Waiting on the Gotham crowd

Posted by · 6:03 am · December 10th, 2008

NYFCCAlright, so last year, the NYFCC announcement came down close to 10:00 a.m. PST, so I expect in the next few hours we’ll have some answers.  You can check on the group’s official site to watch the winners clock in as announced (unless something changes this year), but for now, I’ll wager a couple of guesses.

The way the New York critics vote, with various in-fighting and films left standing eventually crowned victor (which leads to weird Best Picture choices like “United 93” and “Out of Sight”), this group can be an erratic one to predict.  I’m not sensing a “Slumdog” victory or major love for “Milk,” but I think this is the place where, say, “Rachel Getting Married” or even “The Visitor” can claim a piece of the critics awards pie.

That said, I’m going to guess way out on the fringe and say “The Wrestler,” with a win for Mickey Rourke to accompany it.  Maybe Aronofsky can even slide in for Best Director, or perhaps that’s where Jonathan Demme will get his precursor due.  For actress, I anticipate Anne Hathaway, but a win for Melissa Leo or Kristin Scott Thomas wouldn’t surprise me either.

Anyway, take a crack at it and give us your NYFCC predictions below.

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44 responses so far

  • 1 12-10-2008 at 6:17 am

    Guy Lodge said...

    Yeah, I was thinking something similar yesterday.

    Best Picture: “The Wrestler”
    Best Director: Jonathan Demme (though I hope not)
    Best Actor: Mickey Rourke
    Best Actress: Sally Hawkins
    Best Supporting Actor: Eddie Marsan
    Best Supporting Actress: Rosemarie DeWitt
    Best Screenplay: “Synecdoche, New York”
    Best Foreign Language Film: “The Class”
    Best Animated Film: “Waltz With Bashir”
    Best Cinematography: “Slumdog Millionaire”
    Best Documentary: “Man on Wire”

    By the way, it was the National Society of Film Critics that went for “Out of Sight,” if memory serves. The New Yorkers stuck with “Saving Private Ryan” that year.

  • 2 12-10-2008 at 6:56 am

    han said...

    sally hawkins wins nyfcc!

  • 3 12-10-2008 at 7:00 am

    G said...

    Sally Hawkins just won her second award of the season! I think it’s time to put her on the list. But who to take out? This best actress race is wild.

  • 4 12-10-2008 at 7:01 am

    N8 said...

    Another win for Hawkins! Good call, Guy.
    This is terrific!

  • 5 12-10-2008 at 7:12 am

    han said...

    best screenplay: jenny lumet for rachel getting married!

  • 6 12-10-2008 at 7:14 am

    G said...

    Rachel wins screenplay…

  • 7 12-10-2008 at 7:23 am

    Guy Lodge said...

    I knew they’d go for Hawkins — apart from the fact that it’s a great performance, they can be quite partial to Mike Leigh. I hope this double victory (plus a surely inevitable Globe comedy win) confirms her place at the Oscar table. Shame on the BFCA, I say. (Kris excepted, of course.)

  • 8 12-10-2008 at 7:33 am

    han said...

    best cinematography goes to slumdog!!!

  • 9 12-10-2008 at 7:36 am

    N8 said...

    Good news, Kris. Anthony Dod Mantle wins cinematographer of the year!

  • 10 12-10-2008 at 7:40 am

    D. said...

    Another one for Anthony Dod Mantle – it’s starting to look worse for Wally Pfister.

  • 11 12-10-2008 at 7:41 am

    G said...

    Colorful so far: Rachel, Hawkins, Slumdog. I like it!

  • 12 12-10-2008 at 7:41 am

    Adam G. said...

    Slumdog Millionaire for Cinematography. Good pick.

  • 13 12-10-2008 at 7:44 am

    han said...

    josh brolin wins best supporting actor for milk!

  • 14 12-10-2008 at 7:45 am

    G said...

    Josh Brolin! Again! This is so deliciusly unpredictable!

  • 15 12-10-2008 at 8:03 am

    steve said...

    Wall-e of course wins Best Animated Film!!!

  • 16 12-10-2008 at 8:03 am

    han said...

    wall-e for animation. duh.

  • 17 12-10-2008 at 8:10 am

    Jonathan Spuij said...

    Wow they sure manage to rattle the cage yet again.

  • 18 12-10-2008 at 8:13 am

    G said...

    I personally think someone should honor Kung Fu Panda just to be cool. I guess, no matter how fuzzy Wall-E made you feel, it’s just not that big of a deal in my book.

  • 19 12-10-2008 at 8:22 am

    steve said...

    Wow Mike Leigh just got Best Director

  • 20 12-10-2008 at 8:22 am

    JAB said...

    mike leigh best director!? that’s a shocker.

  • 21 12-10-2008 at 8:23 am

    N8 said...

    Mike Leigh wins director!

  • 22 12-10-2008 at 8:23 am

    han said...

    OMG! mike leigh wins best director!!!

  • 23 12-10-2008 at 8:23 am

    Jonathan Spuij said...

    And Mike Leigh for Best Director. I expect a Best Film for Happy too now!

  • 24 12-10-2008 at 8:23 am

    JAB said...

    i think at this point they’ll give best picture to happygolucky

  • 25 12-10-2008 at 8:25 am

    G said...

    Mike Leigh!!! Yay!!! I’m loving the NYFC!!! Happy Go Lucky Best Picture, come on. Make this even more interesting!

  • 26 12-10-2008 at 8:26 am

    Dan said...

    Great to see the love for Happy-Go-Lucky. Everyone has discussed how Slumdog is the feel-good, uplifting film of the year, though I felt that Happy-Go-Lucky fulfilled that classification perfectly.

  • 27 12-10-2008 at 8:43 am

    han said...

    penelope cruz for supporting actress!

  • 28 12-10-2008 at 8:43 am

    JAB said...

    cruz supporting, shocker

  • 29 12-10-2008 at 8:45 am

    JAB said...

    it’s seems like this year the late release films are really suffering in comparison to summer films (wall-e, dark knight, vicky cristina barcelona)

  • 30 12-10-2008 at 8:46 am

    han said...

    best first film: frozen river

  • 31 12-10-2008 at 8:48 am

    G said...

    Penelope can pretty much set the spot for her first Oscar. Very glad for Frozen River. It’s getting all the accolades it deserves. I predict a win at the Independent Spirit Awards.

  • 32 12-10-2008 at 8:57 am

    Billyboy said...

    Yes G, both Dianne Wiest (two Oscars) and Mira Sorvino won the NYFCC, so she’s pretty much the one to beat.

  • 33 12-10-2008 at 8:57 am

    Dan said...

    I preferred Ballast…

  • 34 12-10-2008 at 9:01 am

    G said...

    I’m thinking Frost/Nixon and Revolutionary Road are gonna drop out of the race very, very soon. Not because they’re not worthy, but because they feel like themes we’ve seen before. Enter Happy Go Lucky and The Wrestler.

  • 35 12-10-2008 at 9:05 am

    Dan said...

    Certainly hope that’s the case G. Both The Wrestler and Happy-Go-Lucky are extremely deserving.

  • 36 12-10-2008 at 9:09 am

    steve said...

    4 months 3 weeks 2 days won best foreign film!!!

  • 37 12-10-2008 at 9:11 am

    PJ said...

    Best Actor – Sean Penn

  • 38 12-10-2008 at 9:11 am

    Dan said...

    4 Months was released last year.. .. regardless it’s a tremendous film.

    Sucks for Rourke.

  • 39 12-10-2008 at 9:12 am

    G said...

    Sean Penn!!! Two for Milk here…and two for Penn and Brolin each….this is very, very interesting. Penn and Hawkins. I like this combo!

  • 40 12-10-2008 at 9:17 am

    N8 said...

    Still no Revolutionary Road support. If it can’t score with the Globes tomorrow, I think it’s safe to say that it’s pretty much out of it.

  • 41 12-10-2008 at 9:18 am

    PJ said...

    Best Picture for Happy-Go-Lucky?

  • 42 12-10-2008 at 9:23 am

    G said...

    3 for Man on Wire….we got a sure trend here.

  • 43 12-10-2008 at 9:38 am

    G said...

    I have a random question. How como no one has mentioned the fact that Danny Boyle has an Indian co-director on Slumdog yet he keeps winning all by himself?

  • 44 12-10-2008 at 9:52 am

    G said...

    Milk!!! That’s a surprise. It’s now the biggest threat to Slumdog. Good Oscar race. i like these movies: Happy, Milk, Slumdog. Now let’s get The Wrestler some love and I wouldn’t know who to vote for.