:34 pm

    Pablo (Col) said...

    I want to clarify that i didnt mean that making people laugh is in anyway less deserving that moving hearts and causing tears. Comedy is a beautiful way that humans have to express feeling and good comedians are something really rare in today’s world. I just think that Alec Baldwin isnt a good comedian.

  • 14 11-20-2009 at 7:42 pm

    Patryk said...

    Baldwin has shown his allegiance to his craft no matter if he is in or out of favor with critics, the public or his peers. He has stolen many a classic film from heavier co-stars (“The Departed,” “Running with Scissors,” “Glengarry Glen Ross”). He gave us the second best Stanley Kowalski I have ever seen and countless comic turns on television. He has brought his charisma and star power to Broadway and the Tony Awards year after year. If his performance is half as good as word has it, he will be a serious contender in this category.

  • 15 11-20-2009 at 9:56 pm

    par3182 said...

    based on the trailer surely baldwin’s the male lead and martin’s supporting?

    if streep goes lead for this and support for ‘julia’ then mo’nique had better start to worry

  • 16 11-21-2009 at 2:30 am

    salma said...

    the important thing in this topic is meryl streep’s situation not alec baldwin. Can she be a double nominee? Would she want to go supporting for Julie & Julia? And most importantly how will the Academy decide? Also is she nomination worthy in It’s Complicated?

  • 17 11-21-2009 at 5:07 am

    Glenn said...

    I don’t really get Alec Baldwin’s comedy style. The pomp holier-than-thou stuff isn’t really for me. I worry the Oscars will be like that, too. I dunno. I was glad when he got nommed for “The Cooler” though!

  • 18 11-21-2009 at 6:05 am

    aspect ratio said...

    If Diane Keaton could get nominated for Something’s Gotta Give, one certainly can’t rule out Meryl Streep in this film.

    She’ll certainly have fierce competition from herself in a much showier role though, and I can’t imagine Sony shuffling an Oscar-buzzed performance into supporting just to accommodate another studio’s film unless It’s Complicated comes out and it’s clearly the better performance.

    Anyway, interesting about Baldwin.. I’ll certainly hold off until a more certain, broader opinion is made on the performance, but it’d be fun if there’s another serious contender in Best Supporting Actor since it’s such a lackluster category this year.

  • 19 11-21-2009 at 10:46 am

    Gioconda said...

    Quote from Guy Lodge –
    I will never understand why some people persist in thinking that “causing laughs” is inherently less skilful than “touching hearts.”

    I completely agree with you. It’s my perception that playing comedy well it’s more difficult than drama.

    I for one used to not like him much but I find him simply hilarious in 30 Rock. Looking forward to see more comedic roles of his.

  • 20 11-21-2009 at 2:42 pm

    BurmaShave said...

    Jack was very good in SOMETHING, but not only was it a lead but he’d been nominated 15 or so times already. A very different standard than if Baldwin hits a home run with similar material.

  • 21 11-22-2009 at 4:32 pm

    Ed said...

    Meryl Streep is this year’s Kate Winslet. She will be nominated for either Julie or Julia or It’s Complicated, either way, she will win it!

    I just hope its the right film though, Julie & Julia. Oh well, Kate won for The Reader anyway, it should have been Rev Road.

    Baldwin will not win it, it might be Tucci for J & J as well!