Guessing the Globes

Posted by · 5:38 pm · December 10th, 2008

This time tomorrow we’ll be poring over the Golden Globe nominations, no doubt shredding them to pieces as we complain about assorted instances of overlooking, overrating and good old-fashioned star-fucking.

In honour of my first correct prediction (well, of something that wasn’t already blindingly obvious) of the entire season — that would be Sally Hawkins’ NYFCC win this morning — I thought I’d promptly discredit myself again by offering some bound-to-be-wrong Globe predictions. More below the cut.

I know some of them are a little kooky, but the fun part of the Globes is trying to second-guess where the eccentricities will lie — there are always a few. In some categories I’m at a complete loss: who to remove for Best Actress (Drama)? How to mash together the original and adapted screenplay contenders?

Anyway, I ended up with “Revolutionary Road” (which I think could rally here), “Milk” and “Vicky Cristina Barcelona” jointly leading the field with 5 nods apiece … and that doesn’t even make sense to me. Have at it below.

Best Picture — Drama
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
“Revolutionary Road”
“Slumdog Millionaire”

Best Picture — Musical or Comedy
“Burn After Reading”
“Cadillac Records”
“Mamma Mia!”
“Vicky Cristina Barcelona”

Best Actor — Drama
Leonardo DiCaprio, “Revolutionary Road”
Clint Eastwood, “Gran Torino”
Frank Langella, “Frost/Nixon”
Sean Penn, “Milk”
Mickey Rourke, “The Wrestler”

Best Actress — Drama
Anne Hathaway, “Rachel Getting Married”
Angelina Jolie, “Changeling”
Meryl Streep, “Doubt”
Kristin Scott Thomas, “I’ve Loved You So Long”
Kate Winslet, “Revolutionary Road”

Best Actor — Musical or Comedy
Javier Bardem, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”
Colin Farrell, “In Bruges”
Ricky Gervais, “Ghost Town”
Dustin Hoffman, “Last Chance Harvey”
Mark Ruffalo, “The Brothers Bloom”

Best Actress — Musical or Comedy
Sally Hawkins, “Happy-Go-Lucky”
Frances McDormand, “Burn After Reading”
Meryl Streep, “Mamma Mia!”
Emma Thompson, “Last Chance Harvey”
Rachel Weisz, “The Brothers Bloom”

Best Supporting Actor
Josh Brolin, “Milk”
Robert Downey Jr., “Tropic Thunder”
Philip Seymour Hoffman, “Doubt”
Heath Ledger, “The Dark Knight”
Michael Shannon, “Revolutionary Road”

Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”
Viola Davis, “Doubt”
Beyonce Knowles, “Cadillac Records”
Marisa Tomei, “The Wrestler”
Kate Winslet, “The Reader”

Best Director
David Fincher, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Christopher Nolan, “The Dark Knight”
Gus Van Sant, “Milk”
Danny Boyle, “Slumdog Millionaire”
Woody Allen, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”

Best Screenplay
Eric Roth, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Peter Morgan, “Frost/Nixon”
Dustin Lance Black, “Milk”
Woody Allen, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”
Simon Beaufoy, “Slumdog Millionaire”

Best Foreign Language Film
“Captain Abu Raed”
“The Class”
“I’ve Loved You So Long”
“Let the Right One In”

Best Animated Film
“Waltz With Bashir”

Best Original Score
David Hirschfelder, “Australia”
Clint Eastwood, “Changeling”
Alexandre Desplat, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Nico Muhly, “The Reader”
Thomas Newman, “Revolutionary Road”

Best Original Song
“By the Boab Tree” from “Australia”
“Gran Torino” from “Gran Torino”
“Another Way to Die” from “Quantum of Solace”
“Down to Earth” from “WALL-E”
“The Wrestler” from “The Wrestler”

→ 31 Comments Tags: , , , | Filed in: Daily

31 responses so far

  • 1 12-10-2008 at 5:49 pm

    Billyboy said...

    1.Vicky Cristina Barcelona could do very well tomorrow…

    They love Scarlett, Bardem and obviously Cruz so that’s three nominations plus a Best Picture nod, a good chance for a screenplay nod (not so sure about director) and even Rebecca Hall could sneak in… That’s six. Too much?

    2. Watch out for Seven Pounds and its star Will Smith… They could be this year’s Great Debaters.

    3. A Christmas Tale is not eligible so you can count that out of the race.

  • 2 12-10-2008 at 5:56 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    I didn’t know that about “A Christmas Tale,” Billyboy. How is it ineligible?

  • 3 12-10-2008 at 6:00 pm

    Mr. F said...

    If they do nominate “In Bruges” for best actor, I hope they nominate Brendan Gleeson. But I’ll take whatever I can get.

  • 4 12-10-2008 at 6:08 pm

    Billyboy said...

    Guy: Don’t know why exactly, but they have a list of 53 eligible films at their website:

    In fact France has like ten eligible films, none of them is A Christmas Tale

  • 5 12-10-2008 at 6:11 pm

    Josh said...

    Love your predix for Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy. (fingers crossed for Colin Farrell)

  • 6 12-10-2008 at 6:12 pm

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    I’m glad you did this, because I didn’t have the courage (or strength).

    I know one thing for certain. “The Reader” will be on the list for Best Picture, Drama. “Gran Torino” also has a shot at showing up, based on conversations with HFPA members and others.

    The group really liked “Slumdog,” really disliked “Revolutionary Road.”

    Your comedy pics might work, though I think “Role Models” could randomly pop up. Maybe Jason Siegel from “Forgetting Sarah Marhsall.”

    I think everyone has forgotten about “In Bruges.”

  • 7 12-10-2008 at 6:13 pm

    BurmaShave said...

    I thought the Brothers Bloom had been bumped to Spring 2009?

  • 8 12-10-2008 at 6:15 pm

    Harmonica said...

    I’m thinking the Globes will start to bring in the Winslet love. Revolutionary Road and the Reader have great chances of appearing in the drama category. I’m sticking, today, to Daldry’s film. Can anyone say “Atonement”?

    I’m also predicting “Dark Knight” appearing in the directing category, but not in the drama film. Kind of like “King Kong” back in 2005. Also thinking they might nominate “Rachel Getting Married”.

  • 9 12-10-2008 at 6:27 pm

    Peter said...

    Speaking of starfucking, you forgot one Sarah Jessica Parker….

  • 10 12-10-2008 at 6:27 pm

    Joel said...

    I agree with Harmonica on “The Dark Knight” front.

    And, BurmaShave, Brothers Bloom comes out on the 19th. So, next Friday. Dang.

  • 11 12-10-2008 at 6:35 pm

    steve said...

    I don’t know why no one is predicting Jim Carrey will get nominated for Yes Man. The Globes love him, they’ve nominated him 6 times, including the Grinch. Not only will he be nominated, he will most likely win.

  • 12 12-10-2008 at 6:36 pm

    Seany P said...

    No Kung Fu Panda love for animated feature? any particular reason?

  • 13 12-10-2008 at 6:40 pm

    D said...

    This can’t be serious, lol. Beyonce over Taraji P. Henson, lol. Ridiculous!

  • 14 12-10-2008 at 6:42 pm

    Aaron said...

    I think The Dark Knight will be nominated for best picture and knock out Revolutionary Road, although it makes sense why the Globes would go for RR—Mendes, Winslet, DiCaprio, etc.

    I also think Brad Pitt could sneak in, I just don’t know who he will replace.

    Scarlett Johansson will get a best actress nomination for Vicky Cristina Barcelona.

    Is Robert Downey, Jr., eligible for best actor in a comedy for Iron Man? If so he could sneak in.

    Good call on Beyonce, I think she’s in (a la Julia Roberts last year…this will be B’s only nod)

    And I agree with Kris that The Reader is bound to show up. If Harvey could get The Great Debaters in, he sure as hell can get a pretty solid reviewed film like The Reader in. I wouldn’t be surprised if there are 6 films nominated for best drama. There’s always a lot there seems…

    …o and ur right Peter, Sarah Jessica Parker seems like a good bet. They love her. Wouldn’t be surprised either if Sex and the City got a best comedy/musical nom either, or one of the other ladies lands in the supporting actress categories.

  • 15 12-10-2008 at 6:45 pm

    Aaron said...

    o and substitute Kristin Scott-Thomas for Cate Blanchett in the Best Actress Drama category. I have a feeling the Globes will go apeshit for Benjamin Button. And the other four actresses are pretty solid for a nomination, so I think Scott-Thomas will be out. Which kind of sucks for her cause she’s gotten NO attention.

  • 16 12-10-2008 at 6:47 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    I’ll take your word for it, Kris. I’m so far away from it all, of course. I’ve heard quite a few voices saying “The Reader” will crop up, but … eh. I wouldn’t be surprised to have another six-nominee field, but predicting that is cheating.

    Peter: I know they’ll probably nominate Parker, but I can’t go there. So for ridiculous star-fucking, I offer Beyonce instead ;)

    Sean: No reason. Only three nominees, and a lot of people really like “Bolt.”

  • 17 12-10-2008 at 6:53 pm

    Jake said...

    This is about the time of the awards season where I get depressed knowing that films that truly deserve recognition are instead snubbed. There is a good chance I will wake up tomorrow and see The Dark Knight not in the Best Picture Drama category. It’s simply not fair. Same with Wall-E, for that matter. I sincerely hope that The Dark Knight will be nominated. All I want is a nomination. The same goes for the Oscars. All I want is a Best Picture nomination for The Dark Knight (along with the “expected” Best Director and Best Supporting Actor nods). I don’t even want the win, because the win isn’t necessary. I just want the world to know that The Dark Knight is indeed one of the top five films of this year.

  • 18 12-10-2008 at 6:53 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    Billyboy: Thanks for the tip. I can’t imagine why “A Christmas Tale” is off the list — it seemed right up their alley to me.

    Anyway, “Captain Abu Raed” takes its place. Wild guesswork, but that’s the modus operandi here.

  • 19 12-10-2008 at 6:58 pm

    Rob Scheer said...

    “And, BurmaShave, Brothers Bloom comes out on the 19th. So, next Friday. Dang.”

    No. Due to the last second nature of the move, maybe Weisz or Ruffalo can inexplicably show up, but as of yesterday, “Bloom” was pushed to TBA 2009.

  • 20 12-10-2008 at 6:59 pm

    Guy Lodge said...

    Aaron: “Iron Man” isn’t eligible for the comedy categories.

    That comedy actor category is a head-scratcher — I thought Hoffman might be the one to beat, but that unexpected Indie Spirit nod for Bardem makes me wonder if he has more momentum than I thought. (Plus, I think VCB will take the top prize.)

  • 21 12-10-2008 at 7:28 pm

    Patrick said...

    I think McDormand will be nominated, but for “Pettigrew.” Dark Knight has to get in, and I think for star-fucking, they will go over the top. Brad and Angelina, Kate and Leo, and Beyonce. They will want to put on a Show this year. Unfortunately, Kristin Scott-Thomas, Richard Jenkins and Melissa Leo will not be invited.

  • 22 12-10-2008 at 8:07 pm

    JOE said...

    Some of my differences of thought:

    -I think THE READER may upset for the fifth spot. Though I wouldn’t be surprised for FROST/NIXON and REVOLUTIONARY ROAD making it all the way up to 7 nominations in the category.

    -TROPIC THUNDER for Best Pic Com over CADILLAC?

    -Brad Pitt over Langella?

    -Actor Comedy, what of George Clooney BURN AFTER READING or their perennial fav, Jim Carrey YES MAN. Only because they love A-listers…this category is a mess/weak

    -Sarah Jessica (yes, I know) and what of Tina Fey for Actress Com? (Again, messy/weak)

    -Dev Patel for Supporting?

    -Amy Adams instead of Beyonce?

    -HAPPY GO LUCKY for Script?

    -Thinking KUNG FU PANDA over BOLT.

    Just some thoughts…

  • 23 12-10-2008 at 8:31 pm

    Chris said...

    The Dark Knight not in the Best Picture – Drama category? I think it’s got a pretty high chance. I wouldn’t be surprised if Tropic Thunder ended up getting nominated in the comedy category.

  • 24 12-10-2008 at 9:14 pm

    G said...

    I think Dark Knight will score a LOT tomorrow, including Drama, director, Heath, Screenplay And Score. And a susrprise! I predict the end of Revolutionary Road and a Brad Pitt nom.

  • 25 12-10-2008 at 9:15 pm

    G said...

    And The Reader will fare better than expected.

  • 26 12-10-2008 at 9:41 pm

    Michelle. said...

    I think DiCaprio will still make it.

  • 27 12-10-2008 at 10:02 pm

    Tim Correa said...

    I wouldn’t be surprised to find Wall-E among the Best Musical/Comedy nominees. Wouldn’t be surprised if it won either.

  • 28 12-10-2008 at 10:11 pm

    JOE said...

    Tim: My understanding is that WALL-E is actually considered…a drama! Hence it’s not in here. (Though, weirder things have happened…I wouldn’t be surprised if it slides into Best Pic. drama too, especially if there are more than 5 choices.)

  • 29 12-10-2008 at 10:21 pm

    Tim Correa said...

    JOE: Ah, I wasn’t aware. Well the GG’s have played around with categories before so I guess we’ll just see. Nothing would shock me.

    Oh and I’d like to add… George Clooney or Brad Pitt for Burn After Reading. I think Brad might even have a better shot here than for BB.

  • 30 12-11-2008 at 4:36 am

    Glenn said...

    ANNA FARIS for “The House Bunny”. No, seriously!