‘The Soloist’ moves into 2009

Posted by · 7:58 pm · October 16th, 2008

Jamie Foxx in The SoloistWell, I made my calls (since that Nikki is a kook), and yep, it looks like “The Soloist” is being pushed to March of 2009.  Opening the film there is “more fiscally sound” I’m told, but that’s to be expected.  With “The Road” looking to move to 2009 as well, this has become the best week of news for Brad Pitt, Leonardo DiCaprio, Clint Eastwood, Josh Brolin and Benicio Del Toro, all fringe Best Actor hopefuls that have a fighting chance now that Robert Downey Jr. and Viggo Mortensen have exited stage left.

It’s probably for the best on one hand, since Downey’s shooting schedule for “Sherlock Holmes” in London was going to interfere with the junket dates for “The Soloist” and he wasn’t expected to be here.  Kind of hard to launch a Best Actor campaign if your lead actor can’t participate in the major press exercises.  The possibility is still floating for an Oscar qualifying run, but it doesn’t look good.

Also reported, “Defiance” will get a shift into late December for an Oscar qualifying run with a wide bow held for January 2009.  Makes sense.  Lots of Christmas drama to contend with this year: Pitt, Will Smith, Keanu Reeves.

Both films will still play the AFI Fest next month.

Boy…the charts sure are gonna get a work-over on Monday.

→ 26 Comments Tags: , , , , , , , | Filed in: Daily · Featured

26 responses so far

  • 1 10-16-2008 at 8:09 pm

    McGuff said...

    Wow, what a mess this has become of late. I wonder whether you go with Leo or Brolin when you choose to replace RDJ, Kris. Brolin certainly has the current head of steam. Personally, I think they both get in and Clint doesn’t, but I certainly understand any expectations for Gran Torino.

  • 2 10-16-2008 at 9:14 pm

    John said...

    Wow. I’m pretty much certain “Dark Knight” will be nominated for Best Pic now.

  • 3 10-16-2008 at 9:48 pm

    Joe said...

    This makes me extremely curious. With some of the bigger Oscar contenders getting moved back to 2009 (Soloist, The Road, The Reader) and some of the big Oscar contenders getting only decent reviews (Frost/Nixon, Changeling, Appalossa, Synecdoche, W.) if that will push up some forgotten films (Wall-E…….) I know that none of these films (besides Frost/Nixon) have been the BIG contenders as of late, but they all had decent spots right behind them. If a few of the November/December flicks are subpar. Wall-e may have a shot. What do you guys think?

  • 4 10-16-2008 at 9:51 pm

    The InSneider said...

    Doesn’t really change a thing. The Soloist, The Road and Defiance were getting snubbed all along. If anything today’s moves help Frost/Nixon. Not all the reviews were like Guy’s.

  • 5 10-16-2008 at 10:05 pm

    Kristopher Tapley said...

    Changes plenty, Sneider. Come on. Downey and Foxx were likely nominees in the lead and supporting categories and Defiance will still get what it was likely to get all along, plenty of tech attention.

    Also, no one said all reviews were like Guy’s. We’ve linked to the majority of them. Frost/Nixon can feel a little better, but it’s probably hanging around the bottom of the list at this point regardless. We bounced The Soloist from our Best Picture predictions two weeks ago.

    Like John mentions, however…The Dark Knight keeps looking better and better.

  • 6 10-16-2008 at 10:08 pm

    Irene said...

    That makes room for Hugh too. From screener reviews and things, he steals the show in Australia so if the film delivers, I have no problem seeing Hugh in the running too. He seems totally under the radar for a lot of people/pundits as of now, but I see him coming out as a total surprise.

  • 7 10-16-2008 at 10:15 pm

    John said...

    Sneider, “The Soloist,” as sappy as it looked, had a very good shot for a specific reason: it’s a L.A.-centric movie, and the Academy loves its L.A. movies.

    The reception for “Frost/Nixon” is looking uninspired so far. It could still make the final five, but I’m feeling an “ehhh” attitude toward it.

    What I feel like we haven’t been discussing as a serious Best Pic option is “Doubt.” It’s practically assured at least two acting nominations, if not three. And if the Academy does nominate “Benjamin Button,” “Dark Knight,” and/or “Australia,” those are all very big movies. A little film with a strong ensemble, like “Doubt,” might be just the thing to round out the list.

  • 8 10-16-2008 at 10:40 pm

    BobbyJones said...

    I’m still not sure about the Dark Knight getting a nomination because the field is still crowded. Besides those predicted to the right, Revolutionary Road, Doubt, the Wrestler, and Rachel getting married are all getting rave reviews and could get a Best Pic Nom. Also, Seven Pounds and the Reader are still coming out this year and might have a shot.

    Plus who knows, Gran Torino could be the next Million Dollar Baby and take everything.

  • 9 10-17-2008 at 6:07 am

    M.Harris said...

    Wow two slots are opening up in the actor and supporting actor categories…that’s big… more space for the other pieces of the puzzle to move around in.I didn’t think that the “Soloist” would get a best pic nod…but I did think that it had two good(in Foxx’s case real good since the supp actor category is less congested)chances of getting acting noms…oh well maybe this could open it up for guys like Brolin and Smith…who knows.

  • 10 10-17-2008 at 6:11 am

    LoveSPike said...

    Isn’t Jamie Foxx the oscar winner? why is no one talking about his chances to be nominated?

  • 11 10-17-2008 at 6:35 am

    Ben said...

    Paramount killed Robert Downey Jr. Oscar chances, after he brought them so much money this year. It’s a real disgrace.

  • 12 10-17-2008 at 7:48 am

    JAB said...

    maybe this opens up room for Heath in Best Actor? and Eckhart and/or Oldman in supporting?

  • 13 10-17-2008 at 8:53 am

    cos said...

    very bad for robert and jamie.jamie almost beat heath ledger.hugh jackman,daniel craig or leonardo will replace robert downey jr for best actor?

  • 14 10-17-2008 at 8:56 am

    cos said...

    catherine keener lost too if soloist moves to 2009.she seems very good in the movie.

  • 15 10-17-2008 at 9:41 am

    Mr. F said...

    Hopefully the academy will still want to reward RDJ and nominate him for Tropic Thunder

  • 16 10-17-2008 at 11:54 am

    Ivan said...

    I don´t understand why you don´t include the great Richard Jenkins/The Visitor in the new line contention.

    1.Mickey Rourke
    2.Heath Ledger
    3.Sean Penn
    4.Leonardo DiCaprio

    5.Benicio Del Toro
    6.Frank Langella
    7.Richard Jenkins

    8.Josh Brolin
    9.Brad Pitt
    10.Hugh Jackman

  • 17 10-17-2008 at 4:30 pm

    The InSneider said...

    All I’m saying, gang, is that Joe Wright sucks. Atonement was a MEDIOCRE movie, at best. Looked great. Sounded great. But surface level all the way. And THAT is why I never believed in The Soloist. I love Downey Jr. and Foxx but I knew deep down that it wouldn’t have the stuff to go the distance because in my heart of hearts, I know Joe Wright makes pretty pictures that don’t affect me on an emotional level. I have Oscardar and I can tell when a movie strikes a fucking chord. Which is why I knew in April 2005 when I left the Broadway Screening Room in NY that Crash would win Best Picture 10 months later. I didn’t even know what Brokeback Mountain was at the time nor did I need to (though it did wind up being #2 on my list that year). I felt it in my bones. I’m not saying I can recognize every Best Picture when I see it. When Kris and I walked out of NCFOM last year neither one of us thought it’d actually win. But as soon as I hear Joe Wright was directing The Soloist I knew that what might’ve been a Best Picture on paper could only wind up being merely average. And I’m sure its two leads give wonderful performances but I cannot imagine Joe Wright making a quality movie. And believe me, if it was of ACTUAL QUALITY, there is no fucking way it would’ve been bumped to fucking March. You don’t think if it had at least an outside chance that Paramount would’ve opened it in limited release like they’re doing with Defiance? By the way, I have a feeling they eventually will to save face so as not to torpedo the film’s box office chances in March. And Defiance, c’mon. It does look good. I’m very much looking forward to seeing it. But it looks like the very definition of a 3-star movie. Good but not great. Not a Best Picture nominee. Then again, I would’ve said the same about Michael Clayton last year (don’t even get me started on Juno) but at least that had the Clooney Factor going for it. As for THE DARK KNIGHT, it remains one of the ten best movies I’ve seen all year and one of the top 3 non-foreign or documentary films I’ve seen all year but at no point could I even conceive of it being nommed for BP. Ledger of course and Nolan yes but BP. NOT A CHANCE. And you’re deluding yourselves if you think it does. Early word on Milk has been disappointing even though I think it looks formidable. I really don’t get why/how people are underestimating REVOLUTIONARY ROAD. American Beauty remains one of the best films of the last 10 Years. It DOES hold up. Mendes is genius. Kate and Leo are the best actors of their generation. I just don’t get why more people aren’t talking about this movie. It’s looking like a 3 man race between RR, Ben Button and Milk. Slumdog was good but let’s be serious here. One of those 3 WILL WIN. End of story.

  • 18 10-17-2008 at 4:54 pm

    John said...

    Jeff, yes, I’ll agree it’s looking like a race between “Button” and “Milk.”

    As for “Revolutionary Road,” it could be great, but the trailer worries me in that the dialogue seems to be literally spelling out the film’s message. And Mendes can be a great director, but it’s been 9 years since he’s proven it (“Road to Perdition” was beautiful and intriguing, but not a great film in my book).

    As for “Dark Knight,” it’s getting nominated for Best Picture. I say this as someone who enjoyed the movie but didn’t think it was all that. I have no particular rooting factor for it. It’s just too big to ignore, too successful to ignore, too loved to ignore, directed by a director that the industry admires… and in a time when the Oscars are continually criticized for focusing on small indie films, they’ll cherish this opportunity to go big and score some decent TV ratings.

  • 19 10-17-2008 at 5:31 pm

    M.Harris said...

    It’s funny that you mention Insneider that to save face you have a feeling that the “Soloist” will open in Limited Release …That same thought ran threw my mind also…even with them saying March for a release date.Even though the movie appears to be average at best(obviously no Oscar contender)if the performances are as good as some say(Foxx was #2 on this site behind Ledger and Downey Jr. was in the top five in the leading category)I think there is a possibility that they will Limit Release it in December and open it for everyone around the middle of January.When I think about it that would make more sense than March…by doing this you could get some awards recognition for the performances thus gaining more exposure for the movie.Plus lets face it something opening in a wide release in the middle of January doesn’t have the competition that it would in December.Just a scenario that ran threw my mind regardless of what Paramount does it’s not best pic material even though the performances could be first rate.

  • 20 10-17-2008 at 6:04 pm

    McGuff said...

    “I have Oscardar and I can tell when a movie strikes a fucking chord.”

    Easily the best sentence left in the comments section on IC today. That is all.

  • 21 10-18-2008 at 6:07 am

    Glenn said...

    Somebody tell Sneider to start his own site/blog if he has so many opinions that he would like to state as fact. And, on that matter, just because you type it IN CAPS doesn’t make it any less of a mere opinion. There are plenty of people who found more than mere surface in both “Atonement” and “Pride & Prejudice” (the better of the two, if you ask me) just like there are those who like to see movies before claiming what will win as if they have any authority on the issue at all.