In Contention

Waiting on the Gotham crowd

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NYFCCAlright, so last year, the NYFCC announcement came down close to 10:00 a.m. PST, so I expect in the next few hours we’ll have some answers.  You can check on the group’s official site to watch the winners clock in as announced (unless something changes this year), but for now, I’ll wager a couple of guesses.

The way the New York critics vote, with various in-fighting and films left standing eventually crowned victor (which leads to weird Best Picture choices like “United 93” and “Out of Sight”), this group can be an erratic one to predict.  I’m not sensing a “Slumdog” victory or major love for “Milk,” but I think this is the place where, say, “Rachel Getting Married” or even “The Visitor” can claim a piece of the critics awards pie.

That said, I’m going to guess way out on the fringe and say “The Wrestler,” with a win for Mickey Rourke to accompany it.  Maybe Aronofsky can even slide in for Best Director, or perhaps that’s where Jonathan Demme will get his precursor due.  For actress, I anticipate Anne Hathaway, but a win for Melissa Leo or Kristin Scott Thomas wouldn’t surprise me either.

Anyway, take a crack at it and give us your NYFCC predictions below.

Comments

44 responses to “Waiting on the Gotham crowd”

  1. Guy Lodge Avatar

    Yeah, I was thinking something similar yesterday.

    Best Picture: “The Wrestler”
    Best Director: Jonathan Demme (though I hope not)
    Best Actor: Mickey Rourke
    Best Actress: Sally Hawkins
    Best Supporting Actor: Eddie Marsan
    Best Supporting Actress: Rosemarie DeWitt
    Best Screenplay: “Synecdoche, New York”
    Best Foreign Language Film: “The Class”
    Best Animated Film: “Waltz With Bashir”
    Best Cinematography: “Slumdog Millionaire”
    Best Documentary: “Man on Wire”

    By the way, it was the National Society of Film Critics that went for “Out of Sight,” if memory serves. The New Yorkers stuck with “Saving Private Ryan” that year.

  2. han Avatar
    han

    sally hawkins wins nyfcc!

  3. G Avatar
    G

    Sally Hawkins just won her second award of the season! I think it’s time to put her on the list. But who to take out? This best actress race is wild.

  4. N8 Avatar

    Another win for Hawkins! Good call, Guy.
    This is terrific!

  5. han Avatar
    han

    best screenplay: jenny lumet for rachel getting married!

  6. G Avatar
    G

    Rachel wins screenplay…

  7. Guy Lodge Avatar

    I knew they’d go for Hawkins — apart from the fact that it’s a great performance, they can be quite partial to Mike Leigh. I hope this double victory (plus a surely inevitable Globe comedy win) confirms her place at the Oscar table. Shame on the BFCA, I say. (Kris excepted, of course.)

  8. han Avatar
    han

    best cinematography goes to slumdog!!!

  9. N8 Avatar

    Good news, Kris. Anthony Dod Mantle wins cinematographer of the year!

  10. D. Avatar
    D.

    Another one for Anthony Dod Mantle – it’s starting to look worse for Wally Pfister.

  11. G Avatar
    G

    Colorful so far: Rachel, Hawkins, Slumdog. I like it!

  12. Adam G. Avatar
    Adam G.

    Slumdog Millionaire for Cinematography. Good pick.

  13. han Avatar
    han

    josh brolin wins best supporting actor for milk!

  14. G Avatar
    G

    Josh Brolin! Again! This is so deliciusly unpredictable!

  15. steve Avatar
    steve

    Wall-e of course wins Best Animated Film!!!

  16. han Avatar
    han

    wall-e for animation. duh.

  17. Jonathan Spuij Avatar

    Wow they sure manage to rattle the cage yet again.

  18. G Avatar
    G

    I personally think someone should honor Kung Fu Panda just to be cool. I guess, no matter how fuzzy Wall-E made you feel, it’s just not that big of a deal in my book.

  19. steve Avatar
    steve

    Wow Mike Leigh just got Best Director

  20. JAB Avatar
    JAB

    mike leigh best director!? that’s a shocker.

  21. N8 Avatar

    Mike Leigh wins director!

  22. han Avatar
    han

    OMG! mike leigh wins best director!!!

  23. Jonathan Spuij Avatar

    And Mike Leigh for Best Director. I expect a Best Film for Happy too now!

  24. JAB Avatar
    JAB

    i think at this point they’ll give best picture to happygolucky

  25. G Avatar
    G

    Mike Leigh!!! Yay!!! I’m loving the NYFC!!! Happy Go Lucky Best Picture, come on. Make this even more interesting!

  26. Dan Avatar
    Dan

    Great to see the love for Happy-Go-Lucky. Everyone has discussed how Slumdog is the feel-good, uplifting film of the year, though I felt that Happy-Go-Lucky fulfilled that classification perfectly.

  27. han Avatar
    han

    penelope cruz for supporting actress!

  28. JAB Avatar
    JAB

    cruz supporting, shocker

  29. JAB Avatar
    JAB

    it’s seems like this year the late release films are really suffering in comparison to summer films (wall-e, dark knight, vicky cristina barcelona)

  30. han Avatar
    han

    best first film: frozen river

  31. G Avatar
    G

    Penelope can pretty much set the spot for her first Oscar. Very glad for Frozen River. It’s getting all the accolades it deserves. I predict a win at the Independent Spirit Awards.

  32. Billyboy Avatar
    Billyboy

    Yes G, both Dianne Wiest (two Oscars) and Mira Sorvino won the NYFCC, so she’s pretty much the one to beat.

  33. Dan Avatar
    Dan

    I preferred Ballast…

  34. G Avatar
    G

    I’m thinking Frost/Nixon and Revolutionary Road are gonna drop out of the race very, very soon. Not because they’re not worthy, but because they feel like themes we’ve seen before. Enter Happy Go Lucky and The Wrestler.

  35. Dan Avatar
    Dan

    Certainly hope that’s the case G. Both The Wrestler and Happy-Go-Lucky are extremely deserving.

  36. steve Avatar
    steve

    4 months 3 weeks 2 days won best foreign film!!!

  37. PJ Avatar
    PJ

    Best Actor – Sean Penn

  38. Dan Avatar
    Dan

    4 Months was released last year.. .. regardless it’s a tremendous film.

    Sucks for Rourke.

  39. G Avatar
    G

    Sean Penn!!! Two for Milk here…and two for Penn and Brolin each….this is very, very interesting. Penn and Hawkins. I like this combo!

  40. N8 Avatar

    Still no Revolutionary Road support. If it can’t score with the Globes tomorrow, I think it’s safe to say that it’s pretty much out of it.

  41. PJ Avatar
    PJ

    Best Picture for Happy-Go-Lucky?

  42. G Avatar
    G

    3 for Man on Wire….we got a sure trend here.

  43. G Avatar
    G

    I have a random question. How como no one has mentioned the fact that Danny Boyle has an Indian co-director on Slumdog yet he keeps winning all by himself?

  44. G Avatar
    G

    Milk!!! That’s a surprise. It’s now the biggest threat to Slumdog. Good Oscar race. i like these movies: Happy, Milk, Slumdog. Now let’s get The Wrestler some love and I wouldn’t know who to vote for.